Result
3:1
26/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 31
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
Argentina | Disney+ |
Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
Belgium | DAZN 1 |
Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
Chile | Disney+ |
China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
Denmark | Viaplay |
Finland | Viaplay |
France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
India | GXR World |
Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
Japan | DAZN Japan |
Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
Netherlands | Viaplay |
North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
Peru | Disney+ |
Portugal | Sport TV4 |
Russia | Okko Sport |
Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
South-korea | Coupang Play |
Spain | beIN Sports |
Sweden | Viaplay |
Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
Turkey | beIN Connect |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.83 | 1.96 |
Ball Possession |
---|
51% | 49% |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
91% (512/563) | 88% (477/542) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
1 | 0 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.83 | 1.96 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
3.79 | 1.59 |
Total shots |
---|
18 | 17 |
Shots on target |
---|
7 | 6 |
Shots off target |
---|
6 | 6 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
5 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
13 | 11 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
5 | 6 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 1 |
Big Chances |
---|
4 | 4 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
5 | 8 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
38 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
2 | 1 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 1 |
Free Kicks |
---|
7 | 10 |
Passes |
---|
91% (512/563) | 88% (477/542) |
Long passes |
---|
59% (19/32) | 60% (33/55) |
Passes in final third |
---|
84% (97/116) | 79% (132/168) |
Crosses |
---|
38% (9/24) | 19% (3/16) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
2.33 | 1.52 |
Throw-ins |
---|
19 | 17 |
Fouls |
---|
10 | 7 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (15/21) | 75% (12/16) |
Duels won |
---|
49 | 36 |
Clearances |
---|
20 | 18 |
Interceptions |
---|
4 | 5 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 4 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.59 | 3.79 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.59 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Moreira D. ⚽, Emegha E. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Petrot L. (A),
- 37', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', 2 - 1, Emegha E. ⚽, Moreira D. (A),
- 65', Doukoure I. ↓, Doue G. ↑,
- 65', Nanasi S. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
- 70', Moueffek A. ↓, Mouton L. ↑,
- 70', Cardona I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
- 80', Stassin L. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Bakwa D. ⚽, Lemarechal F. (A),
- 84', Lemarechal F. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 90', Bakwa D. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg 61.3% | Draw 20.9% | Saint-Étienne 17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.55 ↓ (1.6) |
4.54 ↑ (4.53) |
5.32 ↑ (4.92) |
5.2% (4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 44.2% – 78.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 2.
- Strasbourg is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Saint-Étienne is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Strasbourg is a favorite.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Dion M. S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A.
(Ankle Injury)
Bouchouari B.
(Back Injury)
Cornud P.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Strasbourg to win the game is with odds 1.6.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:15 (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:5 (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Saint-Étienne?
Strasbourg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Strasbourg?
Saint-Étienne has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
02.11.2024
Saint-Étienne
-
Strasbourg
2:0
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Auxerre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Le Havre | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Lille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Lorient | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Metz | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Monaco | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | Nantes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Nice | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | PSG | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Strasbourg | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Angers | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Brest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Paris FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Marseille | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Toulouse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Lens | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Rennes | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Lyon | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2