Rot-Weiß Erfurt vs Babelsberg – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
11/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Regionalliga Nordost - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMDR Fernsehen, Ostsport
switzerlandSwitzerlandSunrise TV, Sunrise TV

Match Stats

Red cards
01

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Wolf M. ,
  • 36', 1 - 1, Hasse T. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 54', Weyh K. 🟥,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Schwarz T. ,
  • 66', 3 - 1, Assibey-Mensah R. ,
  • 81', 3 - 2, Schulz L. ,
  • 84', 4 - 2, Ugondu O. C. ,

Chances of winning


Rot-Weiß Erfurt
48.9%
Draw
25%
Babelsberg
26.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
59.6% 23.5% 16.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 23.1% 16.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rot-Weiß Erfurt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rot-Weiß Erfurt's form might have worsened.
  • Babelsberg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Babelsberg's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rot-Weiß Erfurt than the current prediction. (+11.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rot-Weiß Erfurt, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Babelsberg than the current prediction. (-9.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Babelsberg, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Babelsberg Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.9
    (1.53)
    3.73
    (3.88)
    3.57
    (5.41)
    7.4%
    (9.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 2.
    • Rot-Weiß Erfurt is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Babelsberg has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Rot-Weiß Erfurt may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Babelsberg has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Rot-Weiß Erfurt is the team to beat.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:16. (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Erfurt won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:6. (average 2.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Babelsberg were as follows:
    18.10.2025 Babelsberg - Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0:2
    02.03.2025 Babelsberg - Rot-Weiß Erfurt 0:2
    02.10.2024 Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Babelsberg 1:1
    07.04.2024 Babelsberg - Rot-Weiß Erfurt 3:1
    20.10.2023 Rot-Weiß Erfurt - Babelsberg 0:1
    Latest results of Rot-Weiß Erfurt
    Latest results of Babelsberg
    German Regionalliga Nordost Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lokomotive Leipzig29211757:243364
    2Jena29186556:292760
    3Hallescher29175755:302556
    4Erfurt28158555:371853
    5Zwickau29157745:40552
    6Altglienicke28129741:34745
    7BFC Preussen28118939:43-441
    8Magdeburg II291241346:40640
    9Chemnitzer291081144:44038
    10Luckenwalde29991131:40-936
    11Hertha Berlin II281061241:51-1036
    12Babelsberg29881348:51-332
    13BFC Dynamo28881238:43-532
    14Meuselwitz28881240:47-732
    15Greifswald296101328:40-1228
    16Chemie Leipzig29841731:44-1328
    17Eilenburg29491628:49-2121
    18Hertha Zehlendorf27281720:57-3714

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