Result
3:2
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | Q Sport Asia |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4, Arena Sport 6 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 56% | 44% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (267/361) | 72% (212/293) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.54 | 1.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.45 | 2.33 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 32 | 25 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 74% (267/361) | 72% (212/293) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 28% (16/58) | 42% (27/64) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (88/140) | 54% (50/92) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 63% (5/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 1.05 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (8/12) | 54% (7/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 57 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 13 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.33 | 3.45 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.45 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 9', 1 - 0, Zabolotnyi A. ⚽, Vera L. (A),
- 12', 1 - 1, Daku M. ⚽, Vada V. (A),
- 36', Iwu U. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 43', Daku M. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 58', 1 - 2, Daku M. ⚽,
- 61', Bakaev Z. ↓, Rudenko A. ↑,
- 61', Magomedov B. ↓, Corredera A. ↑,
- 62', Berkovskiy I. ↓, Farina E. ↑,
- 62', Farina E. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 2, Rudenko A. ⚽,
- 73', Kabutov D. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
- 73', Jocic B. ↓, Apshatsev M. ↑,
- 76', Farina E. 🟥,
- 79', Stepanov D. ↓, Orinho ↑,
- 81', Filin A. 🟨,
- 88', Zabolotnyi A. ↓, Mirzov R. ↑,
- 90+4', 3 - 2, Rudenko A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Khimki 43.1% | Draw 27.8% | Rubin Kazan 29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Khimki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimki's performance.Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimki that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Khimki - Rubin Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.17 ↓ (2.81) |
3.36 ↓ (3.63) |
3.22 ↑ (2.61) |
7% (1.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Khimki - Rubin Kazan?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Khimki (votes: 1 - 100%).
Users Predictions:
Khimki will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khimki won 2.
- Khimki is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Rubin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Khimki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Khimki: Farina E.
(Muscle Injury)
Luna D.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Rubin: Cuni M.
(Injury)
Hodza V.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Khimki won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Khimki won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Khimki won against Rubin Kazan?
Khimki has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Khimki?
Rubin Kazan has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Khimki - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
03.08.2024
Rubin Kazan
-
Khimki
2:3
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25:7 | 18 | 29 |
| 2 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 13 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 30:17 | 13 | 27 |
| 3 | CSKA Moscow | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 23:13 | 10 | 27 |
| 4 | Zenit | 13 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 26 |
| 5 | Baltika | 13 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 18:6 | 12 | 24 |
| 6 | Spartak Moscow | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 22 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 13 | 5 | 3 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 18 |
| 8 | Akhmat Grozny | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 |
| 9 | Dynamo Moscow | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 21:21 | 0 | 16 |
| 10 | FK Rostov | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 11 | Krylya Sovetov | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 17:23 | -6 | 13 |
| 12 | Akron Togliatti | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 15:19 | -4 | 12 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 13 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 6:16 | -10 | 11 |
| 14 | Orenburg | 13 | 1 | 5 | 7 | 14:24 | -10 | 8 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9:23 | -14 | 7 |
| 16 | Sochi | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 7:28 | -21 | 5 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL