Khimki vs Rubin Kazan – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:2
17/05/2025 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 29
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaQ Sport Asia
bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Sport 4, Arena Sport 6
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
russiaRussiaMatch! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 1x2

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.76
Ball Possession
56%44%
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
77
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
74% (267/361)72% (212/293)
Yellow Cards
20
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.541.76
xG on target (xGOT)
3.452.33
Total shots
1015
Shots on target
77
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
02
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
24
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
44
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
3225
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
35
Free Kicks
1718
Passes
74% (267/361)72% (212/293)
Long passes
28% (16/58)42% (27/64)
Passes in final third
63% (88/140)54% (50/92)
Crosses
24% (6/25)63% (5/8)
Expected assists (xA)
2.371.05
Throw-ins
1518
Fouls
1817
Tackles
67% (8/12)54% (7/13)
Duels won
4457
Clearances
1328
Interceptions
57
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
54
xGOT faced
2.333.45
Goals prevented
0.310.45

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 9', 1 - 0, Zabolotnyi A. , Vera L. (A),
  • 12', 1 - 1, Daku M. , Vada V. (A),
  • 36', Iwu U. , Ivanov O. ,
  • 43', Daku M. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 58', 1 - 2, Daku M. ,
  • 61', Bakaev Z. , Rudenko A. ,
  • 61', Magomedov B. , Corredera A. ,
  • 62', Berkovskiy I. , Farina E. ,
  • 62', Farina E. 🟨,
  • 68', 2 - 2, Rudenko A. ,
  • 73', Kabutov D. , Bezrukov R. ,
  • 73', Jocic B. , Apshatsev M. ,
  • 76', Farina E. 🟥,
  • 79', Stepanov D. , Orinho ,
  • 81', Filin A. 🟨,
  • 88', Zabolotnyi A. , Mirzov R. ,
  • 90+4', 3 - 2, Rudenko A. ,

Chances of winning


Khimki
43.1%
Draw
27.8%
Rubin Kazan
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.1% 27.2% 37.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.9% 27.8% 37%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Khimki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Khimki's performance.
  • Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Rubin Kazan might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Khimki than the current prediction. (-7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Khimki that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Rubin Kazan could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Khimki - Rubin Kazan Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.17
    (2.81)
    3.36
    (3.63)
    3.22
    (2.61)
    7%
    (1.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Khimki - Rubin Kazan?
  • Users Predictions: Khimki will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Khimki will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 12 and 7).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Khimki won 2.
    • Khimki is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Rubin's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Khimki is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Khimki: Farina E. (Muscle Injury) Luna D. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Rubin: Cuni M. (Injury) Hodza V. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Khimki won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Khimki won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 1.2:0.4).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Khimki - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
    03.08.2024 Rubin Kazan - Khimki 2:3
    Latest results of Khimki
    10.05.2025 Orenburg - Khimki 1:1
    04.05.2025 Khimki - Rostov 1:1
    27.04.2025 Khimki - Akron Tolyatti 2:2
    20.04.2025 Zenit - Khimki 1:0
    13.04.2025 Khimki - Krylya Sovetov 1:3
    Latest results of Rubin Kazan
    11.05.2025 Rubin Kazan - Rostov 1:0
    03.05.2025 Krasnodar - Rubin Kazan 2:1
    27.04.2025 Rubin Kazan - Fakel 2:1
    Russian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Krasnodar24165349:173253
    2Zenit24157244:172752
    3Lokomotiv Moscow24129350:331745
    4Baltika241111234:132144
    5CSKA Moscow24133836:261042
    6Spartak Moscow24126638:32642
    7Dynamo Moscow2497843:35834
    8Rubin Kazan2497823:25-234
    9Akhmat Grozny2487929:31-231
    10FK Rostov24681019:26-726
    11Dynamo Makhachkala24581115:30-1523
    12Akron Togliatti24571230:43-1322
    13Krylya Sovetov24571225:44-1922
    14Pari NN24631520:39-1921
    15Orenburg24481224:36-1220
    16Sochi24331821:53-3212

          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ FNL