Result
2:1
25/04/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 11
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (286/378) | 72% (346/479) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 23 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (286/378) | 72% (346/479) |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 0)
- 19', 1 - 0, Inoue T. ⚽,
- 31', 2 - 0, Nishikawa J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Nodake H. ↓, Fujimoto Y. ↑,
- 46', Yamada T. ↓, Kawai A. ↑,
- 64', Shinkawa S. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
- 64', Matsuda E. ↓, Uehara M. ↑,
- 64', Sakurai T. ↓, Matsumoto N. ↑,
- 68', Doi S. ↓, Takahashi J. ↑,
- 78', Ogawa S. 🟨,
- 78', Yoshio Kaina 🟨,
- 79', Yoshio Kaina ↓, Issaka Z. ↑,
- 79', Disaro A. S. ↓, Horikane S. ↑,
- 79', Nishikawa J. ↓, Horigome Y. ↑,
- 87', Arai H. ↓, Imazu Y. ↑,
- 88', Nishimura K. 🟨,
- 90+1', 2 - 1, Horikane S. ⚽, Kato C. (A),
- 90+4', Suzuki D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
39.4% | Draw
28% | Montedio Yamagata
32.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Montedio Yamagata has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Montedio Yamagata than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Sagan Tosu - Montedio Yamagata Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↓
(2.46) |
3.31 ↓
(3.37) |
2.82 ↑
(2.67) |
7.9%
(7.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Montedio Yamagata?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Tosu will win (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Montedio Yamagata will win (votes: 1 - 6.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Tosu: 46.1% – 91.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tosu (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we will watch a game between teams from the middle of a tournament table (ranked 8 and 10).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Tosu won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:4 (average 2.7:1.3).
- Including matches at home between the teams Tosu won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5:3 (average 2.5:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Montedio Yamagata?
Sagan Tosu has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Montedio Yamagata won against Sagan Tosu?
Montedio Yamagata has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Montedio Yamagata were as follows:
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Montedio Yamagata
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mito | 24 | 14 | 6 | 4 | 37:19 | 18 | 48 |
| 2 | Chiba | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 42 |
| 3 | Vegalta Sendai | 24 | 11 | 9 | 4 | 28:21 | 7 | 42 |
| 4 | Omiya Ardija | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 34:21 | 13 | 41 |
| 5 | Tokushima | 24 | 11 | 8 | 5 | 24:13 | 11 | 41 |
| 6 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 24 | 10 | 9 | 5 | 39:35 | 4 | 39 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 25:22 | 3 | 39 |
| 8 | Iwata | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 37:32 | 5 | 38 |
| 9 | Imabari | 24 | 8 | 10 | 6 | 28:23 | 5 | 34 |
| 10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 31:39 | -8 | 34 |
| 11 | Kofu | 24 | 8 | 8 | 8 | 24:23 | 1 | 32 |
| 12 | Fujieda MYFC | 24 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 28:32 | -4 | 28 |
| 13 | Iwaki | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 30:34 | -4 | 27 |
| 14 | Oita Trinita | 24 | 6 | 9 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 27 |
| 15 | Blaublitz | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 32:43 | -11 | 27 |
| 16 | Montedio Yamagata | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 34:36 | -2 | 26 |
| 17 | Kumamoto | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 28:37 | -9 | 24 |
| 18 | Toyama | 24 | 5 | 7 | 12 | 19:29 | -10 | 22 |
| 19 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 24 | 3 | 11 | 10 | 21:30 | -9 | 20 |
| 20 | Ehime | 24 | 2 | 10 | 12 | 23:41 | -18 | 16 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League
