Result
0:2
07/11/2025 at 22:50 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Matsuyama, hard - Semi-finals
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Aces |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Double Faults |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| 1st Serve Percentage |
|---|
| 62% | 49% |
| 1st Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 56% (20/36) | 84% (21/25) |
| 2nd Serve Points Won |
|---|
| 50% (11/22) | 62% (16/26) |
| Break Points Saved |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 0% (0/0) |
| 1st Return Points Won |
|---|
| 24% (6/25) | 47% (17/36) |
| 2nd Return Points Won |
|---|
| 38% (10/26) | 50% (11/22) |
| Break Points Converted |
|---|
| 0% (0/0) | 43% (3/7) |
| Service Points Won |
|---|
| 53% (31/58) | 72% (36/50) |
| Return Points Won |
|---|
| 28% (14/50) | 47% (27/58) |
| Total Points Won |
|---|
| 42% (45/108) | 58% (63/108) |
| Last 10 Balls |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Match Points Saved |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Service Games Won |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 100% (9/9) |
| Return Games Won |
|---|
| 0% (0/9) | 38% (3/8) |
| Total Games Won |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 71% (12/17) |
Chances of winning
Ryan Peniston
34.9% | Sho Shimabukuro
65.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ryan Peniston has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryan Peniston's form might have worsened.Sho Shimabukuro has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Sho Shimabukuro's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryan Peniston than the current prediction. (+5.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryan Peniston, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sho Shimabukuro than the current prediction. (-5.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sho Shimabukuro, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ryan Peniston - Sho Shimabukuro Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.7 ↑
(2.23) |
|
1.44 ↓
(1.61) |
6.8%
(7.2%) | |
Preview Facts
- Peniston is ranked ATP: 194. Shimabukuro is ranked ATP: 157.
- Peniston is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Shimabukuro is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Peniston may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Shimabukuro could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Shimabukuro will win today's game, with odds of 1.61.
- The players have not played against each other recently.
How many head-to-head matches has Ryan Peniston won against Sho Shimabukuro?
Ryan Peniston has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sho Shimabukuro won against Ryan Peniston?
Sho Shimabukuro has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ryan Peniston - Sho Shimabukuro were as follows:
Latest results of Ryan Peniston
Latest results of Sho Shimabukuro
Draw
Singles - Main1/16-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Isomura K. (WC) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Bouzige M. (RET.) | Tokuda R. | 0 : 0 |
| 3 | Sekulic P. | Chung H. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Takahashi Y. | Noguchi R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Crawford O. (3) | Barton H. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Huesler M. | Katayama S. (WC) | 2 : 0 |
| 7 | Basing M. (Q) | Matsuda R. (Q) | 2 : 1 |
| 8 | Kusuhara Y. (WC) | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 9 | Kuzmanov D. (6) | Ajdukovic D. | 0 : 2 |
| 10 | Matsuda K. (Q) | Shelbayh A. | 2 : 0 |
| 11 | Shin S. | Nakagawa S. (Q) | 1 : 2 |
| 12 | Kumasaka T. (Q) | Peniston R. (4) | 0 : 2 |
| 13 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Mochizuki Y. (Q) | 2 : 0 |
| 14 | Jones M. | Johns G. | 1 : 2 |
| 15 | Bigun K. (JR) | Uchiyama Y. | 0 : 2 |
| 16 | Shiraishi H. | Grenier H. (2) | 0 : 2 |
1/8-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Tokuda R. | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Sekulic P. | Noguchi R. (7) | 0 : 2 |
| 3 | Crawford O. (3) | Huesler M. | 2 : 0 |
| 4 | Basing M. | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | Ajdukovic D. | Matsuda K. | 2 : 1 |
| 6 | Nakagawa S. | Peniston R. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 7 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Johns G. | 2 : 0 |
| 8 | Uchiyama Y. | Grenier H. (2) | 1 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Noguchi R. (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 2 | Crawford O. (3) | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Ajdukovic D. | Peniston R. (4) | 1 : 2 |
| 4 | Shimabukuro S. (5) | Grenier H. (2) | 2 : 1 |
Semi-finals| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Ferreira Silva F. (8) | 2 : 0 |
| 2 | Peniston R. (4) | Shimabukuro S. (5) | 0 : 2 |
Final| 1 | Rocha H. (1) | Shimabukuro S. (5) | 2 : 1 |
