SaiPa vs Kärpät – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

24/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Kisapuisto (Lappeenranta).

Liiga
Where to Watch on TV:


Finland	MTV Katsomo+
Sweden	TV4 Play

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
3.49	2.68
Shots on Goal
36	23
Shots off target
14	10
Shooting PCT
19.44% (7/36)	17.39% (4/23)
Blocked shots
5	9
Goalkeeper Saves
19	29
Saves PCT
82.61% (19/23)	85.29% (29/34)
Penalties
2	1
PIM
4	2
Power-play Goals
1	2
Shorthanded Goals
0	0
Power-play PCT
100% (1/1)	100% (2/2)
Pen. Killing PCT
0% (0/2)	0% (0/1)
Faceoffs Won
29	40
Faceoffs %
42.03	57.97
Empty Net Goals
2	0

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Period (1 - 1)
02:37, Bjork M. (2 min),
03:15, 1 - 0, Nikkanen H. (G), Airola S. (A), Fortier M. (A2)
13:07, Bau S. (2 min),
13:16, 1 - 1, Kantner M. (G), Erholtz E. (A), Raty Aku (A2)
2nd Period (2 - 1)
00:54, 2 - 1, Kivenmaki O. (G), Nikkanen H. (A), Fortier M. (A2)
03:23, Salminen S. (2 min),
03:37, 2 - 2, Hirvonen R. (G), Kantner M. (A), Erholtz E. (A2)
17:45, 3 - 2, Siikanen P. (G), Salminen S. (A),
3rd Period (4 - 2)
04:21, 4 - 2, Kalapudas A. (G), Trejbal O. (A), Salomaki M. (A2)
06:20, 4 - 3, Kantner M. (G), Tikka T. (A), Hakanpaa J. (A2)
07:29, 5 - 3, Salomaki M. (G), Kalapudas A. (A), Niinisaari S. (A2)
16:21, 6 - 3, Nikkanen H. (G),
17:17, 6 - 4, Erholtz E. (G), Hermonen J. (A), Tikka T. (A2)
19:18, 7 - 4, Fortier M. (G),

Chances of winning

SaiPa
51.7%

Draw
21.8%

Kärpät
26.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.7%

23.5%

25.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48%

24.8%

27.3%

SaiPa - Kärpät Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.81 ↓ (1.84)	4.2 ↑ (3.97)	3.54 ↓ (3.61)	7.4% (7.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 5.75

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 4.
SaiPa is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
In recent matches, Kärpät has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, SaiPa is considered a favorite.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 49:67. (average 2.5:3.4).
Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 25:39. (average 2.5:3.9).

How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Kärpät?

SaiPa has won 8 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against SaiPa?

Kärpät has won 7 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - Kärpät were as follows:

14.01.2026 Kärpät - SaiPa 1:2

13.12.2025 Kärpät - SaiPa 3:4

11.10.2025 SaiPa - Kärpät 4:3

24.01.2025 SaiPa - Kärpät 6:3

11.12.2024 Kärpät - SaiPa 3:2

Latest results of SaiPa

21.01.2026 SaiPa - JYP 2:3 ✺

17.01.2026 SaiPa - Mikkelin Jukurit 5:2 ✺

16.01.2026 Mikkelin Jukurit - SaiPa 3:4 ✺

14.01.2026 Kärpät - SaiPa 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 Kiekko-Espoo - SaiPa 3:4 ✺

Latest results of Kärpät

23.01.2026 Kiekko-Espoo - Kärpät 1:2 ✺

16.01.2026 Kärpät - Lukko 5:4 ✺

14.01.2026 Kärpät - SaiPa 1:2 ✺

10.01.2026 TPS - Kärpät 2:3 ✺

09.01.2026 Lukko - Kärpät 4:1 ✺

Finnish SM-liiga Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	WO	LO	L		Pts
1	Tappara	44	28	2	2	12	164:104	90
2	SaiPa	45	22	4	6	13	151:128	80
3	JYP	42	20	8	3	11	147:121	79
4	Lukko	44	21	5	3	15	138:118	76
5	KooKoo	42	20	7	1	14	150:108	75
6	Ilves	44	19	7	4	14	139:116	75
7	KalPa	43	20	5	4	14	129:128	74
8	Assat	44	19	6	3	16	124:117	72
9	IFK Helsinki	44	16	3	4	21	102:143	58
10	Kiekko-Espoo	45	15	3	7	20	112:133	58
11	TPS Turku	45	12	7	8	18	107:123	58
12	Pelicans	42	12	7	6	17	86:107	56
13	Jukurit	42	14	3	6	19	100:114	54
14	Hameenlinna	44	12	5	7	20	104:124	53
15	Karpat	44	12	5	5	22	133:147	51
16	Vaasan Sport	44	9	1	9	25	93:148	38

Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)