Rukh Lviv vs Shakhtar Donetsk – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Ukrainian Premier League Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk
28/09/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Rukh Lviv
8.4%
Draw
17.6%
Shakhtar Donetsk
74%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.2% 21.8% 63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.7% 21% 65.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rukh Lviv has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rukh Lviv's form might have worsened.
  • Shakhtar Donetsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Shakhtar Donetsk's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukh Lviv than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rukh Lviv, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Shakhtar Donetsk than the current prediction. (-8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Shakhtar Donetsk, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    11.18
    (5.9)
    5.34
    (4.1)
    1.27
    (1.42)
    6.6%
    (11.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Shakhtar (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation ~ Persha Liga and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 0.
    • Recent performances by Rukh have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Shakhtar is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Shakhtar may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Shakhtar is the obvious favorite.
    • In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Rukh won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:14. (average 0.6:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rukh won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk were as follows:
    24.05.2025 Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1
    01.12.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv 1:1
    07.04.2024 Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv 3:1
    23.09.2023 Rukh Lviv - Shakhtar Donetsk 1:1
    19.03.2023 Shakhtar Donetsk - Rukh Lviv 2:0
    Latest results of Rukh Lviv
    Latest results of Shakhtar Donetsk
    Ukrainian Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Dyn. Kyiv642018:71114
    2Shakhtar Donetsk642010:4614
    3Kolos Kovalivka64208:3514
    4Kryvbas640213:10312
    5Metalist 192563219:4511
    6Kudrivka731311:11010
    7LNZ Cherkasy63125:6-110
    8Obolon72326:7-19
    9Polissya Zhytomyr63036:7-19
    10FK Zorya Luhansk72239:908
    11Karpaty Lviv61419:907
    12Veres-Rivne62134:407
    13Oleksandriya72149:13-47
    14SC Poltava71155:13-84
    15Epitsentr71067:14-73
    16Rukh Lviv61054:12-83

          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Premier League (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ Persha Liga