Result
4:2
27/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.23 | 1.77 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 27 | 20 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 14.81% (4/27) | 10% (2/20) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 23 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 90% (18/20) | 85.19% (23/27) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/1) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (1/1) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 17 | 34 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 33.33 | 66.67 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 12:17, 1 - 0, Hartikainen T. (G), Klemetti A. (A), Rissanen J. (A2)
- 16:34, 1 - 1, Fortier M. (G), Grigals G. (A),
- 2nd Period (0 - 1)
- 00:47, Trejbal O. (2 min),
- 08:00, Mononen V. (2 min),
- 09:58, 1 - 2, Nikkanen H. (G), Airola S. (A), Fortier M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (3 - 0)
- 04:21, 2 - 2, Hartikainen T. (G), Lappalainen L. (A), Klemetti A. (A2)
- 04:53, 3 - 2, Westerlund F. (G), Kanak L. (A), Kapanen K. (A2)
- 06:34, 4 - 2, Kapanen K. (G), Hartikainen T. (A), Lappalainen L. (A2)
- 18:40, Tornberg A. (2 min),
Chances of winning
KalPa
37.2% | Draw
23.8% | SaiPa
39% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
KalPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.4%)SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and SaiPa might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (-6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with KalPa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that SaiPa could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
KalPa - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↓
(2.88) |
3.92 ↓
(4.2) |
2.4 ↑
(2.12) |
7.1%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for KalPa - SaiPa?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:4.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 3.
- KalPa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- SaiPa is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- KalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 74:46. (average 3.7:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 39:28. (average 4.3:3.1).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against SaiPa?
KalPa has won 15 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against KalPa?
SaiPa has won 8 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - SaiPa were as follows:
26.12.2025
SaiPa
-
KalPa
3:5
12.12.2025
KalPa
-
SaiPa
3:6
09.09.2025
SaiPa
-
KalPa
3:4
03.05.2025
SaiPa
-
KalPa
2:3
02.05.2025
KalPa
-
SaiPa
2:4
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
