Rukinzo vs Le Messager de Ngozi – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Primus League - Round 24

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)

Chances of winning


Rukinzo
51%
Draw
27.9%
Le Messager de Ngozi
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60% 25.7% 14.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.7% 25.4% 14.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Rukinzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rukinzo's form might have worsened.
  • Le Messager de Ngozi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Messager de Ngozi's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukinzo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rukinzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Messager de Ngozi than the current prediction. (-7%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Messager de Ngozi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Rukinzo - Le Messager de Ngozi Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.52)
    3.25
    (3.55)
    4.3
    (6.4)
    10.2%
    (9.6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 12).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rukinzo won 2.
    • Rukinzo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Le Messager de Ngozi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Rukinzo is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rukinzo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Rukinzo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Rukinzo - Le Messager de Ngozi were as follows:
    05.10.2025 Le Messager de Ngozi - Rukinzo 0:1
    09.03.2025 Le Messager de Ngozi - Rukinzo 1:2
    08.12.2024 Rukinzo - Le Messager de Ngozi 1:2
    Latest results of Rukinzo
    01.03.2026 Olympique Star - Rukinzo 0:0
    22.02.2026 Rukinzo - Musongati 0:0
    14.02.2026 Rukinzo - Aigle Noir 0:0
    06.02.2026 Green Farmers - Rukinzo 2:4
    30.01.2026 Rukinzo - Kayanza United 4:1
    Latest results of Le Messager de Ngozi
    Burundi Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Aigle Noir ✔ 29208161:253668
    2Musongati29168539:211856
    3Flambeau du Centre29167641:221955
    4Royal Vision291721047:301753
    5Rukinzo29147848:272149
    6Bumamuru29147847:301749
    7Vital'O29138844:271747
    8Muzinga291010932:36-440
    9Olympic S29991132:35-336
    10Ngozi City29891237:39-233
    11Kayanza297121037:44-733
    12Inter Star29881337:39-232
    13Le Messager Ngozi29791328:33-530
    14Dynamik29851634:55-2129
    15Garage Express ✔ 29391715:59-4418
    16Green Farmers ✔ 29142423:80-577

          Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Aigle Noir is Confirmed as championsnQualified for CAF Champions League (Qualification )
    Garage Express is Relegated to
    Green Farmers is Relegated to