Niagara IceDogs vs Saginaw Spirit – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:5 penalties
05/03/2026 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • OHL

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Period (3 - 0)
  • 03:50, 1 - 0, Read N. (G), Doherty S. (A), Barnes B. (A2)
  • 07:06, 2 - 0, Edgar R. (G),
  • 17:57, 3 - 0, Simon Wang (G),
  • 3rd Period (1 - 4)
  • 03:32, 4 - 0, Patterson R. (G), Czata E. (A),
  • 08:40, 4 - 1, Hanrahan R. (G), Guo J. (A), Geldart G. (A2)
  • 12:05, 4 - 2, Klepov N. (G),
  • 18:07, 4 - 3, Cloutier J. (G),
  • 18:55, 4 - 4, Harmer C. (G),
  • Overtime (0 - 0)
  • Penalties (0 - 1)
  • 1, Klepov N. (Penalty Shot),
  • 1, Patterson R. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Harmer C. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2, Edgar R. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Zhilkin D. (Penalty Shot),
  • 3, Reid H. (Penalty Shot),

Chances of winning


Niagara IceDogs
39.2%
Draw
19.4%
Saginaw Spirit
41.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43% 19.8% 37.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.4% 21.6% 40.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Niagara IceDogs has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)
  • Saginaw Spirit has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Niagara IceDogs than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saginaw Spirit than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Niagara IceDogs - Saginaw Spirit Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.35
    (2.14)
    4.75
    (4.64)
    2.23
    (2.47)
    8.5%
    (8.8%)
    Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ OHL (Play Offs: ))
    • Niagara is Qualified for OHL (Play Offs )
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Saginaw may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Niagara has had a series of away games.
    • Recently, Saginaw has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • We predict that Niagara will win today's game, with odds of 2.51.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Niagara won 10 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 63:65. (average 3.2:3.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Niagara won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 37:32. (average 3.7:3.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Niagara IceDogs - Saginaw Spirit were as follows:
    26.09.2025 Saginaw Spirit - Niagara IceDogs 4:5
    09.01.2025 Niagara IceDogs - Saginaw Spirit 7:2
    29.12.2024 Saginaw Spirit - Niagara IceDogs 6:3
    26.11.2023 Saginaw Spirit - Niagara IceDogs 6:2
    18.11.2023 Niagara IceDogs - Saginaw Spirit 2:3
    Latest results of Niagara IceDogs
    Latest results of Saginaw Spirit
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/8-finals
    1Brantford Bulldogs (1)Sudbury Wolves (8)4 : 0
    2Peterborough Petes (4)North Bay Battalion (5)2 : 4
    3Barrie Colts (2)Niagara IceDogs (7)4 : 1
    4Ottawa 67s (3)Kingston Frontenacs (6)4 : 0
    5Kitchener Rangers (1)Saginaw Spirit (8)4 : 0
    6London Knights (4)Soo Greyhounds (5)1 : 4
    7Windsor Spitfires (2)Guelph Storm (7)4 : 0
    8Flint Firebirds (3)Owen Sound Attack (6)4 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Brantford Bulldogs (1)North Bay Battalion (5)4 : 0
    2Barrie Colts (2)Ottawa 67s (3)3 : 1
    3Kitchener Rangers (1)Soo Greyhounds (5)3 : 1
    4Windsor Spitfires (2)Flint Firebirds (3)4 : 0