Result
1:1
09/03/2025 at 12:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: Ligue 1 - Round 25
- Referee: Turpin C. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 9, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, beIN Sports MENA Max 2, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 5 |
 Canada | beIN Connect |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, MAXtv To Go |
 Czech-republic | Nova Sport 6 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | DAZN 4, DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | FanCode, FanCode, GXR World |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2 |
 Slovakia | Voyo |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2 MAX, beIN Sports 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 6 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, Fanatiz, Tubi TV |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.55 | 1.41 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 9 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 13 | 17 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 26 | 35 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (283/358) | 85% (355/420) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 71% (71/100) | 81% (129/159) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 9% (2/23) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 60% (6/10) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 25 | 35 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 10', 0 - 1, Stassin L. ⚽,
- 16', Ballo-Toure F. ↓, Zouaoui Y. ↑,
- 22', Lloris G. 🟨,
- 32', Zouaoui Y. 🟨,
- 45+1', Toure A. (Pen),
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Toure A. ⚽,
- 45+3', Cardona I. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 50', Moueffek A. 🟨,
- 61', Moueffek A. ↓, Tardieu F. ↑,
- 67', Diawara M. ↓, Ayew A. ↑,
- 67', Hassan A. ↓, Joujou A. ↑,
- 82', Bouchouari B. ↓, Fomba L. ↑,
- 85', Soumare I. ↓, Pembele T. ↑,
- 85', Casimir J. ↓, Ndiaye R. ↑,
- 90+1', Macon Y. ↓, Appiah D. ↑,
- 90+1', Stassin L. ↓, Sissoko I. ↑,
- 90+4', Fomba L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Le Havre
41.9% | Draw
27.7% | Saint-Étienne
30.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Le Havre has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Le Havre than the current prediction. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+2%)
Le Havre - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.38) |
3.45 ↓
(3.47) |
3.13 ↑
(2.9) |
4.8%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fubo (for US customers) Network on : beIN SPORTS 5
What is the prediction for Le Havre - Saint-Étienne?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Le Havre will win (votes: 13 - 76.5%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Le Havre: 56.3% – 96.7%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Recent matches Le Havre is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Saint-Étienne has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Saint-Étienne could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Le Havre will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Le Havre: Logbo A.
(Shoulder Injury)
Mosengo D. N.
(Knee Injury)
Sangante A.
(Back Injury)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Batubinsika D.
(Yellow Cards)
Old B.
(Knee Injury)
Wadji I.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Le Havre: Kechta Y.
(Inactive)
Kitala Y.
(Inactive)
Kuzyaev D.
(Ankle Injury)
Mwanga J.
(Red Card)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Le Havre won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 10:2 (average 3.3:0.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Le Havre won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2:2
How many head-to-head matches has Le Havre won against Saint-Étienne?
Le Havre has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Le Havre?
Saint-Étienne has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Le Havre - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
24.08.2024
Saint-Étienne
-
Le Havre
0:2
18.03.2023
Le Havre
-
Saint-Étienne
2:2
Latest results of Le Havre
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 24 | 18 | 3 | 3 | 53:19 | 34 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 24 | 17 | 2 | 5 | 45:21 | 24 | 53 |
| 3 | Lyon | 24 | 14 | 3 | 7 | 39:26 | 13 | 45 |
| 4 | Marseille | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | 51:33 | 18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lille | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 37:31 | 6 | 40 |
| 6 | Rennes | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 38:35 | 3 | 40 |
| 7 | Monaco | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 40:36 | 4 | 37 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 24 | 10 | 5 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 35 |
| 9 | Brest | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 32:34 | -2 | 33 |
| 10 | Lorient | 24 | 8 | 9 | 7 | 34:38 | -4 | 33 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 33:28 | 5 | 31 |
| 12 | Angers | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 22:30 | -8 | 29 |
| 13 | Le Havre | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 20:30 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Paris FC | 24 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 28:40 | -12 | 26 |
| 15 | Nice | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | 30:44 | -14 | 24 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 24 | 4 | 6 | 14 | 19:35 | -16 | 18 |
| 17 | Nantes | 24 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 22:41 | -19 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 24 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 22:53 | -31 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
