Result
2:1
12/04/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eliteserien - Round 4
- Referee: Moen C. (Nor)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | TV2 Play |
 Norway | TV2 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.14 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (396/514) | 71% (275/385) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.60 | 1.14 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 14 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (396/514) | 71% (275/385) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (21/66) | 32% (20/63) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 67% (112/168) | 56% (64/115) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (4/12) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.38 | 1.62 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (14/22) | 47% (8/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 26 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.88 | 1.55 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | -0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 5', 0 - 1, Sher A. ⚽, Utvik B. (A),
- 22', Bomholt M. 🟨,
- 33', 1 - 1, Bomholt M. ⚽, Fossum I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 51', 2 - 1, Nordli S. ⚽, Selnaes O. (A),
- 60', Nordli S. ↓, Pereira A. ↑,
- 64', Halvorsen V. E. ↓, Christiansen S. ↑,
- 68', Selnaes O. 🟨,
- 70', Opoku M. ↓, Williams N. ↑,
- 77', Niyukuri C. ↓, Wichne E. ↑,
- 77', Nibe A. ↓, Gueye B. ↑,
- 77', Dahl T. ↓, Reitan-Sunde J. ↑,
- 79', Mortensen J. 🟨,
- 81', Nemcik T. ↓, Vaananen S. ↑,
- 81', Chiakha A. ↓, Islamovic D. ↑,
- 81', Mortensen J. ↓, Svensson J. ↑,
- 84', Karlsbakk D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Rosenborg
41.5% | Draw
26.4% | Sarpsborg 08
32.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosenborg's form might have worsened.Sarpsborg 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sarpsborg 08's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+9.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosenborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sarpsborg 08 than the current prediction. (-6.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sarpsborg 08, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↑
(1.91) |
3.59 ↓
(3.99) |
2.95 ↓
(3.67) |
5.6%
(4.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Rosenborg will win (votes: 8 - 61.5%). Sarpsborg will win (votes: 4 - 30.8%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 35% – 88%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Sarpsborg 08 will win (2 of 3 users predict this - 66.67%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 0.
- Rosenborg has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Sarpsborg has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Sarpsborg has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Rosenborg: Nemcik T.
(Knee Injury)
Pereira A.
(Inactive)
Reitan-Sunde J.
(Broken collarbone)
Slordal E.
(Leg Injury)
Volden H.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Sarpsborg: Berget J.
(Injury)
Carstensen F.
(Injury)
Christiansen S.
(Injury)
Reinhardsen P.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Rosenborg: Duris D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Svensson J.
(Injury)
Witry A. F.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Sarpsborg: Nibe A.
(Injury)
Niyukuri C.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 6 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 33:36. (average 1.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rosenborg won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 17:17. (average 1.7:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rosenborg won against Sarpsborg 08?
Rosenborg has won 0 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sarpsborg 08 won against Rosenborg?
Sarpsborg 08 has won 6 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rosenborg - Sarpsborg 08 were as follows:
05.10.2025
Rosenborg
-
Sarpsborg 08
2:3
18.07.2025
Sarpsborg 08
-
Rosenborg
2:2
25.06.2025
Rosenborg
-
Sarpsborg 08
2:3
23.11.2024
Rosenborg
-
Sarpsborg 08
1:1
12.07.2024
Sarpsborg 08
-
Rosenborg
4:1
Latest results of Rosenborg
Latest results of Sarpsborg 08
Norwegian Eliteserien Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Tromso | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 14:7 | 7 | 19 |
| 2 | Viking | 6 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 16:6 | 10 | 15 |
| 3 | Lillestrom | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 13 |
| 4 | Molde | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Bodo/Glimt | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | HamKam | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 10:11 | -1 | 9 |
| 7 | Brann | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:11 | 5 | 7 |
| 8 | Kristiansund | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 9 | Sandefjord | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 7 |
| 10 | Fredrikstad | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 7 |
| 11 | KFUM Oslo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 7:11 | -4 | 7 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 5:9 | -4 | 7 |
| 13 | Sarpsborg 08 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
| 14 | Rosenborg | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3:8 | -5 | 5 |
| 15 | Start | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
| 16 | Aalesund | 6 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 7:13 | -6 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Eliteserien (Relegation)
Relegation ~ OBOS~ligaen
