Ryuki Matsuda vs Braden Shick – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
15/11/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • CHALLENGER MEN - SINGLES: Yokohama - Qualification, hard - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Aces
48
Double Faults
15
1st Serve Percentage
62%62%
1st Serve Points Won
69% (36/52)67% (33/49)
2nd Serve Points Won
66% (21/32)50% (15/30)
Break Points Saved
80% (4/5)67% (4/6)
1st Return Points Won
33% (16/49)31% (16/52)
2nd Return Points Won
50% (15/30)34% (11/32)
Break Points Converted
33% (2/6)20% (1/5)
Winners
2629
Unforced Errors
2639
Net Points Won
61% (11/18)58% (15/26)
Service Points Won
67% (56/83)62% (48/78)
Return Points Won
38% (30/78)33% (27/83)
Total Points Won
53% (86/161)47% (75/161)
Last 10 Balls
73
Match Points Saved
02
Service Games Won
91% (10/11)82% (9/11)
Return Games Won
18% (2/11)9% (1/11)
Total Games Won
55% (12/22)45% (10/22)

Chances of winning


Ryuki Matsuda
39.2%
Braden Shick
60.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50% 50%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48% 52%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ryuki Matsuda has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ryuki Matsuda's form might have worsened.
  • Braden Shick has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Braden Shick's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ryuki Matsuda than the current prediction. (+8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ryuki Matsuda, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Braden Shick than the current prediction. (-8.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Braden Shick, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ryuki Matsuda - Braden Shick Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.37
    (1.84)

    1.53
    (1.84)
    7.6%
    (8.7%)
    Preview Facts
    • Matsuda is ranked ATP: 536. Shick is ranked ATP: 866.
    • Matsuda has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Shick is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
    • Shick may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The chances of victory for both players are nearly identical in this match.
    • Recently, the players have not faced each other.
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