Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu
Result
3:4
06/07/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
812
Shots on Goal
57
Shots off Goal
35
Free Kicks
910
Corner Kicks
56
Offsides
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Fouls
99
Yellow Cards
21
Total Passes
587414
Completed Passes
523332
Tackles
1222
Attacks
10589
Dangerous Attacks
5533
Clearances Completed
133
Crosses Completed
49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Yamazaki K. , Kikuchi T. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Taniguchi K. , Komi Y. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 2, Yokoyama A. , Kimura S. (A),
  • 34', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
  • 43', Naganuma Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Hino S. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 51', 1 - 3, Naganuma Y. ,
  • 52', 1 - 4, Yokoyama A. , Fukuta A. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 4, Fitzgerald M. , Shimada Y. (A),
  • 61', Matsuda E. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 61', Taniguchi K. , Ono Y. ,
  • 61', Hasegawa M. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 61', Deng T. , Inamura H. ,
  • 65', Kikuchi T. , Tezuka K. ,
  • 67', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
  • 79', Marcelo Ryan , Kawahara S. ,
  • 79', Yokoyama A. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 84', 3 - 4, Fujiwara S. , Ono Y. (A),
  • 87', Fukuta A. , Ueebisu K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
52.7%
Draw
24.4%
Sagan Tosu
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 25.6% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 25% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.83)
    3.85
    (3.69)
    4.09
    (4.14)
    6.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Niigata: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2.
    • Niigata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Tosu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tosu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Niigata is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Niigata to win the game is with odds 1.78.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Niigata won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    24.02.2024 Sagan Tosu - Albirex Niigata 1:2
    21.10.2023 Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu 1:1
    20.05.2023 Sagan Tosu - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds23107632:24837
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2387821:23-231
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League