Result
3:2
30/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 28
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (364/440) | 86% (464/541) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (364/440) | 86% (464/541) |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 19', 1 - 0, Doi S. ⚽, Disaro A. S. (A),
- 22', 2 - 0, Kida R. ⚽, Nakamura R. (A),
- 25', 3 - 0, Okamoto K. ⚽,
- 45+2', 3 - 1, Yamada H. ⚽, Nagasawa S. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Yamada H. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
- 59', Ogawa S. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
- 59', Sakai N. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
- 63', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
- 63', Doi S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
- 65', Nagasawa S. ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
- 72', Tanaka W. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
- 72', Disaro A. S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
- 79', 3 - 2, Shinkawa S. ⚽, Kitajima F. (A),
- 79', Kimoto Y. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
- 81', Nakamura R. 🟨,
- 90+3', Kida R. ↓, Kawai A. ↑,
- 90+6', Heward-Belle T. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Montedio Yamagata
36.4% | Draw
29.6% | Sagan Tosu
34% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↑
(2.43) |
3.1 ↓
(3.26) |
2.72 ↓
(2.78) |
8.3%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 9).
- Recent performances by Montedio Yamagata have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tosu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.
How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against Sagan Tosu?
Montedio Yamagata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Montedio Yamagata?
Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
25.04.2025
Sagan Tosu
-
Montedio Yamagata
2:1
Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mito | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 45:28 | 17 | 54 |
| 2 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 29 | 15 | 9 | 5 | 48:39 | 9 | 54 |
| 3 | Chiba | 29 | 15 | 6 | 8 | 40:27 | 13 | 51 |
| 4 | Tokushima | 29 | 13 | 9 | 7 | 29:17 | 12 | 48 |
| 5 | Iwata | 29 | 14 | 6 | 9 | 44:36 | 8 | 48 |
| 6 | Vegalta Sendai | 29 | 12 | 12 | 5 | 33:27 | 6 | 48 |
| 7 | Omiya Ardija | 29 | 13 | 8 | 8 | 39:25 | 14 | 47 |
| 8 | Sagan Tosu | 29 | 13 | 7 | 9 | 34:31 | 3 | 46 |
| 9 | Imabari | 29 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 35:30 | 5 | 43 |
| 10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 29 | 12 | 4 | 13 | 36:49 | -13 | 40 |
| 11 | Iwaki | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 44:37 | 7 | 39 |
| 12 | Kofu | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 31:30 | 1 | 38 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 42:41 | 1 | 35 |
| 14 | Blaublitz | 29 | 10 | 5 | 14 | 39:48 | -9 | 35 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | 35:38 | -3 | 33 |
| 16 | Kumamoto | 29 | 9 | 6 | 14 | 35:43 | -8 | 33 |
| 17 | Oita Trinita | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | 23:33 | -10 | 30 |
| 18 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 29 | 4 | 13 | 12 | 27:37 | -10 | 25 |
| 19 | Toyama | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 22:39 | -17 | 23 |
| 20 | Ehime | 29 | 2 | 11 | 16 | 27:53 | -26 | 17 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League
