Result
1:0
07/03/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Rukinzo 51% | Draw 27.9% | Le Messager de Ngozi 21.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rukinzo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Rukinzo's form might have worsened.Le Messager de Ngozi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Le Messager de Ngozi's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rukinzo than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Rukinzo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Messager de Ngozi than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Le Messager de Ngozi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Rukinzo - Le Messager de Ngozi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.78 ↑ (1.52) |
3.25 ↓ (3.55) |
4.3 ↓ (6.4) |
10.2% (9.6%) | |
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 7 and 12).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rukinzo won 2.
- Rukinzo is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Le Messager de Ngozi has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Rukinzo is the undisputed favorite.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Rukinzo won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 0.8:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Rukinzo won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Rukinzo won against Le Messager de Ngozi?
Rukinzo has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Le Messager de Ngozi won against Rukinzo?
Le Messager de Ngozi has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Rukinzo - Le Messager de Ngozi were as follows:
05.10.2025
Le Messager de Ngozi
-
Rukinzo
0:1
09.03.2025
Le Messager de Ngozi
-
Rukinzo
1:2
08.12.2024
Rukinzo
-
Le Messager de Ngozi
1:2
Latest results of Rukinzo
Latest results of Le Messager de Ngozi
Burundi Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Aigle Noir ✔ | 29 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 61:25 | 36 | 68 |
| 2 | Musongati | 29 | 16 | 8 | 5 | 39:21 | 18 | 56 |
| 3 | Flambeau du Centre | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | 41:22 | 19 | 55 |
| 4 | Royal Vision | 29 | 17 | 2 | 10 | 47:30 | 17 | 53 |
| 5 | Rukinzo | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 48:27 | 21 | 49 |
| 6 | Bumamuru | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 47:30 | 17 | 49 |
| 7 | Vital'O | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 47 |
| 8 | Muzinga | 29 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 32:36 | -4 | 40 |
| 9 | Olympic S | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 32:35 | -3 | 36 |
| 10 | Ngozi City | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 37:39 | -2 | 33 |
| 11 | Kayanza | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | 37:44 | -7 | 33 |
| 12 | Inter Star | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | 37:39 | -2 | 32 |
| 13 | Le Messager Ngozi | 29 | 7 | 9 | 13 | 28:33 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Dynamik | 29 | 8 | 5 | 16 | 34:55 | -21 | 29 |
| 15 | Garage Express ✔ | 29 | 3 | 9 | 17 | 15:59 | -44 | 18 |
| 16 | Green Farmers ✔ | 29 | 1 | 4 | 24 | 23:80 | -57 | 7 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Aigle Noir is Confirmed as championsnQualified for CAF Champions League (Qualification )
Garage Express is Relegated to
Green Farmers is Relegated to