Result
0:1
10/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 8
- Referee: Smet W. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Africa | SupeSport ESPN 2 |
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Belgium | DAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1 |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go |
 Denmark | Bold+ |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | Sportdigital+ |
 Greece | Nova Sports Start |
 Israel | Sport 2 |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 Kenya | Gotv |
 Mexico | Disney+, ESPN 4 |
 Netherlands | Sporza, Ziggo Sport 2 |
 North-central-america | Disney+ Caribbean |
 Norway | VG+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Portugal | DAZN 4 |
 Romania | Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5 |
 Slovakia | Arena sport 2 |
 Spain | GolStadium |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2 |
 Turkey | Exxen |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.16 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (360/451) | 76% (220/291) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.14 | 2.16 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 5 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 12 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (360/451) | 76% (220/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (29/59) | 58% (28/48) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (70/114) | 61% (51/83) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (4/15) | 25% (2/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.39 | 0.85 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 23 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 78% (14/18) | 68% (15/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 40 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 18 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 0.74 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | 0.74 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 8', Ivanovic F. (Pen),
- 27', 0 - 1, Fuseini M. ⚽, Ivanovic F. (A),
- 33', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 37', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
- 43', Niang O. ↓, Castro-Montes A. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Huerta Valera C. S. ↓, Stroeykens M. ↑,
- 50', Sadiki N. 🟨,
- 55', Pocognoli S. 🟨,
- 57', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
- 64', Dolberg K. (Pen),
- 72', Verschaeren Y. ↓, De Cat N. ↑,
- 72', Maamar A. ↓, Degreef T. ↑,
- 72', N'Diaye M. ↓, Augustinsson L. ↑,
- 79', Mac Allister K. ↓, Sykes R. ↑,
- 79', Fuseini M. ↓, David P. ↑,
- 82', Degreef T. 🟨,
- 88', Hazard T. ↓, Vazquez L. ↑,
- 89', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 89', Ivanovic F. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 90+3', Sykes R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Anderlecht
25.6% | Draw
28.3% | Saint-Gilloise
46.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+9.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-8.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.68 ↑
(2.76) |
3.34 ↓
(3.49) |
2.07 ↓
(2.48) |
5.4%
(5.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise?
Users Predictions:
Saint-Gilloise will win
(10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.92% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 1.
- Anderlecht is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Union SG is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Union SG will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Anderlecht: Degreef T.
(Back Injury)
Sardella K.
(Hamstring Injury)
- There will not play in Union SG: Boufal S.
(Muscle Injury)
Van De Perre K.
(Yellow Cards)
- In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.9:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.9:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Anderlecht won against Saint-Gilloise?
Anderlecht has won 1 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Anderlecht?
Saint-Gilloise has won 6 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
12.04.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Anderlecht
2:0
23.02.2025
Anderlecht
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:2
01.09.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Anderlecht
0:0
05.05.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Anderlecht
0:0
14.04.2024
Anderlecht
-
Saint-Gilloise
2:1
Latest results of Anderlecht
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 12:3 | 9 | 10 |
| 2 | St. Truiden | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 10 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 11:5 | 6 | 9 |
| 4 | Club Brugge KV | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5:3 | 2 | 8 |
| 6 | St. Liege | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:5 | 0 | 7 |
| 7 | Antwerp | 4 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 6:4 | 2 | 6 |
| 8 | Genk | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 4 |
| 9 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:5 | -1 | 4 |
| 10 | Gent | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 11 | Waregem | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
| 12 | RAAL La Louviere | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2:5 | -3 | 3 |
| 13 | Westerlo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:11 | -5 | 3 |
| 14 | Charleroi | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 15 | Dender | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 2 |
| 16 | Leuven | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4:12 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
