Sagan Tosu vs Roasso Kumamoto – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:1 penalties
15/02/2026 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • J2/J3 League - Round 2
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball possession
59%41%
Total shots
87
Shots on target
54
Corner kicks
20
Yellow cards
14
Total shots
87
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
33
Corner kicks
20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 6', 1 - 0, Nishizawa K. ,
  • 30', Kobayashi K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', Bae Jeong-Min , Handai M. ,
  • 61', Omoto Y. , Nagai S. ,
  • 64', Fujii K. 🟨,
  • 65', Mishima S. , Negishi K. ,
  • 65', Kamimura S. , Nasu K. ,
  • 68', Yuba K. , Sakamoto K. ,
  • 68', Matsuoka H. , Kitajima F. ,
  • 72', Nasu K. 🟨,
  • 74', Tanaka Y. , Jojo K. ,
  • 74', Suzuki D. , Sakai N. ,
  • 76', Matsuda E. , Aoki S. ,
  • 84', Nishizawa K. , Matsumoto N. ,
  • 85', Ri T. 🟨,
  • 86', Sakai N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 89', 1 - 1, Iihoshi A. , Nagai S. (A),
  • 90+1', Ogawa S. 🟨,
  • Penalties (4 - 3)
  • 1, Handai M. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 1, Jojo K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Nasu K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 2, Kitajima F. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Aoki S. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 3, Matsumoto N. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Negishi K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 4, Sakamoto K. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 5, Nagai S. (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Sagan Tosu
50.9%
Draw
26.4%
Roasso Kumamoto
22.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 26.3% 25.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)
  • Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.87)
    3.52
    (3.46)
    4.08
    (3.61)
    7.9%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 3.
    • Tosu could have a small edge in this match.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 2.1:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 13:9. (average 2.6:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto 4:2
    30.03.2025 Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu 3:1
    24.04.2024 Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu 0:1
    12.07.2023 Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto 3:4
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    Latest results of Roasso Kumamoto
    Japan J2 J3 League Table
    2026

    East A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Vegalta Sendai431008:211
    2Shonan Bellmare430019:39
    3Blaublitz430017:59
    4Montedio Yamagata421017:58
    5Kusatsu310114:54
    6Vanraure310111:24
    7Tochigi SC310026:43
    8Yokohama FC410036:83
    9Sagamihara310023:73
    10Tochigi City400043:130


    East B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Omiya Ardija4400013:412
    2Kofu431009:211
    3Gifu431007:211
    4Iwaki420115:47
    5Fujieda MYFC420115:57
    6Iwata402024:44
    7Yamaga410033:63
    8Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo401035:72
    9Nagano400222:72
    10Fukushima Utd400132:141


    West A
    PlWWLLPts
    1Kochi United4301010:610
    2Tokushima4300112:39
    3Albirex Niigata430016:49
    4Toyama4210110:58
    5Kanazawa411116:66
    6Imabari411023:35
    7Nara Club410123:114
    8Ehime401125:73
    9Osaka401123:63
    10Kamatamare410032:93


    West B
    PlWWLLPts
    1Tegevajaro Miyazaki4400010:412
    2Kumamoto4301010:510
    3Oita Trinita430017:39
    4Kagoshima Utd430017:49
    5Gainare Tottori411025:65
    6Ryukyu402025:74
    7Renofa Yamaguchi410123:54
    8Reilac Shiga410123:64
    9Sagan Tosu401125:73
    10Giravanz Kitakyushu400043:110

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