Result
2:3
05/10/2025 at 13:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 24
- Referee: Sinnes S. T. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.97 | 1.65 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 62% | 38% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (441/512) | 78% (245/316) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.97 | 1.65 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.59 | 1.70 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 39 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 24 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (441/512) | 78% (245/316) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (30/52) | 33% (16/49) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (99/141) | 63% (55/88) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 18% (4/22) | 8% (1/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.23 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 24 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 47% (8/17) | 50% (7/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 58 | 41 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.70 | 2.59 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.30 | 0.59 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 42', Vaananen S. ↓, Zeidan M. ↑,
- 45+1', 0 - 1, Sorli S. ⚽, Opoku M. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 52', 1 - 1, Islamovic D. ⚽,
- 54', Reinhardsen P. ↓, Wichne E. ↑,
- 62', Karlsbakk D. 🟨,
- 66', Duris D. ↓, Saeter O. ↑,
- 66', Pereira A. ↓, Jenssen U. ↑,
- 66', Opoku M. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 66', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Christiansen S. ↑,
- 66', Nibe A. ↓, Job D. ↑,
- 72', Wichne E. 🟨,
- 79', 1 - 2, Christiansen S. ⚽,
- 82', Zeidan M. 🟥,
- 86', 2 - 2, Islamovic D. (Pen),
- 87', 2 - 3, Sorli S. ⚽,
- 88', Sorli S. ↓, Trondsen A. ↑,
- 90+6', Jeahze M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rosenborg
56.3% | Draw
22.2% | Sarpsborg 08
21.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+8.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosenborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-2.8%)
Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.68 ↑
(1.64) |
4.27 ↓
(4.48) |
4.43 ↓
(4.6) |
5.5%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Sarpsborg (1.76) (votes: 2 - 66.7%) .
- AH -0.5 - Rosenborg (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Rosenborg (2.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- 1X2, 1st Half - Rosenborg (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - Rosenborg (2.59) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1, 1st Half - Rosenborg (4.05) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2.5 - Rosenborg (5.26) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -2 - Rosenborg (4.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1, 1st Half - Rosenborg (5.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -2 - Rosenborg (5.43) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS, 2nd Half - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 4 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5, 1st Half - Rosenborg (5.53) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rosenborg will win
(10 of 10 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Rosenborg will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Rosenborg (votes: 16 - 88.9%). Sarpsborg (votes: 2 - 11.1%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 6 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 0.
- Recent performances by Rosenborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sarpsborg is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Sarpsborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Rosenborg has had a series of away games.
- In this match, Rosenborg is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Rosenborg: Ceide M. K.
(Red Card)
Jenssen U.
(Injury)
Sahsah N.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F.
(Thigh Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 36:35. (average 1.8:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rosenborg won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:16. (average 2:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Rosenborg won against Sarpsborg 08?
Rosenborg has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Rosenborg?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
18.07.2025
Sarpsborg 08
-
Rosenborg
2:2
25.06.2025
Rosenborg
-
Sarpsborg 08
2:3
23.11.2024
Rosenborg
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:1
12.07.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Rosenborg
4:1
08.10.2023
Sarpsborg 08
-
Rosenborg
5:2
Latest results of Rosenborg
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aalesund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Brann | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Molde | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Fredrikstad | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | HamKam | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Tromso | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Rosenborg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Viking | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Valerenga | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Bodo/Glimt | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Lillestrom | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Start | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | KFUM Oslo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kristiansund | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
