Charleroi vs Saint-Gilloise – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/02/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Belgian Cup - Semi-finals
  • Referee: Bourdeaud'hui S. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Chances of winning


Charleroi
25.2%
Draw
29.6%
Saint-Gilloise
45.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.5% 29.7% 44.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.5% 29.7% 44.8%

Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.73
(3.65)
3.15
(3.14)
2.08
(2.08)
6.6%
(7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). Union SG will win (votes: 6 - 54.5%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 27.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 25.1%83.9%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH +1.5 - Charleroi (1.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • DC - Charleroi (1.63) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg.
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 0.
    • Charleroi is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Union SG is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 7:24. (average 0.6:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 3:10. (average 0.6:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
    14.12.2025 Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise 1:1
    18.10.2025 Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi 3:1
    11.01.2025 Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise 1:2
    16.08.2024 Saint-Gilloise - Charleroi 1:0
    10.12.2023 Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise 1:3
    Latest results of Charleroi
    31.01.2026 Sint-Truidense - Charleroi 0:2
    25.01.2026 Royal Antwerp - Charleroi 0:2
    13.01.2026 Charleroi - Club Brugge 2:0
    26.12.2025 Anderlecht - Charleroi 1:2
    Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
    Draw
    2025/26

    1/16-finals
    1RFC LiegeCharleroi0 : 1
    2KV MechelenK. Lierse S.K.2 : 1
    3SeraingLeuven1 : 3
    4Club Brugge KVEendracht Aalst6 : 1
    5DenderOC Charleroi4 : 2
    6BeverenSt. Liege1 : 2
    7Tubize-BraineRoyale Union SG0 : 3
    8Belisia BilzenWaregem1 : 4
    9GenkRWDM Brussels3 : 0
    10NinoveAnderlecht0 : 2
    11Cercle Brugge KSVKortrijk1 : 0
    12GentPatro Eisden5 : 0
    13AntwerpEupen3 : 1
    14KnokkeSt. Truiden0 : 1
    15Beerschot VAWesterlo3 : 2
    16HeistRAAL La Louviere1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1CharleroiKV Mechelen2 : 0
    2LeuvenClub Brugge KV1 : 2
    3DenderSt. Liege3 : 2
    4Royale Union SGWaregem2 : 1
    5GenkAnderlecht1 : 3
    6Cercle Brugge KSVGent1 : 3
    7AntwerpSt. Truiden4 : 3
    8Beerschot VARAAL La Louviere1 : 2

    Quarter-finals
    1CharleroiClub Brugge KV2 : 0
    2DenderRoyale Union SG0 : 2
    3AnderlechtGent1 : 0
    4AntwerpRAAL La Louviere2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1CharleroiRoyale Union SG
    2AnderlechtAntwerp

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2