Rosenborg vs Vålerenga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:2
22/03/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eliteserien - Round 2
  • Referee: Kringstad S. (Nor)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
norwayNorwayTV2 Play

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.940.76
Ball possession
61%39%
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
16
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
166
Passes
84% (422/505)74% (245/330)
Yellow cards
12
Expected goals (xG)
0.940.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.651.52
Total shots
1310
Shots on target
16
Shots off target
54
Blocked shots
70
Shots inside the box
106
Shots outside the box
34
Hit the woodwork
10
Big chances
01
Corner kicks
166
Touches in opposition box
3314
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
00
Free kicks
209
Passes
84% (422/505)74% (245/330)
Long passes
36% (13/36)41% (21/51)
Passes in final third
70% (121/172)47% (33/70)
Crosses
19% (5/27)27% (3/11)
Expected assists (xA)
1.630.47
Throw ins
1721
Fouls
920
Tackles
79% (11/14)64% (16/25)
Duels won
5554
Clearances
1344
Interceptions
1115
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
1.520.65
Goals prevented
-0.480.65

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 58', 0 - 1, Lange C. , Finnsson K. (A),
  • 60', Sorensen E. , Strand P. ,
  • 60', Thorvaldsen F. , Haren L. ,
  • 60', Grundetjern M. , Saeter O. ,
  • 63', 0 - 2, Nasberg I. ,
  • 65', Finnsson K. 🟨,
  • 65', Bakke J. , Sahsah N. ,
  • 67', Lange C. , Ambina F. ,
  • 72', Fossum I. , Selnaes O. ,
  • 78', Saeter O. , Rajkovic G. ,
  • 78', Haren L. 🟨,
  • 85', Witry A. F. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Rosenborg
42.8%
Draw
26.5%
Vålerenga
30.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.7% 24.2% 27.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.4% 24.6% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rosenborg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rosenborg's form might have worsened.
  • Vålerenga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rosenborg than the current prediction. (+6.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rosenborg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Vålerenga than the current prediction. (-4%)
  • Rosenborg - Vålerenga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.21
    (1.93)
    3.59
    (3.9)
    3.06
    (3.47)
    5.9%
    (6.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Rosenborg - Vålerenga?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Rosenborg will win (votes: 9 - 60%). Vålerenga will win (votes: 3 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Rosenborg: 35.2%84.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Rosenborg (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 3.
    • Recent performances by Rosenborg have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Vålerenga is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Rosenborg may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Rosenborg might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Rosenborg: Mortensen J. (Ankle Injury) Nemcik T. (Knee Injury) Nordli S. (Injury) Reitan-Sunde J. (Injury) Slordal E. (Leg Injury) Vaananen S. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Vålerenga: Ambina F. (Suspended) Haren L. (Suspended) Ofkir M. (Knee Injury) Tshiembe K. (Thigh Injury)
    • There are questionable in Rosenborg: Holmen I. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • There are questionable in Vålerenga: Bjordal H. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rosenborg won 10 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 36:20. (average 1.8:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rosenborg won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 20:9. (average 1.8:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rosenborg - Vålerenga were as follows:
    27.02.2026 Rosenborg - Vålerenga 0:1
    09.11.2025 Rosenborg - Vålerenga 1:0
    21.04.2025 Vålerenga - Rosenborg 0:2
    21.02.2024 Vålerenga - Rosenborg 4:1
    29.10.2023 Vålerenga - Rosenborg 1:3
    Latest results of Rosenborg
    14.03.2026 Molde - Rosenborg 2:0
    08.03.2026 Bryne - Rosenborg 4:2
    27.02.2026 Rosenborg - Vålerenga 0:1
    24.02.2026 Rosenborg - Start 2:1
    19.02.2026 Ranheim - Rosenborg 1:2
    Latest results of Vålerenga
    Norwegian Eliteserien Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Tromso33008:179
    2Viking32016:336
    3Lillestrom22004:136
    4Valerenga32013:126
    5Fredrikstad32016:7-16
    6Sarpsborg 0821103:124
    7Bodo/Glimt11003:033
    8Brann31028:623
    9KFUM Oslo31024:5-13
    10Molde31023:5-23
    11Kristiansund21013:5-23
    12Sandefjord31022:4-23
    13HamKam21013:6-33
    14Start30212:4-22
    15Aalesund30124:7-31
    16Rosenborg30030:6-60

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