Result
4:2
20/09/2025 at 06:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J2 League - Round 30
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (293/391) | 83% (534/644) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (293/391) | 83% (534/644) |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 4 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 27', 1 - 0, Sakai N. ⚽, Inoue T. (A),
- 42', 1 - 1, Mishima S. ⚽, Konagaya C. (A),
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 50', Ri T. 🟨,
- 60', Sakai N. ↓, Shinkawa S. ↑,
- 60', Slivka V. ↓, Yamada H. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 1, Shinkawa S. ⚽, Yamada H. (A),
- 73', Matsumoto N. 🟨,
- 74', Omoto Y. ↓, Abe K. ↑,
- 74', Kumashiro K. ↓, Handai M. ↑,
- 76', Matsumoto N. ↓, Nishiya K. ↑,
- 77', 3 - 1, Nishikawa J. ⚽,
- 82', Konagaya C. ↓, Takemoto Y. ↑,
- 82', Fujii K. ↓, Osaki S. ↑,
- 84', 4 - 1, Shinkawa S. (Pen),
- 86', Nishikawa J. ↓, Suzuki D. ↑,
- 86', Nishizawa K. ↓, Hino S. ↑,
- 90+1', 4 - 2, Abe K. ⚽,
- 90+4', Yamada H. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sagan Tosu
43.4% | Draw
28% | Roasso Kumamoto
28.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.17 ↑
(2.14) |
3.3 ↑
(3.21) |
3.27 ↑
(3.26) |
7%
(8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto?
Users Predictions:
Sagan Tosu will win
(5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 8 and 16).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 3.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Tosu could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Tosu won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Tosu won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:7. (average 2.3:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Sagan Tosu won against Roasso Kumamoto?
Sagan Tosu has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Roasso Kumamoto won against Sagan Tosu?
Roasso Kumamoto has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto were as follows:
30.03.2025
Roasso Kumamoto
-
Sagan Tosu
3:1
24.04.2024
Roasso Kumamoto
-
Sagan Tosu
0:1
12.07.2023
Sagan Tosu
-
Roasso Kumamoto
3:4
Latest results of Sagan Tosu
Latest results of Roasso Kumamoto
Japan J2 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mito | 31 | 16 | 10 | 5 | 47:28 | 19 | 58 |
| 2 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 31 | 15 | 11 | 5 | 49:40 | 9 | 56 |
| 3 | Chiba | 31 | 16 | 7 | 8 | 43:29 | 14 | 55 |
| 4 | Vegalta Sendai | 31 | 14 | 12 | 5 | 39:28 | 11 | 54 |
| 5 | Tokushima | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | 33:20 | 13 | 51 |
| 6 | Omiya Ardija | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 45:31 | 14 | 50 |
| 7 | Sagan Tosu | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 39:34 | 5 | 50 |
| 8 | Iwata | 31 | 14 | 6 | 11 | 48:42 | 6 | 48 |
| 9 | Imabari | 31 | 12 | 11 | 8 | 39:33 | 6 | 47 |
| 10 | Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo | 31 | 13 | 4 | 14 | 38:53 | -15 | 43 |
| 11 | Kofu | 31 | 11 | 9 | 11 | 35:33 | 2 | 42 |
| 12 | Iwaki | 31 | 10 | 10 | 11 | 46:40 | 6 | 40 |
| 13 | Montedio Yamagata | 31 | 11 | 5 | 15 | 45:45 | 0 | 38 |
| 14 | Blaublitz | 31 | 10 | 7 | 14 | 40:49 | -9 | 37 |
| 15 | Fujieda MYFC | 31 | 9 | 9 | 13 | 37:41 | -4 | 36 |
| 16 | Kumamoto | 31 | 9 | 7 | 15 | 39:49 | -10 | 34 |
| 17 | Oita Trinita | 31 | 7 | 12 | 12 | 24:36 | -12 | 33 |
| 18 | Renofa Yamaguchi | 31 | 4 | 13 | 14 | 28:40 | -12 | 25 |
| 19 | Toyama | 31 | 5 | 9 | 17 | 24:43 | -19 | 24 |
| 20 | Ehime | 31 | 3 | 11 | 17 | 30:54 | -24 | 20 |
Promotion ~ J1 League
Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
Relegation ~ J3 League
