Rukh Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Premier League Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk
Result
0:4
28/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 7
  • Referee: Kalonov O. (Ukr)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
ukraineUkraineKyivstar TV, UPL TV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball Possession
46%54%
Total shots
28
Shots on target
15
Corner Kicks
47
Yellow Cards
23
Total shots
28
Shots on target
15
Shots off target
13
Corner Kicks
47
Offsides
01
Free Kicks
712
Fouls
167

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 2)
  • 27', 0 - 1, Luca Meirelles , Bondarenko A. (A),
  • 31', 0 - 2, Pedrinho , Konoplya Y. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 49', 0 - 3, Pedrinho , Henrique P. (A),
  • 56', Luca Meirelles 🟨,
  • 57', Slyusar D. , Runich V. ,
  • 57', Kvasnytsya I. , Raileanu V. ,
  • 59', Lyakh R. 🟨,
  • 62', Marlon Gomes 🟨,
  • 62', Slyubyk B. 🟨,
  • 64', Kryskiv D. , Ocheretko O. ,
  • 65', Luca Meirelles , Shved M. ,
  • 65', Marlon Gomes , Nazaryna Y. ,
  • 69', Konoplya Y. 🟨,
  • 71', Konoplya Y. , Tobias V. ,
  • 83', Lyakh R. , Yasinsky V. ,
  • 83', Klayver , Almazbekov B. ,
  • 86', Edson Fernando , Boyko M. ,
  • 86', Pedrinho , Lucas Ferreira ,
  • 90', 0 - 4, Isaque Silva , Bondar V. (A),

Chances of winning


Rukh Lviv
11.6%
Draw
20.1%
Shakhtar Donetsk
68.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.2% 21.8% 63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7% 21% 65.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rukh Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shakhtar Donetsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    7.4
    (5.9)
    4.27
    (4.1)
    1.25
    (1.42)
    16.8%
    (11.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Rukh will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Shakhtar will win (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's watch a game between a leader and an outsider (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 0.
    • Recent performances by Rukh have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Shakhtar is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shakhtar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Shakhtar is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rukh won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1
    01.12.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv 1:1
    07.04.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv 3:1
    23.09.2023 Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1
    19.03.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv 2:0
    Latest results of Rukh Lviv
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kryvbas961218:12619
    2Shakhtar Donetsk953115:8718
    3Dyn. Kyiv945023:121117
    4LNZ Cherkasy952210:7317
    5Polissya Zhytomyr951314:8616
    6Metalist 1925843111:5615
    7Kolos Kovalivka94238:7114
    8Obolon93429:9013
    9FK Zorya Luhansk933312:11112
    10Karpaty Lviv825114:12211
    11Kudrivka831412:14-210
    12Veres-Rivne92347:10-39
    13Oleksandriya922510:16-68
    14Rukh Lviv92077:18-116
    15SC Poltava91176:19-134
    16Epitsentr81078:16-83

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga