Roasso Kumamoto vs Sagan Tosu – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J2 League Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu
Result
3:1
30/03/2025 at 00:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J2 League - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
168
Shots on target
93
Corner Kicks
55
Passes
77% (403/523)82% (508/623)
Total shots
168
Shots on target
93
Shots off target
75
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
617
Passes
77% (403/523)82% (508/623)
Fouls
164
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Fujii K. , Shiohama R. (A),
  • 36', 2 - 0, Fujii K. , Handai M. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Slivka V. , Shinkawa S. ,
  • 46', Nishiya K. , Matsumoto N. ,
  • 52', 3 - 0, Hakamata Y. ,
  • 63', Nishikawa J. , Horigome Y. ,
  • 63', Ogawa S. , Kitajima F. ,
  • 69', Watanabe R. , Omoto Y. ,
  • 69', Mishima S. , Kuroki K. ,
  • 77', Sakurai T. , Hino S. ,
  • 79', Shiohama R. , Matsuoka R. ,
  • 79', Handai M. , Osaki S. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 1, Hino S. , Kitajima F. (A),

Chances of winning


Roasso Kumamoto
38.3%
Draw
28.3%
Sagan Tosu
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.7% 27.1% 33.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41% 26.2% 32.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Roasso Kumamoto has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)
  • Sagan Tosu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sagan Tosu than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.4
    (2.34)
    3.23
    (3.43)
    2.76
    (2.8)
    8.8%
    (7.5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 14).
    • Kumamoto is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Tosu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Tosu could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Kumamoto won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 7:10 (average 1.4:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Kumamoto won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu were as follows:
    24.04.2024 Roasso Kumamoto - Sagan Tosu 0:1
    12.07.2023 Sagan Tosu - Roasso Kumamoto 3:4
    Latest results of Roasso Kumamoto
    Latest results of Sagan Tosu
    15.03.2025 Sagan Tosu - Omiya Ardija 1:0
    09.03.2025 Iwaki - Sagan Tosu 1:1
    01.03.2025 Sagan Tosu - Imabari 1:4
    Japan J2 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Mito23146336:171948
    2Chiba23125633:211241
    3Vegalta Sendai23118428:21741
    4Sagan Tosu23116625:21439
    5Omiya Ardija23108532:211138
    6Tokushima23108523:131038
    7Iwata23115736:28838
    8V-Varen Nagasaki23108539:35438
    9Kofu2388723:20332
    10Imabari23710627:23431
    11Hokkaido Consadole Sapporo23941030:39-931
    12Oita Trinita2369820:23-327
    13Fujieda MYFC23761026:30-427
    14Iwaki2368928:32-426
    15Blaublitz23731328:42-1424
    16Montedio Yamagata23651231:35-423
    17Toyama23571119:27-822
    18Kumamoto23561226:36-1021
    19Renofa Yamaguchi233101019:28-919
    20Ehime232101123:40-1716

          Promotion ~ J1 League
          Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion: )
          Relegation ~ J3 League