Result
4:3
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 2.30 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.33% (4/30) | 13.04% (3/23) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 86.96% (20/23) | 86.67% (26/30) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.97 | 53.03 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 00:42, 1 - 0, Nikkanen H. (G), Fortier M. (A), Siikanen P. (A2)
- 05:45, Salomaki M. (2 min),
- 06:38, 1 - 1, Alasiurua A. (G), Kantner M. (A), Tichacek J. (A2)
- 06:38, (2 min),
- 10:54, 1 - 2, Erholtz E. (G), Tikka T. (A), Salmela T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:43, 1 - 3, Tardif B. (G), Virta P. (A),
- 02:34, 2 - 3, Naukkarinen J. (G), Niinisaari S. (A), Airola S. (A2)
- 06:16, Tikka T. (2 min),
- 15:24, 3 - 3, Heikkila J. (G), Airola S. (A), Siikanen P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 01:45, 4 - 3, Trejbal O. (G), Heikkila J. (A),
- 13:47, Paaso A. (2 min),
Chances of winning
SaiPa
50% | Draw
21.2% | Kärpät
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
SaiPa - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.34) |
4.56 ↑
(4.1) |
3.31 ↑
(2.42) |
4.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for SaiPa - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 3.
- SaiPa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Kärpät's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 42:66. (average 2.1:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 2.3:4).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Kärpät?
SaiPa has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against SaiPa?
Kärpät has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - Kärpät were as follows:
24.01.2025
SaiPa
-
Kärpät
6:3
11.12.2024
Kärpät
-
SaiPa
3:2
13.11.2024
SaiPa
-
Kärpät
4:3
23.10.2024
Kärpät
-
SaiPa
3:6
28.02.2024
Kärpät
-
SaiPa
5:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 20 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 65:42 | 41 |
| 2 | Tappara | 21 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 73:50 | 38 |
| 3 | JYP | 18 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 72:50 | 38 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 72:62 | 36 |
| 5 | Jukurit | 23 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 57:61 | 35 |
| 6 | Lukko | 20 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 58:50 | 34 |
| 7 | SaiPa | 22 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 66:61 | 34 |
| 8 | Kiekko-Espoo | 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 60:61 | 32 |
| 9 | KalPa | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 56:54 | 31 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 20 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 47:49 | 31 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 56:60 | 30 |
| 12 | Ilves | 21 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 60:71 | 27 |
| 13 | Karpat | 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 70:73 | 23 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 19 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 35:54 | 21 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 20 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 47:65 | 20 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 35:66 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
