Result
3:1
18/10/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 11
- Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.72 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (350/429) | 73% (296/406) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.88 | 0.72 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.36 | 1.09 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 15 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (350/429) | 73% (296/406) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (30/54) | 47% (36/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 64% (63/99) | 65% (79/122) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (5/10) | 6% (1/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.56 | 0.36 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 21 | 31 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 59% (10/17) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 62 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.09 | -1.64 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 11', Nzita M. 🟨,
- 16', 1 - 0, Florucz R. ⚽, Burgess C. (A),
- 18', Ousou A. 🟨,
- 45+2', 1 - 1, Ousou A. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 48', 2 - 1, Niang O. ⚽, Florucz R. (A),
- 58', Guiagon P. 🟨,
- 63', Van Den Kerkhof K. ↓, Blum L. ↑,
- 64', Zorgane A. ↓, Van De Perre K. ↑,
- 64', David P. ↓, Rodriguez K. ↑,
- 71', Florucz R. ↓, Giger M. ↑,
- 71', Patris L. ↓, Khalaili A. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 1, Rasmussen M. ⚽, Niang O. (A),
- 79', Guiagon P. ↓, Bernier A. ↑,
- 79', Camara E. ↓, Szymczak F. ↑,
- 79', Nzita M. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
- 86', Ait El Hadj A. ↓, Schoofs R. ↑,
- 86', Ousou A. ↓, Boukamir M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Saint-Gilloise
65.7% | Draw
20.8% | Charleroi
13.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Saint-Gilloise has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)Charleroi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Saint-Gilloise than the current prediction. (+5.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Saint-Gilloise, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Charleroi than the current prediction. (-2%)
Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.44 ↑
(1.4) |
4.63 ↓
(4.73) |
7.22 ↓
(7.88) |
4.7%
(5.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Union SG will win (votes: 12 - 92.3%). Charleroi will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 77.8% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 5.
- Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
- Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Union SG is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Guiagon P.
(Muscle Injury)
Sow M.
(Knock)
- There are questionable in Union SG: Fuseini M.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Union SG won 9 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 20:5. (average 2:0.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Union SG won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:3. (average 1.8:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Charleroi?
Saint-Gilloise has won 5 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Saint-Gilloise?
Charleroi has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi were as follows:
11.01.2025
Charleroi
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:2
16.08.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Charleroi
1:0
10.12.2023
Charleroi
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:3
01.10.2023
Saint-Gilloise
-
Charleroi
3:1
28.01.2023
Charleroi
-
Saint-Gilloise
0:1
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Latest results of Charleroi
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 22:6 | 16 | 26 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 18:11 | 7 | 23 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 18 |
| 4 | Gent | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 17:13 | 4 | 17 |
| 5 | St. Truiden | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 15:12 | 3 | 17 |
| 6 | KV Mechelen | 10 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 13:11 | 2 | 16 |
| 7 | Genk | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 14 |
| 8 | Waregem | 10 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 14 |
| 9 | Westerlo | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18:20 | -2 | 14 |
| 10 | RAAL La Louviere | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 7:9 | -2 | 13 |
| 11 | Charleroi | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14:17 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | St. Liege | 10 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 9:13 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Antwerp | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 10:12 | -2 | 11 |
| 14 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 13:14 | -1 | 10 |
| 15 | Leuven | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 8:20 | -12 | 8 |
| 16 | Dender | 10 | 0 | 3 | 7 | 3:15 | -12 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
