Result
3:4 OT
09/09/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo, MTV Urheilu 1 |
 Sweden | TV4 Play |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 5.14 | 3.77 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 36 | 25 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 22 | 5 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8.33% (3/36) | 16% (4/25) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 21 | 33 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 84% (21/25) | 91.67% (33/36) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/6) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (6/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 27 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 54.24 | 45.76 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 07:45, 1 - 0, Siikanen P. (G), Kalapudas A. (A), Salomaki M. (A2)
- 09:03, 1 - 1, Borchardt C. (G), Klemetti A. (A), Rasanen I. (A2)
- 15:41, 1 - 2, Klemetti A. (G), Curry P. (A),
- 18:39, Borchardt C. (2 min),
- 18:39, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 0)
- 01:13, Korhonen B. (2 min),
- 03:39, Westerlund F. (2 min),
- 09:21, 2 - 2, Kivenmaki O. (G), Kalapudas A. (A), Salomaki M. (A2)
- 09:21, (2 min),
- 17:38, Appelgren N. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 04:57, 2 - 3, Westerlund F. (G), Rissanen J. (A), Okany A. (A2)
- 08:29, Lappalainen L. (2 min),
- 10:36, 3 - 3, Nikkanen H. (G), Naukkarinen J. (A),
- 12:23, Bau S. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 01:39, 3 - 4, Lappalainen L. (G), Korhonen B. (A), Borchardt C. (A2)
Chances of winning
SaiPa
42.6% | Draw
22.7% | KalPa
34.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)KalPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for KalPa than the current prediction. (+0.6%)
SaiPa - KalPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.23 ↓
(2.25) |
4.23 ↑
(4.2) |
2.8 ↑
(2.6) |
4.1%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 5.25
What is the prediction for SaiPa - KalPa?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 3 high ROI users predict this event. KalPa (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 1.
- Recent performances by SaiPa have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- KalPa is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- KalPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 38:68. (average 1.9:3.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 13:28. (average 1.3:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against KalPa?
SaiPa has won 7 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against SaiPa?
KalPa has won 13 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - KalPa were as follows:
03.05.2025
SaiPa
-
KalPa
2:3
02.05.2025
KalPa
-
SaiPa
2:4
30.04.2025
SaiPa
-
KalPa
0:2
28.04.2025
KalPa
-
SaiPa
8:1
26.04.2025
SaiPa
-
KalPa
2:5
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | TPS Turku | 7 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 17:13 | 15 |
| 2 | Kiekko-Espoo | 7 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 21:16 | 14 |
| 3 | Assat | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:10 | 12 |
| 4 | Tappara | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:9 | 12 |
| 5 | JYP | 5 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:14 | 12 |
| 6 | Lukko | 6 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:19 | 9 |
| 7 | KooKoo | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:22 | 8 |
| 8 | KalPa | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:25 | 8 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 6 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 19:20 | 7 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 12:16 | 7 |
| 11 | Vaasan Sport | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14:15 | 6 |
| 12 | Karpat | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15:18 | 6 |
| 13 | Jukurit | 5 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:18 | 6 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 5 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 10:16 | 6 |
| 15 | Ilves | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:23 | 5 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 14:23 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
