Ryan Day vs Ben Mertens – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:2
07/01/2026 at 09:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • German Masters - Qualification - Semi-finals
  • Where to Watch on TV:
denmarkDenmarkEurosport 1
finlandFinlandEurosport 1
franceFranceEurosport 1
germanyGermanyEurosport 1
hungaryHungaryEurosport 1
italyItalyEurosport 1
netherlandsNetherlandsEurosport 1
norwayNorwayEurosport 1
polandPolandEurosport 1
romaniaRomaniaEurosport 1
spainSpainEurosport 1
turkeyTurkeyEurosport 1

Chances of winning


Ryan Day
62.2%
Ben Mertens
37.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
62.5% 37.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ryan Day has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • Ben Mertens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Day than the current prediction. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ben Mertens than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • Ryan Day - Ben Mertens Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.51
    (1.51)

    2.48
    (2.51)
    6.6%
    (6%)
    Preview Facts
    • Day is ranked World Ranking: 35. Mertens is ranked World Ranking: 67.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • Day may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Day could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Day won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ryan Day - Ben Mertens were as follows:
    11.02.2025 Ryan Day - Ben Mertens 4:2
    Latest results of Ryan Day
    15.12.2025 Matthew Selt - Ryan Day 4:2
    13.12.2025 Ryan Day - Ethan Llewellyn 11:54
    12.12.2025 Ryan Day - Duane Jones 78:28
    10.12.2025 Umut Dikme - Ryan Day 8:90
    29.11.2025 Si Jiahui - Ryan Day 6:0
    Latest results of Ben Mertens
    16.12.2025 Mark Williams - Ben Mertens Mertens B. walkover
    13.12.2025 Ben Mertens - Robbie McGuigan 48:21
    12.12.2025 Ben Mertens - Liam Graham 36:23
    Draw
    Main

    1/16-finals
    1Wilson K.McGill A.5 : 1
    2Hawkins B.Zhang A.2 : 5
    3Yang G.Allen M.3 : 5
    4Leclercq J.Murphy S.1 : 5
    5Williams M.Robertson J.3 : 5
    6Brown J.Jones Jak0 : 5
    7Slessor E.Chadha I.3 : 5
    8Pang J.Robertson N.2 : 5
    9Trump J.Day R.5 : 0
    10Si JiahuiGilbert D.5 : 4
    11Lisowski J.Xiao G.1 : 5
    12Zhou Y.Higgins J.3 : 5
    13Selby M.Si X.4 : 5
    14O'Sullivan R.Carter A.3 : 5
    15Bingham S.Donaldson S.5 : 2
    16Ford T.Zhao X.5 : 3

    1/8-finals
    1Wilson K.Zhang A.5 : 2
    2Allen M.Murphy S.0 : 5
    3Robertson J.Jones Jak5 : 2
    4Chadha I.Robertson N.0 : 5
    5Trump J.Si Jiahui5 : 2
    6Xiao G.Higgins J.5 : 3
    7Si X.Carter A.0 : 5
    8Bingham S.Ford T.5 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Wilson K.Murphy S.1 : 5
    2Robertson J.Robertson N.1 : 5
    3Trump J.Xiao G.5 : 3
    4Carter A.Bingham S.5 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Murphy S.Robertson N.6 : 1
    2Trump J.Carter A.6 : 2

    Final
    1Murphy S.Trump J.4 : 10