Result
3:1
26/04/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 1 - Round 31
- Referee: Bastien B. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | CANAL+ Sport 2 |
 Andorra | beIN Sports 1 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, TOD |
 Austria | DAZN, Sky Go Austria |
 Belgium | DAZN 1 |
 Bosnia-and-herzegovina | Arena Sport 4 |
 Canada | beIN Connect, beIN Sports |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 China | QQ Sports, ZhiBo8 |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go |
 Cyprus | Cablenet Sports 2, Cablenet Sports 2 |
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Finland | Viaplay |
 France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free |
 Germany | DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN 1 Deutsch |
 India | GXR World |
 Israel | 5 PLUS Israel |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Mexico | Caliente TV App, Caliente TV |
 Netherlands | Viaplay |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 North-macedonia | MaxTV GO |
 Norway | Viaplay, V Sport 3 |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | Sport TV4 |
 Russia | Okko Sport |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 3 |
 South-korea | Coupang Play |
 Spain | beIN Sports |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV |
 Turkey | beIN Connect |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 1 |
 United-kingdom | Ligue 1 Pass |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | beIN Connect, beIN Sports, Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
 World | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 1.96 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (512/563) | 88% (477/542) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.83 | 1.96 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.79 | 1.59 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 17 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 38 | 27 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 91% (512/563) | 88% (477/542) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 59% (19/32) | 60% (33/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (97/116) | 79% (132/168) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 38% (9/24) | 19% (3/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.33 | 1.52 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (15/21) | 75% (12/16) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 20 | 18 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.59 | 3.79 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.59 | 0.79 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 7', 1 - 0, Moreira D. ⚽, Emegha E. (A),
- 19', 1 - 1, Davitashvili Z. ⚽, Petrot L. (A),
- 37', Omobamidele A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 63', 2 - 1, Emegha E. ⚽, Moreira D. (A),
- 65', Doukoure I. ↓, Doue G. ↑,
- 65', Nanasi S. ↓, Diarra H. ↑,
- 70', Moueffek A. ↓, Mouton L. ↑,
- 70', Cardona I. ↓, Old B. ↑,
- 80', Stassin L. ↓, Wadji I. ↑,
- 83', 3 - 1, Bakwa D. ⚽, Lemarechal F. (A),
- 84', Lemarechal F. ↓, Amo-Ameyaw S. ↑,
- 90', Bakwa D. ↓, Ouattara A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Strasbourg
61.3% | Draw
20.9% | Saint-Étienne
17.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Strasbourg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Saint-Étienne has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Strasbourg than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Étienne than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.6) |
4.54 ↑
(4.53) |
5.32 ↑
(4.92) |
5.2%
(4.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.25
What is the prediction for Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne?
Users Predictions:
31 users predict this event. Strasbourg will win (votes: 19 - 61.3%). Saint-Étienne will win (votes: 5 - 16.1%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 22.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Strasbourg: 44.2% – 78.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Strasbourg (votes: 3 - 50%). Tie (votes: 3 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%).
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%).
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 2.
- Strasbourg is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Recent matches Saint-Étienne is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- In this match Strasbourg is a favorite.
- There will not play in Strasbourg: Dion M. S.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Saint-Étienne: Boakye A.
(Ankle Injury)
Bouchouari B.
(Back Injury)
Cornud P.
(Groin Injury)
- There are questionable in Strasbourg: Sow S.
(Knee Injury)
- Our prediction for today's Strasbourg to win the game is with odds 1.6.
- Last 11 head-to-head matches Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 16:15 (average 1.5:1.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Strasbourg won 4 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11:5 (average 1.8:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Strasbourg won against Saint-Étienne?
Strasbourg has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Étienne won against Strasbourg?
Saint-Étienne has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Strasbourg - Saint-Étienne were as follows:
02.11.2024
Saint-Étienne
-
Strasbourg
2:0
Latest results of Strasbourg
Latest results of Saint-Étienne
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lyon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | PSG | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 6 |
| 3 | Marseille | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Monaco | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | Nice | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Strasbourg | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Toulouse | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Rennes | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 9 | Angers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 10 | Auxerre | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 11 | Lille | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Brest | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3:3 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Lorient | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Nantes | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 15 | Lens | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 16 | Le Havre | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Paris FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 18 | Metz | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
