Result
1:1
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 20
- Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Denmark | DAZN |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.27 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (166/273) | 76% (363/480) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.53 | 2.27 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.34 | 2.68 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 16 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 30 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 61% (166/273) | 76% (363/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 26% (19/72) | 57% (42/74) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 44% (51/115) | 64% (82/128) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (6/15) | 33% (9/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.70 | 1.70 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 63% (12/19) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 70 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 43 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.68 | 2.34 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.68 | 1.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 17', 0 - 1, Rasmussen M. ⚽,
- 32', Guilherme Smith 🟨,
- 43', 1 - 1, Magnee G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 45', van der Bruggen H. 🟨,
- 45', Sykes R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Agyekum L. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
- 59', Diaby I. 🟨,
- 60', Giger M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 72', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
- 74', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 76', Diaby I. 🟨,
- 87', Burgess C. 🟨,
- 89', Guilherme Smith ↓, Patris L. ↑,
- 90+3', Gerkens P. ↓, De Wilde N. ↑,
- 90+6', Ngoura S. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,
Chances of winning
Cercle Brugge
24.4% | Draw
26.8% | Saint-Gilloise
48.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.84 ↓
(4.1) |
3.51 ↓
(3.7) |
1.94 ↑
(1.82) |
6.2%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise?
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Cercle Brugge (votes: 2 - 25%). Union SG (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Saint-Gilloise will win
(20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 2.
- Cercle Brugge is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Union SG has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Union SG has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Union SG is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Diakite O.
(International duty)
Ouattara A. K.
(Injury)
Valy K.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Union SG: Florucz R.
(Calf Injury)
Mac Allister K.
(Inactive)
Zorgane A.
(International duty)
- There are questionable in Union SG: Fuseini M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Cercle Brugge won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Cercle Brugge won against Saint-Gilloise?
Cercle Brugge has won 2 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Cercle Brugge?
Saint-Gilloise has won 5 of their last 9 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
22.11.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Cercle Brugge
2:0
08.12.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:0
27.10.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Cercle Brugge
1:3
19.05.2024
Cercle Brugge
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:2
07.04.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Cercle Brugge
2:3
Latest results of Cercle Brugge
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
Championship Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 36 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 35 |
| 3 | St. Truiden | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 29 |
| 4 | Gent | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 24 |
| 6 | Anderlecht | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2:4 | -2 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League ~ Play Offs: )
