Result
1:1
14/12/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Jupiler Pro League - Round 18
- Referee: Visser L. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | DAZN |
 Austria | DAZN |
 Belgium | DAZN Pro League 1, Play Sports 1, Sporza, Sporza |
 Bolivia | DAZN |
 Brazil | DAZN Brasil |
 Canada | DAZN Canada |
 Ecuador | DAZN |
 France | DAZN France |
 Germany | DAZN Deutsch |
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
 New-zealand | DAZN New Zealand |
 Paraguay | DAZN |
 Portugal | DAZN / App |
 Spain | DAZN Espana |
 Switzerland | DAZN Switzerland |
 Taiwan | DAZN |
 United-kingdom | DAZN |
 Uruguay | DAZN |
 Usa | DAZN USA |
 Venezuela | DAZN |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.35 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (252/335) | 84% (374/443) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.35 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 0.60 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 28 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (252/335) | 84% (374/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (22/63) | 62% (29/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (65/90) | 72% (103/143) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 5% (1/20) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.38 | 0.82 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 25 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 61% (11/18) | 62% (8/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.40 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 39', 0 - 1, David P. ⚽, Mac Allister K. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 48', Mac Allister K. 🟨,
- 68', Pflucke P. ↓, Romsaas J. ↑,
- 68', Camara E. ↓, Khalifi Y. ↑,
- 70', Mac Allister K. ↓, Sykes R. ↑,
- 70', Schoofs R. ↓, Rasmussen M. ↑,
- 76', Nzita M. ↓, Gaudin J. ↑,
- 76', Scheidler A. ↓, Colassin A. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Colassin A. ⚽,
- 83', Patris L. ↓, Niang O. ↑,
- 83', Van De Perre K. ↓, Ait El Hadj A. ↑,
- 84', Bernier A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Sykes R. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Charleroi
22.1% | Draw
28.7% | Saint-Gilloise
49.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.28 ↑
(4.2) |
3.3 ↓
(3.5) |
1.93 ↑
(1.85) |
5.4%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise?
Users Predictions:
29 users predict this event. Charleroi will win (votes: 8 - 27.6%). Union SG will win (votes: 18 - 62.1%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 10.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Union SG: 44.4% – 79.8%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Charleroi (votes: 2 - 50%). Union SG (votes: 2 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 12 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 0.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Charleroi may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Union SG is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Charleroi: Defourny T.
(Inactive)
Sow M.
(Knock)
Van Den Kerkhof K.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Union SG: Fuseini M.
(Ankle Injury)
- There are questionable in Union SG: Van De Perre K.
(Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Charleroi won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 6:23. (average 0.5:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Charleroi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.5:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Charleroi won against Saint-Gilloise?
Charleroi has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Saint-Gilloise won against Charleroi?
Saint-Gilloise has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Charleroi - Saint-Gilloise were as follows:
18.10.2025
Saint-Gilloise
-
Charleroi
3:1
11.01.2025
Charleroi
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:2
16.08.2024
Saint-Gilloise
-
Charleroi
1:0
10.12.2023
Charleroi
-
Saint-Gilloise
1:3
01.10.2023
Saint-Gilloise
-
Charleroi
3:1
Latest results of Charleroi
Latest results of Saint-Gilloise
Belgian Jupiler Pro League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Royale Union SG | 18 | 11 | 5 | 2 | 33:11 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | Club Brugge KV | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 29:18 | 11 | 35 |
| 3 | Anderlecht | 18 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 25:18 | 7 | 34 |
| 4 | St. Truiden | 18 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 27:22 | 5 | 33 |
| 5 | KV Mechelen | 18 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 24:20 | 4 | 30 |
| 6 | Genk | 19 | 6 | 7 | 6 | 24:26 | -2 | 25 |
| 7 | St. Liege | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 16:21 | -5 | 24 |
| 8 | Antwerp | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 20:18 | 2 | 23 |
| 9 | Gent | 18 | 6 | 5 | 7 | 25:27 | -2 | 23 |
| 10 | Waregem | 18 | 5 | 8 | 5 | 25:25 | 0 | 23 |
| 11 | Westerlo | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 26:27 | -1 | 21 |
| 12 | Charleroi | 19 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 21:25 | -4 | 21 |
| 13 | Leuven | 18 | 5 | 4 | 9 | 19:27 | -8 | 19 |
| 14 | RAAL La Louviere | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 14:19 | -5 | 19 |
| 15 | Cercle Brugge KSV | 18 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 22:29 | -7 | 13 |
| 16 | Dender | 18 | 2 | 6 | 10 | 15:32 | -17 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Championship Group: )
Promotion ~ Jupiler Pro League (Conference League Group: )
Jupiler Pro League (Relegation Group: )
