Albirex Niigata vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu
Result
3:4
06/07/2024 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 22
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
59%41%
Goal Attempts
812
Shots on Goal
57
Shots off Goal
35
Free Kicks
910
Corner Kicks
56
Offsides
10
Goalkeeper Saves
32
Fouls
99
Yellow Cards
21
Total Passes
587414
Completed Passes
523332
Tackles
1222
Attacks
10589
Dangerous Attacks
5533
Clearances Completed
133
Crosses Completed
49

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 2)
  • 13', 0 - 1, Yamazaki K. , Kikuchi T. (A),
  • 17', 1 - 1, Taniguchi K. , Komi Y. (A),
  • 32', 1 - 2, Yokoyama A. , Kimura S. (A),
  • 34', Fitzgerald M. 🟨,
  • 43', Naganuma Y. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 46', Hino S. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 51', 1 - 3, Naganuma Y. ,
  • 52', 1 - 4, Yokoyama A. , Fukuta A. (A),
  • 61', 2 - 4, Fitzgerald M. , Shimada Y. (A),
  • 61', Matsuda E. , Danilo Gomes ,
  • 61', Taniguchi K. , Ono Y. ,
  • 61', Hasegawa M. , Takagi Y. ,
  • 61', Deng T. , Inamura H. ,
  • 65', Kikuchi T. , Tezuka K. ,
  • 67', Danilo Gomes 🟨,
  • 79', Marcelo Ryan , Kawahara S. ,
  • 79', Yokoyama A. , Nakahara H. ,
  • 84', 3 - 4, Fujiwara S. , Ono Y. (A),
  • 87', Fukuta A. , Ueebisu K. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Albirex Niigata
52.7%
Draw
24.4%
Sagan Tosu
22.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
51.6% 25.6% 22.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.9% 25% 22.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Albirex Niigata has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)
  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Albirex Niigata than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.83)
    3.85
    (3.69)
    4.09
    (4.14)
    6.5%
    (6.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What is the prediction for Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Niigata will win (votes: 5 - 55.6%). Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 33.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Niigata: 23.1%88.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 14 and 17).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Niigata won 2.
    • Niigata is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recent matches Tosu is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tosu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match Niigata is a favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Niigata to win the game is with odds 1.78.
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Niigata won 10 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 20-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Niigata won 7 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-4.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    24.02.2024 Sagan Tosu - Albirex Niigata 1:2
    21.10.2023 Albirex Niigata - Sagan Tosu 1:1
    20.05.2023 Sagan Tosu - Albirex Niigata 2:0
    Latest results of Albirex Niigata
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto26146643:301348
    2Kashima Antlers26153838:251348
    3Kashiwa Reysol26138536:251147
    4Machida26144839:251446
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima26144830:181246
    6Vissel Kobe26144834:25946
    7Urawa Reds26128636:261044
    8Kawasaki Frontale26109741:32939
    9Cerezo Osaka26107940:37337
    10Okayama261061025:23236
    11Avispa Fukuoka2699827:26136
    12Gamba Osaka261041229:35-634
    13Shimizu S-Pulse26871130:35-531
    14Verdy26871116:25-931
    15FC Tokyo26861229:37-830
    16Nagoya Grampus26771230:37-728
    17Shonan Bellmare26671322:41-1925
    18Yokohama F. Marinos26661426:34-824
    19Yokohama FC26641616:32-1622
    20Albirex Niigata26481426:45-1920

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