Anderlecht vs Saint-Gilloise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise
Result
0:1
10/05/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Championship Group - Round 8
  • Referee: Smet W. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
africaAfricaSupeSport ESPN 2
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1, DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1
brazilBrazilDisney+
canadaCanadaDAZN Canada
croatiaCroatiaArena Sport 2, MAXtv To Go
denmarkDenmarkBold+
franceFranceDAZN France
germanyGermanySportdigital+
greeceGreeceNova Sports Start
israelIsraelSport 2
japanJapanDAZN Japan
kenyaKenyaGotv
mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN 4
netherlandsNetherlandsSporza, Ziggo Sport 2
north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean
norwayNorwayVG+
peruPeruDisney+
portugalPortugalDAZN 4
romaniaRomaniaOrange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
slovakiaSlovakiaArena sport 2
spainSpainGolStadium
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 2, Blue Sport 2
turkeyTurkeyExxen
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.142.16
Ball Possession
61%39%
Total shots
67
Shots on target
23
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
24
Passes
80% (360/451)76% (220/291)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.142.16
xG on target (xGOT)
0.741.35
Total shots
67
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
32
Blocked Shots
12
Shots inside the Box
55
Shots outside the Box
12
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
24
Touches in opposition box
1223
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
12
Free Kicks
1211
Passes
80% (360/451)76% (220/291)
Long passes
49% (29/59)58% (28/48)
Passes in final third
61% (70/114)61% (51/83)
Crosses
27% (4/15)25% (2/8)
Expected assists (xA)
0.390.85
Throw-ins
2321
Fouls
1112
Tackles
78% (14/18)68% (15/22)
Duels won
4046
Clearances
1815
Interceptions
611
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
10
Goalkeeper Saves
22
xGOT faced
1.350.74
Goals prevented
0.350.74

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 8', Ivanovic F. (Pen),
  • 27', 0 - 1, Fuseini M. , Ivanovic F. (A),
  • 33', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 37', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
  • 43', Niang O. , Castro-Montes A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Huerta Valera C. S. , Stroeykens M. ,
  • 50', Sadiki N. 🟨,
  • 55', Pocognoli S. 🟨,
  • 57', N'Diaye M. 🟨,
  • 64', Dolberg K. (Pen),
  • 72', Verschaeren Y. , De Cat N. ,
  • 72', Maamar A. , Degreef T. ,
  • 72', N'Diaye M. , Augustinsson L. ,
  • 79', Mac Allister K. , Sykes R. ,
  • 79', Fuseini M. , David P. ,
  • 82', Degreef T. 🟨,
  • 88', Hazard T. , Vazquez L. ,
  • 89', Ait El Hadj A. , Rasmussen M. ,
  • 89', Ivanovic F. , Rodriguez K. ,
  • 90+3', Sykes R. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Anderlecht
25.6%
Draw
28.3%
Saint-Gilloise
46.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 27.2% 38.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.9% 27.5% 38%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Anderlecht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Anderlecht's form might have worsened.
  • Saint-Gilloise has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Saint-Gilloise's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Anderlecht than the current prediction. (+9.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Anderlecht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (-8.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.68
    (2.76)
    3.34
    (3.49)
    2.07
    (2.48)
    5.4%
    (5.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise?
  • Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (10 of 11 users predict this - 90.91%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 73.92%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 1.
    • Anderlecht is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Union SG is in superb shape, having picked up a string of victories recently (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Union SG may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Union SG will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Anderlecht: Degreef T. (Back Injury) Sardella K. (Hamstring Injury)
    • There will not play in Union SG: Boufal S. (Muscle Injury) Van De Perre K. (Yellow Cards)
    • In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Anderlecht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 14:28. (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Anderlecht won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:16. (average 0.9:2.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht 2:0
    23.02.2025 Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise 0:2
    01.09.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht 0:0
    05.05.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Anderlecht 0:0
    14.04.2024 Anderlecht - Saint-Gilloise 2:1
    Latest results of Anderlecht
    04.05.2025 Club Brugge - Anderlecht 2:1
    01.05.2025 Royal Antwerp - Anderlecht 1:3
    27.04.2025 Gent - Anderlecht 0:1
    23.04.2025 Anderlecht - Gent 5:0
    20.04.2025 Anderlecht - Royal Antwerp 0:0
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    03.05.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Genk 1:0
    20.04.2025 Genk - Saint-Gilloise 1:2
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Anderlecht11005:233
    2St. Truiden11003:123
    3St. Liege11002:023
    4Club Brugge KV11002:113
    5Leuven10102:201
    6Charleroi10102:201
    7Antwerp10101:101
    8KV Mechelen10101:101
    9Waregem10101:101
    10Royale Union SG10101:101
    11Cercle Brugge KSV10100:001
    12Dender10100:001
    13Genk10011:2-10
    14Gent10011:3-20
    15RAAL La Louviere10010:2-20
    16Westerlo10012:5-30

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