Montedio Yamagata vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

30/08/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

ND Soft Stadium Yamagata (Tendo).

J2 League - Round 28
Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Ball Possession
45%	55%
Total shots
17	12
Shots on target
7	4
Corner Kicks
4	3
Passes
83% (364/440)	86% (464/541)
Yellow Cards
2	0
Total shots
17	12
Shots on target
7	4
Shots off target
10	8
Corner Kicks
4	3
Offsides
2	0
Free Kicks
8	11
Passes
83% (364/440)	86% (464/541)
Fouls
9	8
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
19', 1 - 0, Doi S. ⚽, Disaro A. S. (A),
22', 2 - 0, Kida R. ⚽, Nakamura R. (A),
25', 3 - 0, Okamoto K. ⚽,
45+2', 3 - 1, Yamada H. ⚽, Nagasawa S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yamada H. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
59', Ogawa S. ↓, Kitajima F. ↑,
59', Sakai N. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
63', Kokubu S. ↓, Sakamoto K. ↑,
63', Doi S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
65', Nagasawa S. ↓, Sakaiya K. ↑,
72', Tanaka W. ↓, Terayama T. ↑,
72', Disaro A. S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
79', 3 - 2, Shinkawa S. ⚽, Kitajima F. (A),
79', Kimoto Y. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
81', Nakamura R. 🟨,
90+3', Kida R. ↓, Kawai A. ↑,
90+6', Heward-Belle T. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Montedio Yamagata
36.4%

Draw
29.6%

Sagan Tosu
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.1%

28.4%

33.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38%

28.3%

33.5%

Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.55 ↑ (2.43)	3.1 ↓ (3.26)	2.72 ↓ (2.78)	8.3% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). Tosu will win (votes: 3 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 15 and 9).
Recent performances by Montedio Yamagata have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
Tosu is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Montedio Yamagata won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 1.3:2.5).
Including home match between the teams, Montedio Yamagata won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3.

How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against Sagan Tosu?

Montedio Yamagata has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Montedio Yamagata?

Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Montedio Yamagata - Sagan Tosu were as follows:

25.04.2025 Sagan Tosu - Montedio Yamagata 2:1

Latest results of Montedio Yamagata

23.08.2025 Tokushima Vortis - Montedio Yamagata 1:0 ✺

16.08.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Iwaki 1:0 ✺

10.08.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Mito HollyHock 1:2 ✺

06.08.2025 Montedio Yamagata - Urawa Red Diamonds 1:2 ✺

02.08.2025 Ventforet Kofu - Montedio Yamagata 1:3 ✺

Latest results of Sagan Tosu

23.08.2025 Sagan Tosu - Mito HollyHock 2:2 ✺

17.08.2025 Sagan Tosu - V-Varen Nagasaki 1:2 ✺

10.08.2025 Ehime - Sagan Tosu 0:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Consadole Sapporo - Sagan Tosu 1:0 ✺

16.07.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Sagan Tosu 1:0 ✺

Japan J2 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Mito	34	18	10	6	51:30	21	64
2	V-Varen Nagasaki	34	17	12	5	56:41	15	63
3	Chiba	34	17	8	9	44:31	13	59
4	Vegalta Sendai	34	15	13	6	43:32	11	58
5	Tokushima	34	16	9	9	38:21	17	57
6	Omiya Ardija	34	16	9	9	50:34	16	57
7	Sagan Tosu	34	16	8	10	44:38	6	56
8	Iwata	34	16	6	12	52:47	5	54
9	Iwaki	34	13	10	11	51:41	10	49
10	Imabari	34	12	13	9	41:36	5	49
11	Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo	34	14	4	16	41:56	-15	46
12	Montedio Yamagata	34	12	7	15	50:49	1	43
13	Kofu	34	11	10	13	36:39	-3	43
14	Blaublitz	34	10	9	15	40:50	-10	39
15	Oita Trinita	34	8	14	12	25:36	-11	38
16	Fujieda MYFC	34	9	10	15	38:44	-6	37
17	Kumamoto	34	9	8	17	40:53	-13	35
18	Renofa Yamaguchi	34	5	14	15	31:43	-12	29
19	Toyama	34	6	9	19	25:46	-21	27
20	Ehime	34	3	11	20	33:62	-29	20

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