Ryan Nijboer vs Matteo Covato – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1
01/03/2026 at 04:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Kigali - Qualification, clay - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
148
Double Faults
12
1st serve percentage
69%60%
1st serve points won
80% (49/61)77% (41/53)
2nd serve points won
61% (17/28)51% (18/35)
Break Points Saved
100% (1/1)63% (5/8)
1st return points won
25% (13/53)20% (12/61)
2nd return points won
49% (17/35)39% (11/28)
Break Points Converted
38% (3/8)0% (0/1)
Winners
3625
Unforced errors
3328
Net points won
92% (11/12)65% (11/17)
Service Points Won
74% (66/89)67% (59/88)
Return Points Won
33% (29/88)26% (23/89)
Total Points Won
54% (95/177)46% (82/177)
Last 10 balls
55
Match points saved
00
Service games won
100% (15/15)79% (11/14)
Return games won
21% (3/14)0% (0/15)
Total games won
62% (18/29)38% (11/29)

Chances of winning


Ryan Nijboer
82.2%
Matteo Covato
17.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
75.6% 24.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ryan Nijboer has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Ryan Nijboer's performance.
  • Matteo Covato has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Matteo Covato might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • Ryan Nijboer - Matteo Covato Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.14
    (1.22)

    5.24
    (3.79)
    7%
    (8.1%)
    Preview Facts
    • Nijboer is ranked ATP: 526. Covato is ranked ATP: 738.
    • Nijboer has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Covato's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Nijboer may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Nijboer is a strong favorite.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
    Latest results of Ryan Nijboer
    Latest results of Matteo Covato
    Draw
    Singles - Main

    1/16-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Johns G.2 : 1
    2Bax F.Pennaforti G. (WC)2 : 0
    3Erhard M.Schwaerzler J. J.0 : 2
    4Cuenin S.Kolar Z. (7)0 : 2
    5Carballes Baena R. (4)Kopp S.0 : 2
    6Cecchinato M.Ouakaa A. (WC)2 : 0
    7Ionel N. D. (Q)De Krom M. (Q)1 : 2
    8Pieri S. (Q)Kym J. (5)1 : 2
    9Pavlovic L. (8)Martin Tiffon P.2 : 0
    10Coulibaly E.Bouchelaghem C. (WC)2 : 0
    11Napolitano S. (Q)Denolly C.2 : 0
    12Forejtek J.Mikrut L. (3)0 : 2
    13Clarke J. (6)Hemery C.1 : 2
    14Houkes M.Nijboer R. (Q)0 : 2
    15Martin A.Jianu F. C.0 : 2
    16Dalla Valle E. (Q)Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Bax F.2 : 0
    2Schwaerzler J. J.Kolar Z. (7)2 : 1
    3Kopp S.Cecchinato M.1 : 2
    4De Krom M.Kym J. (5)0 : 2
    5Pavlovic L. (8)Coulibaly E.2 : 0
    6Napolitano S.Mikrut L. (RET.) (3)1 : 1
    7Hemery C.Nijboer R.2 : 0
    8Jianu F. C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1Trungelliti M. (1)Schwaerzler J. J.1 : 2
    2Cecchinato M.Kym J. (RET.) (5)0 : 1
    3Pavlovic L. (8)Napolitano S.0 : 2
    4Hemery C.Gea A. (2)0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Cecchinato M.2 : 0
    2Napolitano S.Gea A. (2)2 : 1

    Final
    1Schwaerzler J. J.Napolitano S.2 : 0