Cercle Brugge vs Saint-Gilloise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Belgian Jupiler Pro League
Result
1:1
26/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Jupiler Pro League - Round 20
  • Referee: D'hondt L. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.532.27
Ball Possession
36%64%
Total shots
921
Shots on target
58
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
44
Passes
61% (166/273)76% (363/480)
Yellow Cards
34
Red Cards
11
Expected Goals (xG)
1.532.27
xG on target (xGOT)
2.342.68
Total shots
921
Shots on target
58
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
13
Shots inside the Box
816
Shots outside the Box
15
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
24
Corner Kicks
44
Touches in opposition box
1030
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1511
Passes
61% (166/273)76% (363/480)
Long passes
26% (19/72)57% (42/74)
Passes in final third
44% (51/115)64% (82/128)
Crosses
40% (6/15)33% (9/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.701.70
Throw-ins
2022
Fouls
1115
Tackles
54% (7/13)63% (12/19)
Duels won
4970
Clearances
4326
Interceptions
199
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
74
xGOT faced
2.682.34
Goals prevented
1.681.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 17', 0 - 1, Rasmussen M. ⚽,
  • 32', Guilherme Smith 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 1, Magnee G. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 45', van der Bruggen H. 🟨,
  • 45', Sykes R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Agyekum L. ↓, Diaby I. ↑,
  • 59', Diaby I. 🟨,
  • 60', Giger M. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
  • 72', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
  • 74', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 76', Diaby I. 🟨,
  • 87', Burgess C. 🟨,
  • 89', Guilherme Smith ↓, Patris L. ↑,
  • 90+3', Gerkens P. ↓, De Wilde N. ↑,
  • 90+6', Ngoura S. ↓, Kouassi K. ↑,

Chances of winning


Cercle Brugge
24.4%		Draw
26.8%		Saint-Gilloise
48.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
22.9% 25.4% 51.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9% 24.3% 49.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Cercle Brugge has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cercle Brugge than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+0.8%)
    •

    Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.84 ↓
    (4.1)    		 3.51 ↓
    (3.7)    		 1.94 ↑
    (1.82)    		 6.2%
    (6.4%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Cercle Brugge (votes: 2 - 25%). Union SG (votes: 5 - 62.5%). Tie (votes: 1 - 12.5%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Saint-Gilloise will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 15 in the zone Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 2.
    • Cercle Brugge is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Union SG has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Union SG has had a series of home games.
    • In this match, Union SG is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Cercle Brugge: Diakite O. (International duty) Ouattara A. K. (Injury) Valy K. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Union SG: Florucz R. (Calf Injury) Mac Allister K. (Inactive) Zorgane A. (International duty)
    • There are questionable in Union SG: Fuseini M. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Cercle Brugge won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 26:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Cercle Brugge won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.9:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
    22.11.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge 2:0
    08.12.2024 Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise 0:0
    27.10.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge 1:3
    19.05.2024 Cercle Brugge - Saint-Gilloise 1:2
    07.04.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Cercle Brugge 2:3
    Latest results of Cercle Brugge
    21.12.2025 Oud-Heverlee Leuven - Cercle Brugge 0:2 ✺
    13.12.2025 Cercle Brugge - KV Mechelen 2:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Cercle Brugge - Standard Liège 1:2 ✺
    03.12.2025 Cercle Brugge - Gent 1:3 ✺
    29.11.2025 Zulte Waregem - Cercle Brugge 1:1 ✺
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    20.12.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Zulte Waregem 2:0 ✺
    14.12.2025 Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise 1:1 ✺
    09.12.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Olympique Marseille 2:3 ✺
    06.12.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Gent 1:1 ✺
    03.12.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Zulte Waregem 2:1 ✺
    Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Royale Union SG ✔ 29189247:163163
    2Club Brugge KV ✔ 29193755:352060
    3St. Truiden ✔ 29183846:321457
    4KV Mechelen ✔ 29129838:33545
    5Anderlecht29128941:36544
    6Gent291261146:42442
    7Genk291181041:42-141
    8St. Liege291161227:35-839
    9Westerlo ✔ 291081136:40-438
    10Antwerp ✔ 29981231:31035
    11Charleroi ✔ 29971338:41-334
    12Leuven29871431:43-1231
    13RAAL La Louviere296121125:32-730
    14Waregem29781437:47-1029
    15Cercle Brugge KSV ✔ 296101336:45-928
    16Dender ✔ 293101623:48-2519

          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
          Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
          Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Royale Union SG is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
    Club Brugge KV is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
    St. Truiden is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
    KV Mechelen is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group )
    Westerlo is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
    Antwerp is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
    Charleroi is Qualified for Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group )
    Cercle Brugge KSV is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
    Dender is Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group )
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