Rot-Weiß Essen vs Ingolstadt – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
11/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 3. Liga - Round 33
  • Referee: Jurgensen L. (Ger)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
germanyGermanyMagenta Sport
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
57%43%
Total shots
156
Shots on target
83
Corner kicks
148
Yellow cards
31
Total shots
156
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
73
Corner kicks
148
Offsides
20
Free kicks
1113
Throw ins
2513
Fouls
1010

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 11', Maljojoki J. 🟨,
  • 19', 1 - 0, Abiama D. , Brumme L. (A),
  • 28', 1 - 1, Maljojoki J. , Carlsen F. (A),
  • 42', Brumme L. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 0)
  • 47', 2 - 1, Hofmann J. , Rios Alonso J. (A),
  • 61', Carlsen F. , Plath M. ,
  • 61', Kaygin D. , Sturm Y. ,
  • 63', Mizuta K. 🟨,
  • 71', Brumme L. , Obuz M. ,
  • 71', Janssen M. , Cuber Potocnik J. ,
  • 78', Hofmann J. , Huning B. ,
  • 83', Christensen G. , Kugel J. ,
  • 83', Deichmann Y. , Rosenlocher L. ,
  • 87', Huning B. 🟨,
  • 87', Abiama D. , Safi R. ,
  • 87', Mizuta K. , Reisig R. ,
  • 90', Besuschkow M. , Bagaric T. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 1, Antzoulas G. (Own goal),
  • 90+5', 4 - 1, Cuber Potocnik J. ,

Chances of winning


Rot-Weiß Essen
56%
Draw
22.2%
Ingolstadt
21.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.2% 21.6% 26.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.7% 20.6% 25%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.64
    (1.78)
    4.19
    (4.3)
    4.29
    (3.54)
    8%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
    What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • AH -0.75 - Rot-Weiß Essen (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Rot-Weiß Essen will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 14).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 3.
    • Rot-Weiß Essen is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Ingolstadt's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Rot-Weiß Essen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is seen as the favorite.
    • We predict that Rot-Weiß Essen will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen 1:2
    22.02.2025 Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt 2:0
    21.09.2024 Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen 2:2
    28.04.2024 Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt 4:0
    25.11.2023 Ingolstadt - Rot-Weiß Essen 2:1
    Latest results of Rot-Weiß Essen
    Latest results of Ingolstadt
    05.04.2026 Saarbrücken - Ingolstadt 1:0
    25.03.2026 Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846 1:2
    15.03.2026 Ulm 1846 - Ingolstadt 1:3
    German 3 Bundesliga Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1VfL Osnabruck33207655:272867
    2RW Essen331810569:511864
    3Cottbus33179761:451660
    4Duisburg33179759:431660
    5Hansa Rostock331611662:372559
    6Verl331510872:452755
    7Alemannia Aachen331561260:53751
    8Munich 1860331491049:45451
    9Wehen331461344:42248
    10Viktoria Koln331451448:45347
    11Mannheim331451452:60-847
    12Regensburg331271446:50-443
    13Stuttgart II331261541:54-1342
    14Ingolstadt3310101352:48440
    15Hoffenheim II331171560:59140
    16Saarbrucken338131242:49-737
    17TSV Havelse33781849:73-2429
    18Ulm33852042:68-2629
    19Aue335101838:61-2325
    20Schweinfurt ✔ 33532531:77-4618

          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
          Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Schweinfurt is Relegated to