Result
3:6
12/12/2025 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.28 | 4.07 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 32 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 9.38% (3/32) | 26.09% (6/23) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 17 | 29 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 77.27% (17/22) | 90.63% (29/32) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 16.67% (1/6) | 16.67% (1/6) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 83.33% (5/6) | 83.33% (5/6) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 32 | 28 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 53.33 | 46.67 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 1)
- 05:20, Niinisaari S. (2 min),
- 08:07, Kalapudas A. (2 min),
- 11:34, 0 - 1, Salomaki M. (G), Fortier M. (A), Airola S. (A2)
- 19:26, Gallet H. (2 min),
- 19:26, (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:54, Korhonen B. (2 min),
- 04:26, Hartikainen T. (2 min),
- 06:36, 0 - 2, Salomaki M. (G), Kivihalme T. (A), Kalapudas A. (A2)
- 08:05, Kivenmaki O. (Penalty Shot),
- 12:59, 1 - 2, Curry P. (G), Hartikainen T. (A), Maenpaa J. (A2)
- 13:52, 2 - 2, Okany A. (G), Korhonen B. (A), Mononen V. (A2)
- 13:52, (2 min),
- 18:50, Gallet H. (2 min),
- 19:20, Fortier M. (2 min),
- 3rd Period (1 - 4)
- 02:35, Siikanen P. (2 min),
- 03:52, 3 - 2, Klemetti A. (G), Kapanen K. (A), Westerlund F. (A2)
- 06:30, 3 - 3, Hokkanen O. (G), Klintrup E. (A), Aho K. (A2)
- 08:45, Gallet H. (2 min),
- 10:05, Lantta J. (2 min),
- 10:34, 3 - 4, Kivenmaki O. (G), Airola S. (A),
- 15:59, 3 - 5, Fortier M. (G), Nikkanen H. (A), Kivenmaki O. (A2)
- 19:36, 3 - 6, Siikanen P. (G), Naukkarinen J. (A), Nikkanen H. (A2)
Chances of winning
KalPa 41.8% | Draw 23.1% | SaiPa 35.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
KalPa - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.25 ↓ (2.27) |
3.97 ↓ (3.99) |
2.67 ↓ (2.73) |
7.1% (5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 4.
- KalPa has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- SaiPa is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- SaiPa may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, KalPa has had a series of away games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, KalPa won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 70:40. (average 3.5:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, KalPa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 40:25. (average 4:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has KalPa won against SaiPa?
KalPa has won 14 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against KalPa?
SaiPa has won 7 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between KalPa - SaiPa were as follows:
09.09.2025
SaiPa
-
KalPa
3:4
03.05.2025
SaiPa
-
KalPa
2:3
02.05.2025
KalPa
-
SaiPa
2:4
30.04.2025
SaiPa
-
KalPa
0:2
28.04.2025
KalPa
-
SaiPa
8:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)