Ryan Nijboer vs Juan Manuel La Serna – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
10/11/2024 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Montevideo (Uruguay) - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
25
Double Faults
70
1st Serve Percentage
59%74%
1st Serve Points Won
67% (34/51)57% (43/76)
2nd Serve Points Won
31% (11/35)59% (16/27)
Break Points Saved
33% (3/9)69% (9/13)
1st Return Points Won
43% (33/76)33% (17/51)
2nd Return Points Won
41% (11/27)69% (24/35)
Break Points Converted
31% (4/13)67% (6/9)
Service Points Won
52% (45/86)57% (59/103)
Return Points Won
43% (44/103)48% (41/86)
Total Points Won
47% (89/189)53% (100/189)
Last 10 Balls
37
Match Points Saved
00
Service Games Won
54% (7/13)71% (10/14)
Return Games Won
29% (4/14)46% (6/13)
Total Games Won
41% (11/27)59% (16/27)

Chances of winning


Ryan Nijboer
65.7%
Juan Manuel La Serna
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
71.6% 28.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

74.3% 25.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ryan Nijboer has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryan Nijboer's form might have worsened.
  • Juan Manuel La Serna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Juan Manuel La Serna's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (+8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryan Nijboer, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juan Manuel La Serna than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Juan Manuel La Serna, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ryan Nijboer - Juan Manuel La Serna Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.3)

    2.71
    (3.28)
    7.5%
    (7.4%)
    Preview Facts
    • Nijboer is ranked ATP: 388. La Serna is ranked ATP: 633.
    • One and the other player get a very uncertain game.
    • La Serna could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Nijboer is a favorite.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ryan Nijboer
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Baez S. (1)Guillen Meza A.0 : 2
    2Justo G. I. (Q)Vallejo D.1 : 2
    3Barrena A.Boyer T.2 : 1
    4Collarini A. (Q)Garin C. (5)0 : 2
    5Taberner C. (4)Bueno G.2 : 0
    6Kolar Z.Aguilar Cardozo J. (Q)2 : 0
    7Roncadelli F. (WC)Olivieri G. A.2 : 0
    8Prado Angelo J. C. (NG)Barrios Vera T. (8)0 : 2
    9Buse I. (7)Skatov T.2 : 0
    10Jorda Sanchis D. (Q)Gaubas V.1 : 2
    11Heide G. (PR)Pacheco Mendez R.2 : 0
    12Dutra Da Silva D. (Q)Nava E. (3)0 : 2
    13Burruchaga R. A. (6)Gomez F. A.2 : 1
    14Reis Da Silva J.Mena F. (Q)1 : 2
    15Cecchinato M. (WC)Diaz Acosta F.2 : 0
    16Rodriguez Taverna S. (Alt)Navone M. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Guillen Meza A.Vallejo D.1 : 2
    2Barrena A.Garin C. (5)0 : 2
    3Taberner C. (4)Kolar Z.2 : 0
    4Roncadelli F.Barrios Vera T. (8)0 : 2
    5Buse I. (7)Gaubas V.2 : 1
    6Heide G.Nava E. (3)2 : 1
    7Burruchaga R. A. (6)Mena F.2 : 0
    8Cecchinato M.Navone M. (2)1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Vallejo D.Garin C. (5)1 : 2
    2Taberner C. (4)Barrios Vera T. (8)1 : 2
    3Buse I. (7)Heide G.2 : 0
    4Burruchaga R. A. (6)Navone M. (2)2 : 0

    Semi-finals
    1Garin C. (5)Barrios Vera T. (8)2 : 1
    2Buse I. (7)Burruchaga R. A. (6)2 : 0

    Final
    1Garin C. (5)Buse I. (7)2 : 1