Kashima Antlers vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Kashima Antlers - Sagan Tosu
Result
3:0
07/08/2024 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • JAPAN: J1 League - Round 25
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Goal Attempts
149
Shots on Goal
72
Shots off Goal
77
Free Kicks
1213
Corner Kicks
54
Offsides
41
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Fouls
911
Yellow Cards
14
Total Passes
457612
Completed Passes
367522
Tackles
1212
Attacks
115102
Dangerous Attacks
3548
Clearances Completed
2213
Crosses Completed
31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 18', 1 - 0, Nono K. , Shibasaki G. (A),
  • 38', Nakahara H. 🟨,
  • 42', Fukuta A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Nishiya K. , Kawahara S. ,
  • 47', Morooka S. 🟨,
  • 49', Kawahara S. 🟨,
  • 53', 2 - 0, Nakama H. , Suzuki Y. (A),
  • 60', Kiyotake H. , Togashi C. ,
  • 62', Togashi C. 🟨,
  • 74', Fukuta A. , Slivka V. ,
  • 74', Kim Tae-Hyeon , Kimura S. ,
  • 78', Nakama H. , Fujii T. ,
  • 78', Shibasaki G. , Higuchi Y. ,
  • 79', 3 - 0, Anzai K. , Fujii T. (A),
  • 84', Harada W. , Narahara Y. ,
  • 84', Nakahara H. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 87', Nago S. , Milosavljevic R. ,
  • 87', Morooka S. , Guilherme Parede ,
  • 90', Nono K. , Sugai H. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Kashima Antlers
59.3%
Draw
22.1%
Sagan Tosu
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 20.9% 13.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.4% 20.3% 13.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Kashima Antlers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kashima Antlers's form might have worsened.
  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kashima Antlers than the current prediction. (+8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kashima Antlers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Sagan Tosu, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Kashima Antlers - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.58
    (1.44)
    4.28
    (4.51)
    5.11
    (6.87)
    6.1%
    (6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Kashima Antlers - Sagan Tosu?
  • Users Predictions: 26 users predict this event. Kashima will win (votes: 22 - 84.6%). Tosu will win (votes: 2 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 7.7%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Kashima: 70.7%98.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kashima won 1.
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • Kashima could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Recently Kashima have a series of home games.
    • In this match Kashima is a favorite.
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Kashima won 10 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 31-21.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kashima won 7 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 17-7.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Kashima Antlers - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    20.04.2024 Sagan Tosu - Kashima Antlers 4:2
    19.08.2023 Kashima Antlers - Sagan Tosu 2:1
    27.05.2023 Sagan Tosu - Kashima Antlers 2:2
    16.09.2022 Sagan Tosu - Kashima Antlers 1:1
    Latest results of Kashima Antlers
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers33205852:282465
    2Kyoto33179757:352260
    3Kashiwa Reysol331612548:331560
    4Vissel Kobe33186943:281560
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima33177939:231658
    6Machida331671049:351455
    7Kawasaki Frontale331411860:451553
    8Urawa Reds331410940:32852
    9Gamba Osaka331551346:47-150
    10Cerezo Osaka3311101250:49143
    11Shimizu S-Pulse3310111235:39-441
    12Okayama331181429:35-641
    13FC Tokyo331181436:46-1041
    14Avispa Fukuoka3310101332:37-540
    15Nagoya Grampus331091440:48-839
    16Verdy331091421:35-1439
    17Yokohama F. Marinos33871832:44-1231
    18Yokohama FC33871821:37-1631
    19Shonan Bellmare33672028:57-2925
    20Albirex Niigata334101930:55-2522

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League