Ryan Nijboer vs Luca Castagnola – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis Cordenons Challenger Men Ryan Nijboer - Luca Castagnola
Result
2:1
05/08/2024 at 05:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Cordenons (Italy) - Qualification, clay - Final
  • Referee: Petrovic M. (Srb)

Match Stats

Aces
21
Double Faults
104
1st Serve Percentage
64%62%
1st Serve Points Won
66% (44/67)40% (18/45)
2nd Serve Points Won
38% (14/37)43% (12/28)
Break Points Saved
64% (7/11)50% (8/16)
1st Return Points Won
60% (27/45)39% (26/67)
2nd Return Points Won
57% (16/28)62% (23/37)
Break Points Converted
50% (8/16)36% (4/11)
Max Points In Row
116
Service Points Won
55% (57/103)41% (30/73)
Return Points Won
59% (43/73)45% (46/103)
Total Points Won
57% (100/176)43% (76/176)
Max Games In Row
94
Service Games Won
69% (9/13)33% (4/12)
Return Games Won
67% (8/12)31% (4/13)
Total Games Won
68% (17/25)32% (8/25)

Chances of winning


Ryan Nijboer
65.4%
Luca Castagnola
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
61.6% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.5% 36.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Luca Castagnola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ryan Nijboer than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Luca Castagnola than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
  • Ryan Nijboer - Luca Castagnola Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.42
    (1.51)

    2.69
    (2.42)
    7.4%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • Nijboer is ranked ATP: 394. Castagnola is ranked ATP: 629.
    • Nijboer is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Castagnola is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Nijboer could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Nijboer will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Recently, the players did not play each other.
    Latest results of Ryan Nijboer
    Latest results of Luca Castagnola
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Ramos A. (1)Neumayer L.2 : 0
    2Collarini A.Mikrut L. (Q)2 : 0
    3Planinsek F. J.Paulson A. (Alt)1 : 2
    4Kirkin E.Crawford O. (5)2 : 1
    5Gaubas V. (4)Gill F.2 : 0
    6Ambrogi L. E. (Q)Sanchez Izquierdo N.2 : 1
    7Picchione A. (Q)Giustino L.1 : 2
    8Vincent Ruggeri S.Maestrelli F. (7)2 : 0
    9Arnaboldi F. (8)Dodig M.2 : 0
    10Nijboer R. (Q)Pecci A. (Q)0 : 2
    11Cretu C.Moeller M.2 : 0
    12Blockx A.Rincon D. (3)2 : 1
    13Fatic N. (6)Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    14Bonadio R. (WC)Sachko V.2 : 0
    15Serdarusic N. (Q)Taberner C.1 : 2
    16Kopp S. (Alt)Moreno De Alboran N. (2)2 : 0

    1/8-finals
    1Ramos A. (1)Collarini A.0 : 2
    2Paulson A.Kirkin E.2 : 1
    3Gaubas V. (4)Ambrogi L. E.2 : 0
    4Giustino L.Vincent Ruggeri S.2 : 0
    5Arnaboldi F. (8)Pecci A.2 : 0
    6Cretu C.Blockx A.0 : 2
    7Schwaerzler J. J.Bonadio R.0 : 2
    8Taberner C.Kopp S.2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Collarini A.Paulson A.1 : 2
    2Gaubas V. (4)Giustino L.2 : 0
    3Arnaboldi F. (8)Blockx A.0 : 2
    4Bonadio R.Taberner C.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paulson A. (RET.)Gaubas V. (4)0 : 1
    2Blockx A.Taberner C.0 : 2

    Final
    1Gaubas V. (4)Taberner C.2 : 1