Sagan Tosu vs Júbilo Iwata – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
29/11/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 38
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
60%40%
Total shots
711
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
88
Passes
85% (401/471)75% (248/332)
Yellow Cards
22
Total shots
711
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
36
Corner Kicks
88
Offsides
14
Free Kicks
106
Passes
85% (401/471)75% (248/332)
Fouls
913

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 31', Imazu Y. 🟨,
  • 43', Kaneko D. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Uehara R. , Inoue S. ,
  • 46', Yamada H. , Shinkawa S. ,
  • 63', Sumi K. , Matheus Peixoto ,
  • 63', Nakamura S. , Kawai T. ,
  • 65', Nishizawa K. , Suzuki D. ,
  • 68', 0 - 1, Matsubara K. , Watanabe R. (A),
  • 74', Sakurai T. , Nishiya K. ,
  • 74', Nagasawa S. , Uehara M. ,
  • 78', Matsumoto N. , Jo ,
  • 87', Slivka V. 🟨,
  • 89', 1 - 1, Suzuki D. , Slivka V. (A),
  • 90', Matsubara K. , Kawasaki I. ,
  • 90+1', 1 - 2, Ricardo Graca , Matheus Peixoto (A),
  • 90+1', Ricardo Graca 🟨,
  • 90+6', Van den Bergh J. , Morioka R. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Sagan Tosu
38.7%
Draw
26.7%
Júbilo Iwata
34.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 27.7% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2% 27.3% 37.2%

Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.39
(2.59)
3.48
(3.35)
2.67
(2.54)
8%
(7.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Iwata will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 8 and 7)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 3.
    • Tosu has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Iwata is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 7 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 23:21. (average 1.2:1.1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata were as follows:
    22.02.2025 Júbilo Iwata - Sagan Tosu 1:0
    08.12.2024 Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata 3:0
    11.05.2024 Júbilo Iwata - Sagan Tosu 0:3
    24.05.2023 Sagan Tosu - Júbilo Iwata 0:2
    05.04.2023 Júbilo Iwata - Sagan Tosu 1:2
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Latest results of Júbilo Iwata
    Draw
    Promotion

    Semi-finals
    1Chiba (3)Omiya Ardija (6)4 : 3
    2Tokushima (4)Iwata (5)1 : 1

    Final
    1Chiba (3)Tokushima (4)