Result
2:2
18/07/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 14
- Referee: Hansen T. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 3 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Norway | TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1 |
 Serbia | Arena Premium 2, SportKlub 3 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 3 |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (424/486) | 85% (382/449) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 1.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.64 | 1.36 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 50 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (424/486) | 85% (382/449) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 62% (38/61) | 53% (31/59) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 78% (123/158) | 77% (98/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 52% (11/21) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.93 | 1.93 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (6/12) | 84% (21/25) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 50 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.36 | 2.64 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -0.15 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Islamovic D. ⚽, Ceide E. K. (A),
- 10', Vaananen S. 🟨,
- 20', 1 - 1, Karlsbakk D. (Pen),
- 34', 1 - 2, Witry A. F. ⚽, Holm N. (A),
- 45+7', Ndiaye M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Bruseth H. ↑,
- 46', Reinhardsen P. ↓, Odegaard M. ↑,
- 51', Orjasaeter S. 🟨,
- 57', Pereira A. ↓, Jenssen U. ↑,
- 57', Nemcik T. 🟨,
- 64', Sandberg N. ↓, Sanyang A. ↑,
- 70', Holm N. ↓, Reitan-Sunde J. ↑,
- 70', Nemcik T. ↓, Racic L. ↑,
- 77', Witry A. F. 🟨,
- 81', Zeidan M. ↓, Sletsjoe H. ↑,
- 81', Ceide E. K. ↓, Saeter O. ↑,
- 85', Selnaes O. 🟨,
- 87', 2 - 2, Berget J. ⚽, Jeahze M. (A),
- 90+2', Sletsjoe H. 🟨,
- 90+3', Christiansen S. ↓, Tangen H. ↑,
Chances of winning
Sarpsborg 08
38.6% | Draw
26.3% | Rosenborg
35.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rosenborg might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.44 ↓
(2.73) |
3.62 ↓
(3.79) |
2.7 ↑
(2.36) |
5.6%
(5.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg?
Users Predictions:
25 users predict this event. Sarpsborg will win (votes: 9 - 36%). Rosenborg will win (votes: 5 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 44%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 24.5% – 63.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Sarpsborg (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 75%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 4.
- Sarpsborg has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Rosenborg's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Sarpsborg may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Sher A.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Rosenborg: Fossum I.
(Thigh Injury)
Nypan S.
(Inactive)
Sahsah N.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Carstensen F.
(Thigh Injury)
Hiim A.
(Knee Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sarpsborg won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sarpsborg won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 17:14. (average 1.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Rosenborg?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rosenborg won against Sarpsborg 08?
Rosenborg has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sarpsborg 08 - Rosenborg were as follows:
25.06.2025
Rosenborg
-
Sarpsborg 08
2:3
23.11.2024
Rosenborg
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:1
12.07.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Rosenborg
4:1
08.10.2023
Sarpsborg 08
-
Rosenborg
5:2
25.06.2023
Rosenborg
-
Sarpsborg 08
0:3
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Latest results of Rosenborg
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Viking | 19 | 13 | 3 | 3 | 47:26 | 21 | 42 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 44:17 | 27 | 39 |
| 3 | Brann | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 31:25 | 6 | 33 |
| 4 | Tromso | 17 | 10 | 3 | 4 | 29:23 | 6 | 33 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:21 | 3 | 30 |
| 6 | Sandefjord | 17 | 9 | 0 | 8 | 33:24 | 9 | 27 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 23:20 | 3 | 26 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 29:20 | 9 | 25 |
| 9 | Molde | 17 | 7 | 2 | 8 | 25:23 | 2 | 23 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 | 17 | 5 | 7 | 5 | 28:24 | 4 | 22 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 17 | 6 | 3 | 8 | 24:28 | -4 | 21 |
| 12 | Bryne | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 21:29 | -8 | 19 |
| 13 | Kristiansund | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 18:31 | -13 | 19 |
| 14 | HamKam | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 18:29 | -11 | 17 |
| 15 | Stromsgodset | 17 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 21:37 | -16 | 9 |
| 16 | Haugesund | 18 | 1 | 2 | 15 | 8:46 | -38 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
