Result
3:4 OT
13/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.96 | 2.91 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 36 | 22 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 8.33% (3/36) | 18.18% (4/22) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 18 | 33 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 81.82% (18/22) | 91.67% (33/36) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/4) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (4/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 34 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 47.69 | 52.31 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 01:29, Siikanen P. (2 min),
- 01:38, Virta P. (2 min),
- 14:06, 1 - 0, Virta P. (G), Soini K. (A), Hermonen J. (A2)
- 16:53, Klintrup E. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 05:42, 1 - 1, Niinisaari S. (G), Airola S. (A),
- 10:31, Juusola V. (2 min),
- 19:58, 2 - 1, Alasiurua A. (G), Hirvonen R. (A),
- 3rd Period (1 - 2)
- 01:40, 2 - 2, Airola S. (G), Bau S. (A),
- 03:46, 2 - 3, Kramer B. (G), Kivenmaki O. (A), Nikkanen H. (A2)
- 14:48, (2 min),
- 18:20, 3 - 3, Salmela T. (G), Tikka T. (A), Tieksola T. (A2)
- Overtime (0 - 1)
- 04:33, 3 - 4, Airola S. (G),
Chances of winning
Kärpät
33.2% | Draw
23.3% | SaiPa
43.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Kärpät - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.81 ↑
(2.56) |
3.96 ↓
(4.08) |
2.16 ↓
(2.36) |
7.2%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Kärpät - SaiPa?
Users Predictions:
SaiPa will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): SaiPa will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 1.
- Kärpät is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- SaiPa is in great form and has won several matches in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Kärpät may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 2.32.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Kärpät won 14 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 69:45. (average 3.5:2.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Kärpät won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 26:18. (average 2.9:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against SaiPa?
Kärpät has won 7 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Kärpät?
SaiPa has won 6 of their last 13 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Kärpät - SaiPa were as follows:
11.10.2025
SaiPa
-
Kärpät
4:3
24.01.2025
SaiPa
-
Kärpät
6:3
11.12.2024
Kärpät
-
SaiPa
3:2
13.11.2024
SaiPa
-
Kärpät
4:3
23.10.2024
Kärpät
-
SaiPa
3:6
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 106:71 | 60 |
| 2 | Assat | 31 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 95:77 | 55 |
| 3 | Lukko | 30 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 94:76 | 55 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 30 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 10 | 103:81 | 53 |
| 5 | JYP | 27 | 14 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 104:82 | 52 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 30 | 14 | 3 | 4 | 9 | 103:81 | 52 |
| 7 | KalPa | 29 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 92:95 | 46 |
| 8 | Ilves | 29 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 81:86 | 44 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 31 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 81:91 | 44 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 32 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 12 | 75:82 | 43 |
| 11 | Pelicans | 29 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 60:69 | 41 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 31 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 69:85 | 39 |
| 13 | IFK Helsinki | 31 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 16 | 63:100 | 37 |
| 14 | Hameenlinna | 30 | 8 | 4 | 5 | 13 | 73:83 | 37 |
| 15 | Karpat | 30 | 8 | 3 | 3 | 16 | 92:103 | 33 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 28 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 63:92 | 26 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
