Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kashima Antlers - Sagan Tosu
Result
3:0
07/08/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
149
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
77
Free Kicks
1213
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
41
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Fouls
911
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
457612
Completed Passes
367522
Tackles
1212
Attacks
115102
Dangerous Attacks
3548
Clearances Completed
2213
Crosses Completed
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Nono K. , Shibasaki G. (A),
  • 38', Nakahara H. 🟨,
  • 42', Fukuta A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Nishiya K. , Kawahara S. ,
  • 47', Morooka S. 🟨,
  • 49', Kawahara S. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Nakama H. , Suzuki Y. (A),
  • 60', Kiyotake H. , Togashi C. ,
  • 62', Togashi C. 🟨,
  • 74', Fukuta A. , Slivka V. ,
  • 74', Kim Tae-Hyeon , Kimura S. ,
  • 78', Nakama H. , Fujii T. ,
  • 78', Shibasaki G. , Higuchi Y. ,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Anzai K. , Fujii T. (A),
  • 84', Harada W. , Narahara Y. ,
  • 84', Nakahara H. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 87', Nago S. , Milosavljevic R. ,
  • 87', Morooka S. , Guilherme Parede ,
  • 90', Nono K. , Sugai H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashima Antlers
59.3%
Draw
22.1%
Sagan Tosu
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 20.9% 13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4% 20.3% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashima Antlers's form might have worsened.
  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sagan Tosu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kashima Antlers - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.44)
    4.29
    (4.51)
    5.09
    (6.87)
    6.2%
    (6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 22 - 84.6%). Tosu will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 70.7%98.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashima won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Kashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Kashima have a series of home games.
    • In this match Kashima is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashima won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31-21.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kashima won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    20.04.2024 Sagan Tosu - Kashima Antlers 4:2
    19.08.2023 Kashima Antlers - Sagan Tosu 2:1
    27.05.2023 Sagan Tosu - Kashima Antlers 2:2
    16.09.2022 Sagan Tosu - Kashima Antlers 1:1
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kyoto27156647:301751
    2Kashima Antlers27163840:261451
    3Machida28155842:261650
    4Kashiwa Reysol27148540:271350
    5Vissel Kobe28155836:261050
    6Sanfrecce Hiroshima28154933:191449
    7Urawa Reds27128738:30844
    8Kawasaki Frontale27119745:351042
    9Okayama271161026:23339
    10Cerezo Osaka27108941:38338
    11Avispa Fukuoka27910827:26137
    12Gamba Osaka281141333:40-737
    13Shimizu S-Pulse27881130:35-532
    14Verdy27871216:28-1231
    15FC Tokyo27861329:41-1230
    16Nagoya Grampus27771333:41-828
    17Yokohama F. Marinos27671426:34-825
    18Shonan Bellmare27671422:42-2025
    19Yokohama FC27641718:35-1722
    20Albirex Niigata27481527:47-2020

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League