Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
114:109
10/03/2026 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NBA
  • Where to Watch on TV:
worldWorldNBA Global League Pass

Match Stats

Field goals attempts
9093
Field goals made
4138
Field goals %
45.56%40.86%
2-point field goals attempts
7050
2-point field goals made
3425
2-point field goals %
48.57%50%
3-point field goals attempts
2043
3-point field goals made
713
3-point field goals %
35%30.23%
Free throws attempts
3022
Free throws made
2520
Free throws %
83.3%90.9%
Offensive rebounds
88
Defensive rebounds
4440
Total rebounds
5248
Assists
2229
Blocks
72
Turnovers
1115
Steals
107
Personal fouls
1823
Technical fouls
00

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sacramento Kings
58.6%
Indiana Pacers
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.7% 39.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56% 44%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sacramento Kings has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)
  • Indiana Pacers has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sacramento Kings than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indiana Pacers than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Sacramento Kings - Indiana Pacers Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.65
    (1.56)

    2.33
    (2.41)
    3.7%
    (5.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 235.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 1 (-3)
    What is the prediction for Sacramento Kings - Indiana Pacers?
  • Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Sacramento will win (votes: 7 - 58.3%). Indiana will win (votes: 5 - 41.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Sacramento: 30.4%86.2%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Indiana Pacers will win (4 of 5 users predict this - 80%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 120:117.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 15).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 1.
    • Sacramento has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Indiana is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • Sacramento will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Sacramento: Cardwell D. (Ankle Injury) Hunter D. (Eye injury) LaVine Z. (Finger Injury) Murray K. (Ankle Injury) Sabonis D. (Lower Back Injury)
    • There will not play in Indiana: Furphy J. (Knee Injury) Haliburton T. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Siakam P. (Wrist Injury) Zubac I. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Sacramento won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 2186:2252. (average 109.3:112.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Sacramento won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 1019:1022. (average 113.2:113.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sacramento Kings - Indiana Pacers were as follows:
    08.12.2025 Indiana Pacers - Sacramento Kings 116:105
    31.03.2025 Indiana Pacers - Sacramento Kings 111:109
    22.12.2024 Sacramento Kings - Indiana Pacers 95:122
    02.02.2024 Indiana Pacers - Sacramento Kings 122:133
    18.01.2024 Sacramento Kings - Indiana Pacers 121:126
    Latest results of Sacramento Kings
    Latest results of Indiana Pacers
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Oklahoma City Thunder (1)Phoenix Suns (8)4 : 0
    2Los Angeles Lakers (4)Houston Rockets (5)3 : 1
    3San Antonio Spurs (2)Portland Trail Blazers (7)3 : 1
    4Denver Nuggets (3)Minnesota Timberwolves (6)2 : 3
    5Detroit Pistons (1)Orlando Magic (8)1 : 3
    6Cleveland Cavaliers (4)Toronto Raptors (5)2 : 2
    7Boston Celtics (2)Philadelphia 76ers (7)3 : 1
    8New York Knicks (3)Atlanta Hawks (6)2 : 2