Result
4:1
11/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- 3. Liga - Round 33
- Referee: Jurgensen L. (Ger)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Germany | Magenta Sport |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 13 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 13 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 10 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Maljojoki J. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Abiama D. ⚽, Brumme L. (A),
- 28', 1 - 1, Maljojoki J. ⚽, Carlsen F. (A),
- 42', Brumme L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 0)
- 47', 2 - 1, Hofmann J. ⚽, Rios Alonso J. (A),
- 61', Carlsen F. ↓, Plath M. ↑,
- 61', Kaygin D. ↓, Sturm Y. ↑,
- 63', Mizuta K. 🟨,
- 71', Brumme L. ↓, Obuz M. ↑,
- 71', Janssen M. ↓, Cuber Potocnik J. ↑,
- 78', Hofmann J. ↓, Huning B. ↑,
- 83', Christensen G. ↓, Kugel J. ↑,
- 83', Deichmann Y. ↓, Rosenlocher L. ↑,
- 87', Huning B. 🟨,
- 87', Abiama D. ↓, Safi R. ↑,
- 87', Mizuta K. ↓, Reisig R. ↑,
- 90', Besuschkow M. ↓, Bagaric T. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 1, Antzoulas G. (Own goal),
- 90+5', 4 - 1, Cuber Potocnik J. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Rot-Weiß Essen
56% | Draw
22.2% | Ingolstadt
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rot-Weiß Essen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)Ingolstadt has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rot-Weiß Essen than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ingolstadt than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.64 ↓
(1.78) |
4.19 ↓
(4.3) |
4.29 ↑
(3.54) |
8%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -0.75 - Rot-Weiß Essen (1.76) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Rot-Weiß Essen will win
(9 of 9 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Rot-Weiß Essen (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga and 14).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 3.
- Rot-Weiß Essen is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Ingolstadt's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rot-Weiß Essen may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Rot-Weiß Essen is seen as the favorite.
- We predict that Rot-Weiß Essen will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Rot-Weiß Essen won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:8. (average 2:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rot-Weiß Essen won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 2.7:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Rot-Weiß Essen won against Ingolstadt?
Rot-Weiß Essen has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Ingolstadt won against Rot-Weiß Essen?
Ingolstadt has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rot-Weiß Essen - Ingolstadt were as follows:
08.11.2025
Ingolstadt
-
Rot-Weiß Essen
1:2
22.02.2025
Rot-Weiß Essen
-
Ingolstadt
2:0
21.09.2024
Ingolstadt
-
Rot-Weiß Essen
2:2
28.04.2024
Rot-Weiß Essen
-
Ingolstadt
4:0
25.11.2023
Ingolstadt
-
Rot-Weiß Essen
2:1
Latest results of Rot-Weiß Essen
Latest results of Ingolstadt
German 3 Bundesliga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck ✔ | 36 | 23 | 7 | 6 | 61:30 | 31 | 76 |
| 2 | Cottbus | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 69:50 | 19 | 66 |
| 3 | Duisburg | 36 | 19 | 9 | 8 | 65:48 | 17 | 66 |
| 4 | RW Essen | 36 | 18 | 10 | 8 | 74:64 | 10 | 64 |
| 5 | Verl | 36 | 17 | 10 | 9 | 79:47 | 32 | 61 |
| 6 | Hansa Rostock | 36 | 16 | 13 | 7 | 65:43 | 22 | 61 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 36 | 17 | 7 | 12 | 67:56 | 11 | 58 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 36 | 15 | 11 | 10 | 53:48 | 5 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 36 | 14 | 8 | 14 | 51:50 | 1 | 50 |
| 10 | Viktoria Koln | 36 | 15 | 5 | 16 | 50:49 | 1 | 50 |
| 11 | Regensburg | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 54:56 | -2 | 49 |
| 12 | Mannheim | 36 | 14 | 7 | 15 | 57:67 | -10 | 49 |
| 13 | Stuttgart II | 36 | 13 | 7 | 16 | 51:60 | -9 | 46 |
| 14 | Saarbrucken | 36 | 10 | 14 | 12 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 15 | Ingolstadt | 36 | 11 | 10 | 15 | 58:54 | 4 | 43 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 36 | 11 | 7 | 18 | 62:67 | -5 | 40 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse ✔ | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 53:81 | -28 | 32 |
| 18 | Ulm ✔ | 36 | 9 | 5 | 22 | 46:74 | -28 | 32 |
| 19 | Aue ✔ | 36 | 6 | 12 | 18 | 47:68 | -21 | 30 |
| 20 | Schweinfurt ✔ | 36 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 34:80 | -46 | 21 |
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga
Promotion ~ 2. Bundesliga (Promotion: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
VfL Osnabruck is Qualified for 2. Bundesliga
TSV Havelse is Relegated to
Ulm is Relegated to
Aue is Relegated to
Schweinfurt is Relegated to
