Result
28/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Chances of winning
Rukh Lviv 8.4% | Draw 17.6% | Shakhtar Donetsk 74% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rukh Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rukh Lviv's form might have worsened.Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shakhtar Donetsk's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rukh Lviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-8.7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
11.18 ↑ (5.9) |
5.34 ↑ (4.1) |
1.27 ↓ (1.42) |
6.6% (11.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 0.
- Recent performances by Rukh have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Shakhtar is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shakhtar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Shakhtar is the obvious favorite.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rukh won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Rukh Lviv won against Shakhtar Donetsk?
Rukh Lviv has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Shakhtar Donetsk won against Rukh Lviv?
Shakhtar Donetsk has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
24.05.2025
Rukh Lviv
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
1:1
01.12.2024
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Rukh Lviv
1:1
07.04.2024
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Rukh Lviv
3:1
23.09.2023
Rukh Lviv
-
Shakhtar Donetsk
1:1
19.03.2023
Shakhtar Donetsk
-
Rukh Lviv
2:0
Latest results of Rukh Lviv
Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
Ukrainian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Dyn. Kyiv | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 11 | 14 |
2 | Shakhtar Donetsk | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 10:4 | 6 | 14 |
3 | Kolos Kovalivka | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 14 |
4 | Kryvbas | 6 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 12 |
5 | Metalist 1925 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:4 | 5 | 11 |
6 | Kudrivka | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 10 |
7 | LNZ Cherkasy | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 10 |
8 | Obolon | 7 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
9 | Polissya Zhytomyr | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 9 |
10 | FK Zorya Luhansk | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9:9 | 0 | 8 |
11 | Karpaty Lviv | 6 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 9:9 | 0 | 7 |
12 | Veres-Rivne | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 7 |
13 | Oleksandriya | 7 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 9:13 | -4 | 7 |
14 | SC Poltava | 7 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 5:13 | -8 | 4 |
15 | Epitsentr | 7 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 7:14 | -7 | 3 |
16 | Rukh Lviv | 6 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 4:12 | -8 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Persha Liga