Result
1:4
18/01/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 03:47, 0 - 1, Barsukov T. (G), Voronin N. (A), Grishin P. (A2)
- 2nd Period (0 - 2)
- 07:59, 0 - 2, Sedantsov O. (G), Urulin S. (A),
- 10:26, 0 - 3, Barsukov T. (G), Korbit Y. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 00:46, 0 - 4, Sergiyevsky Y. (G), Sokolov D. (A),
- 06:42, 1 - 4, Chernikov Y. (G), Gordin A. (A), Romashkin P. (A2)
Chances of winning
Gornyak-UGMK
65.5% | Draw
17.9% | Rostov
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gornyak-UGMK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)Rostov has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gornyak-UGMK than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Gornyak-UGMK that the model has picked up on.The ML Model estimate for Rostov aligns with the current prediction.
Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.4 ↑
(1.39) |
5.13 ↑
(4.88) |
5.51 ↓
(6.02) |
9.1%
(9.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 4.
- In recent matches, Gornyak-UGMK has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Rostov is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rostov may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Gornyak-UGMK has had a series of away games.
- Recently, Rostov has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Gornyak-UGMK is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 13 head-to-head matches, Gornyak-UGMK won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 45:29. (average 3.5:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gornyak-UGMK won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:15. (average 3.3:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Gornyak-UGMK won against Rostov?
Gornyak-UGMK has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rostov won against Gornyak-UGMK?
Rostov has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gornyak-UGMK - Rostov were as follows:
31.10.2025
Rostov
-
Gornyak-UGMK
3:4
20.01.2025
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Rostov
3:2
02.11.2024
Rostov
-
Gornyak-UGMK
1:3
06.12.2023
Gornyak-UGMK
-
Rostov
1:5
10.11.2023
Rostov
-
Gornyak-UGMK
3:7
Latest results of Gornyak-UGMK
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | Metallurg Novokuznetsk (1) | CSK VVS (16) | 3 : 2 |
| 2 | Gornyak (8) | Perm (9) | 3 : 2 |
| 3 | Khimik (4) | Izhevsk (13) | 4 : 1 |
| 4 | Magnitka Magnitogorsk (5) | Torpedo Gorky (12) | 4 : 0 |
| 5 | HC Yugra (2) | Bars (15) | 4 : 1 |
| 6 | Omskie Krylia (7) | Chelmet Chelyabinsk (10) | 3 : 2 |
| 7 | Almetyevsk (3) | Dizel (14) | 3 : 2 |
| 8 | Ryazan (6) | Rubin Tyumen (11) | 3 : 2 |
