Result
1:0
30/11/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 17
- Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Asia | Q Sport Asia |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 6 |
Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
Kosovo | Arena Premium 3 |
Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
Serbia | Arena Premium 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 68% | 32% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (488/573) | 75% (203/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.62 | 0.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.40 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 21 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (488/573) | 75% (203/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 52% (33/64) | 37% (15/41) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (116/167) | 49% (33/67) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 50% (4/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.76 | 0.64 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 46% (6/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 19 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.40 | 0.76 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.40 | -0.24 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 18', Jocic B. 🟨,
- 44', Siwe J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Drkusic V. ↓, Gerson ↑,
- 62', Mostovoy A. ↓, Sobolev A. ↑,
- 62', Jocic B. ↓, Hodza V. ↑,
- 62', Cumic N. ↓, Bezrukov R. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 0, Nino ⚽,
- 74', Teslenko E. 🟨,
- 76', Vujacic I. 🟨,
- 84', Glushenkov M. ↓, Erakovic S. ↑,
- 86', Rozhkov I. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
- 90+1', Luiz Henrique ↓, Erokhin A. ↑,
- 90+1', Wendel ↓, Cassierra M. ↑,
- 90+3', Ivanov O. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Zenit 73% | Draw 18.6% | Rubin Kazan 8.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Zenit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.7%)Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Zenit than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
Zenit - Rubin Kazan Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.3 ↓ (1.32) |
5.09 ↑ (4.6) |
11.29 ↑ (9.8) |
5.4% (7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Zenit - Rubin Kazan?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Zenit will win (votes: 8 - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Zenit: 100% – 100%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Zenit will win (2 of 2 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 3 and 7).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 4.
- Zenit is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- In recent matches, Rubin has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Zenit is the undisputed favorite.
- There will not play in Zenit: Cassierra M.
(Leg Injury)
Moskvichev B.
(Knee Injury)
Santos D.
(Shoulder Injury)
Shilov V.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Rubin: Daku M.
(Yellow Cards)
Shvets A.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Rubin: Daku M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Zenit won 14 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 41:15. (average 2.1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Zenit won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 21:9. (average 2.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Zenit won against Rubin Kazan?
Zenit has won 7 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Rubin Kazan won against Zenit?
Rubin Kazan has won 1 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Zenit - Rubin Kazan were as follows:
30.09.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Zenit
0:1
12.08.2025
Zenit
-
Rubin Kazan
3:0
27.07.2025
Rubin Kazan
-
Zenit
2:2
30.03.2025
Zenit
-
Rubin Kazan
4:0
17.09.2024
Zenit
-
Rubin Kazan
2:0
Latest results of Rubin Kazan
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Krasnodar | 27 | 18 | 6 | 3 | 55:21 | 34 | 60 |
| 2 | Zenit | 27 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 47:17 | 30 | 59 |
| 3 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 27 | 13 | 10 | 4 | 51:35 | 16 | 49 |
| 4 | Spartak Moscow | 27 | 14 | 6 | 7 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 5 | Baltika | 27 | 11 | 13 | 3 | 37:17 | 20 | 46 |
| 6 | CSKA Moscow | 27 | 13 | 6 | 8 | 38:28 | 10 | 45 |
| 7 | Rubin Kazan | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 25:26 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Dynamo Moscow | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 46:37 | 9 | 38 |
| 9 | Akhmat Grozny | 27 | 8 | 8 | 11 | 31:37 | -6 | 32 |
| 10 | Akron Togliatti | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 33:45 | -12 | 27 |
| 11 | FK Rostov | 27 | 6 | 9 | 12 | 20:29 | -9 | 27 |
| 12 | Orenburg | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 27:38 | -11 | 26 |
| 13 | Krylya Sovetov | 27 | 6 | 8 | 13 | 29:47 | -18 | 26 |
| 14 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 27 | 5 | 9 | 13 | 17:34 | -17 | 24 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 27 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 23:44 | -21 | 22 |
| 16 | Sochi | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 24:56 | -32 | 18 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL