Gimnasia La Plata vs Rosario Central – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
25/02/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Profesional - Apertura - Round 7
  • Referee: Echenique F. (Arg)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaTNT Sports, TNT Sports Premium
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 3
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 5, MAXtv To Go
mexicoMexicoFanatiz
north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
portugalPortugalSport TV3
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 2
spainSpainM+ Liga de Campeones 7
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomPremier Sports 2, Premier Sports Player
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaInter
worldWorldTyC Sports Internacional

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.631.38
Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
139
Shots on target
62
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
63
Passes
81% (294/365)84% (382/454)
Yellow cards
33
Expected goals (xG)
1.631.38
xG on target (xGOT)
1.610.89
Total shots
139
Shots on target
62
Shots off target
45
Blocked shots
32
Shots inside the box
85
Shots outside the box
54
Hit the woodwork
10
Headed goals
01
Big chances
53
Corner kicks
63
Touches in opposition box
1915
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
30
Free kicks
2014
Passes
81% (294/365)84% (382/454)
Long passes
51% (24/47)31% (13/42)
Passes in final third
61% (59/96)71% (56/79)
Crosses
8% (2/25)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
1.000.87
Throw ins
2318
Fouls
1420
Tackles
60% (15/25)64% (16/25)
Duels won
7455
Clearances
1837
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
05
xGOT faced
0.891.61
Goals prevented
-1.110.61

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Fernandez N. ,
  • 45+1', Navarro F. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 52', 1 - 1, Gimenez E. , Fernandez J. (A),
  • 57', Schelotto N. 🟨,
  • 60', Navarro F. , Fernandez P. ,
  • 60', Di Maria A. , Campaz J. ,
  • 64', Fernandez P. 🟨,
  • 67', Fernandez N. , Auzmendi A. ,
  • 67', Torres M. , Torres F. ,
  • 70', Soto A. , Sandez A. ,
  • 70', Fernandez J. , Duarte G. ,
  • 71', Schelotto N. , Castro L. ,
  • 72', Torres F. 🟨,
  • 75', 1 - 2, Avila G. , Campaz J. (A),
  • 81', Max A. , Merlo J. ,
  • 81', Panaro M. , De Asis J. ,
  • 82', Sandez A. 🟨,
  • 83', Copetti E. , Raffin L. ,
  • 89', Miramon I. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gimnasia La Plata
27.9%
Draw
34.6%
Rosario Central
37.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 32.8% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.7% 31.8% 40.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gimnasia La Plata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Rosario Central has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gimnasia La Plata than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosario Central than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (3.4)
    2.73
    (2.85)
    2.52
    (2.35)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
    What is the prediction for Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Rosario will win (votes: 5 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 37.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rosario: 29%96%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH +0.25 - Rosario (2.01) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Rosario (1.60) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Gimnasia La Plata (1.52) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 5 Selected Experts predict this event. Gimnasia La Plata (votes: 1 - 20%). Rosario (votes: 3 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Rosario may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Recently, Rosario has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • There will not play in Gimnasia La Plata: Di Biasi F. (Knee Injury) German Conti (Inactive) Mammini I. (Knee Injury) Villarreal S. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Rosario: Campaz J. (Muscle Injury) Duarte G. (Inactive) Gimenez J. (Knee Injury) Komar J. (Heart Problems) Mallo Blanco F. (Inactive) Quintana C. (Broken ankle)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gimnasia La Plata won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 12 matches, and goals 19:31. (average 1:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Gimnasia La Plata won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.2:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central were as follows:
    27.09.2025 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 0:3
    15.03.2025 Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata 2:1
    05.08.2024 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 0:1
    17.02.2024 Rosario Central - Gimnasia La Plata 2:1
    23.09.2023 Gimnasia La Plata - Rosario Central 2:1
    Latest results of Rosario Central
    Argentinian Liga Profesional Table
    Apertura

    Group A
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Velez Sarsfield1374215:9625
    2Estudiantes L.P1373316:7924
    3Lanus1364318:14422
    4Boca Juniors1356215:8721
    5Talleres Cordoba1363414:12221
    6Union de Santa Fe1354419:14519
    7Defensa y Justicia1347216:12419
    8Independiente1346319:16318
    9San Lorenzo1346312:12018
    10Instituto1352614:15-117
    11Platense133737:8-116
    12Gimnasia Mendoza1334610:16-613
    13Central Cordoba133376:16-1012
    14Newells Old Boys1324710:23-1310
    15Dep. Riestra130763:10-77


    Group B
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Ind. Rivadavia ✔ 1392223:131029
    2River Plate1382319:91026
    3Argentinos Jrs1365214:10423
    4Belgrano1364313:12122
    5Rosario Central1363415:13221
    6Huracan1355315:10520
    7Barracas Central1354413:12119
    8Tigre1346316:12418
    9Racing Club1353515:13218
    10Gimnasia L.P1352615:19-417
    11Sarmiento Junin1351711:14-316
    12Banfield1341814:17-313
    13Atl. Tucuman1324713:18-510
    14Aldosivi130673:14-116
    15Estudiantes Rio Cuarto1312104:19-155

          Promotion ~ Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: 1/8~finals)

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Ind. Rivadavia is Qualified for Liga Profesional (Apertura ~ Play Offs 1/8~finals)