Result
2:3 OT
21/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.46 | 2.41 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 24 | 24 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8.33% (2/24) | 12.5% (3/24) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 87.5% (21/24) | 91.67% (22/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/5) | 25% (1/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 75% (3/4) | 100% (5/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 33 | 33 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 50 | 50 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 15:53, 0 - 1, Nieminen V. (G), Vidgren A. (A), Lassila J. (A2)
- 18:06, (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:05, 1 - 1, Salomaki M. (G), Hokkanen O. (A),
- 03:53, Winberg T. (2 min),
- 06:13, Tukiainen L. (Penalty Shot),
- 06:47, Fortier M. (2 min),
- 10:27, Liikonen V. (2 min),
- 12:36, Bourque T. (2 min),
- 17:45, 1 - 2, Jormakka P. (G), Vatanen S. (A), Ojantakanen V. (A2)
- 18:54, Pulli J. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 06:54, Kivihalme T. (2 min),
- 06:54, Tyrvainen A. (2 min),
- 10:33, 2 - 2, Niinisaari S. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A), Airola S. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 03:00, Salomaki M. (2 min),
- 04:14, 2 - 3, Lassila J. (G), Nieminen V. (A), Tukiainen L. (A2)
Chances of winning
SaiPa
43.7% | Draw
23.1% | JYP
33.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for SaiPa have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.JYP has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for JYP than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
SaiPa - JYP Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.13 ↓
(2.14) |
3.98 ↓
(4.11) |
2.81 ↑
(2.78) |
7.7%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
What is the prediction for SaiPa - JYP?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). JYP will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 8.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 9, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 9.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 10, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 10.5, OT - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 8.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 9 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 9.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 10.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 4.
- SaiPa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- JYP's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- JYP may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- SaiPa could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 2.12.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 9 matches, drew 1 match, lost 10 matches, and goals 67:73. (average 3.4:3.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 37:44. (average 3.4:4).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against JYP?
SaiPa has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has JYP won against SaiPa?
JYP has won 8 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - JYP were as follows:
20.12.2025
JYP
-
SaiPa
1:2
28.11.2025
JYP
-
SaiPa
3:7
17.10.2025
SaiPa
-
JYP
1:2
25.02.2025
JYP
-
SaiPa
4:5
15.02.2025
SaiPa
-
JYP
6:3
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
