Result
0:4
28/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 7
- Referee: Kalonov O. (Ukr)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Ukraine | Kyivstar TV, UPL TV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 46% | 54% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 27', 0 - 1, Luca Meirelles ⚽, Bondarenko A. (A),
- 31', 0 - 2, Pedrinho ⚽, Konoplya Y. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 49', 0 - 3, Pedrinho ⚽, Henrique P. (A),
- 56', Luca Meirelles 🟨,
- 57', Slyusar D. ↓, Runich V. ↑,
- 57', Kvasnytsya I. ↓, Raileanu V. ↑,
- 59', Lyakh R. 🟨,
- 62', Marlon Gomes 🟨,
- 62', Slyubyk B. 🟨,
- 64', Kryskiv D. ↓, Ocheretko O. ↑,
- 65', Luca Meirelles ↓, Shved M. ↑,
- 65', Marlon Gomes ↓, Nazaryna Y. ↑,
- 69', Konoplya Y. 🟨,
- 71', Konoplya Y. ↓, Tobias V. ↑,
- 83', Lyakh R. ↓, Yasinsky V. ↑,
- 83', Klayver ↓, Almazbekov B. ↑,
- 86', Edson Fernando ↓, Boyko M. ↑,
- 86', Pedrinho ↓, Lucas Ferreira ↑,
- 90', 0 - 4, Isaque Silva ⚽, Bondar V. (A),
Chances of winning
Rukh Lviv
11.6% | Draw
20.1% | Shakhtar Donetsk
68.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rukh Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shakhtar Donetsk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (+3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
7.4 ↑
(5.9) |
4.27 ↑
(4.1) |
1.25 ↓
(1.42) |
16.8%
(11.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Rukh will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 4 - 80%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH +1.25 - Shakhtar (1.73) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Shakhtar Donetsk will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 4 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 0.
- Recent performances by Rukh have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shakhtar is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shakhtar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Shakhtar is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rukh won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rukh Lviv won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
Rukh Lviv has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Rukh Lviv?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
24.05.2025
Rukh Lviv
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
1:1
01.12.2024
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Rukh Lviv
1:1
07.04.2024
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Rukh Lviv
3:1
23.09.2023
Rukh Lviv
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
1:1
19.03.2023
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Rukh Lviv
2:0
Latest results of Rukh Lviv
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 20 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 48:12 | 36 | 47 |
| 2 | LNZ Cherkasy | 20 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 28:11 | 17 | 44 |
| 3 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 36:14 | 22 | 42 |
| 4 | Dyn. Kyiv | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 44:23 | 21 | 38 |
| 5 | Kryvbas | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 31:27 | 4 | 31 |
| 6 | Metalist 1925 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 22:13 | 9 | 31 |
| 7 | Kolos Kovalivka | 20 | 7 | 8 | 5 | 19:20 | -1 | 29 |
| 8 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 20 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 27:24 | 3 | 28 |
| 9 | Obolon | 20 | 6 | 6 | 8 | 17:29 | -12 | 24 |
| 10 | Karpaty Lviv | 20 | 5 | 8 | 7 | 25:26 | -1 | 23 |
| 11 | Veres-Rivne | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 16:23 | -7 | 22 |
| 12 | Kudrivka | 21 | 5 | 6 | 10 | 24:35 | -11 | 21 |
| 13 | Epitsentr | 20 | 6 | 2 | 12 | 24:33 | -9 | 20 |
| 14 | Rukh Lviv | 20 | 6 | 1 | 13 | 15:30 | -15 | 19 |
| 15 | Oleksandriya | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 14:35 | -21 | 11 |
| 16 | SC Poltava | 20 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 16:51 | -35 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga
