Result
4:3
11/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 2.30 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 30 | 23 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 23 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 13.33% (4/30) | 13.04% (3/23) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 20 | 26 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 86.96% (20/23) | 86.67% (26/30) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 50% (1/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 31 | 35 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 46.97 | 53.03 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 00:42, 1 - 0, Nikkanen H. (G), Fortier M. (A), Siikanen P. (A2)
- 05:45, Salomaki M. (2 min),
- 06:38, 1 - 1, Alasiurua A. (G), Kantner M. (A), Tichacek J. (A2)
- 06:38, (2 min),
- 10:54, 1 - 2, Erholtz E. (G), Tikka T. (A), Salmela T. (A2)
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 00:43, 1 - 3, Tardif B. (G), Virta P. (A),
- 02:34, 2 - 3, Naukkarinen J. (G), Niinisaari S. (A), Airola S. (A2)
- 06:16, Tikka T. (2 min),
- 15:24, 3 - 3, Heikkila J. (G), Airola S. (A), Siikanen P. (A2)
- 3rd Period (1 - 0)
- 01:45, 4 - 3, Trejbal O. (G), Heikkila J. (A),
- 13:47, Paaso A. (2 min),
Chances of winning
SaiPa
50% | Draw
21.2% | Kärpät
28.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in SaiPa's performance.Kärpät has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kärpät might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-7.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with SaiPa that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kärpät than the current prediction. (+6.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kärpät could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
SaiPa - Kärpät Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.34) |
4.56 ↑
(4.1) |
3.31 ↑
(2.42) |
4.5%
(8.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.00
What is the prediction for SaiPa - Kärpät?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 3 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 4:3.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 3.
- SaiPa is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Kärpät's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Kärpät may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 42:66. (average 2.1:3.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 23:40. (average 2.3:4).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Kärpät?
SaiPa has won 5 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kärpät won against SaiPa?
Kärpät has won 7 of their last 12 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - Kärpät were as follows:
24.01.2025
SaiPa
-
Kärpät
6:3
11.12.2024
Kärpät
-
SaiPa
3:2
13.11.2024
SaiPa
-
Kärpät
4:3
23.10.2024
Kärpät
-
SaiPa
3:6
28.02.2024
Kärpät
-
SaiPa
5:1
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 11 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 39:23 | 24 |
| 2 | JYP | 12 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 47:36 | 24 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 13 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 44:35 | 23 |
| 4 | KooKoo | 13 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 46:41 | 22 |
| 5 | Tappara | 12 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 39:28 | 21 |
| 6 | Kiekko-Espoo | 13 | 6 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 36:35 | 21 |
| 7 | Lukko | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 35:34 | 20 |
| 8 | Jukurit | 13 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 34:39 | 20 |
| 9 | KalPa | 11 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 33:34 | 19 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 29:28 | 18 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 12 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 32:34 | 18 |
| 12 | Karpat | 13 | 5 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 45:45 | 16 |
| 13 | Vaasan Sport | 13 | 4 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 34:40 | 14 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 12 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 23:34 | 13 |
| 15 | Ilves | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8 | 31:45 | 12 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 12 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 7 | 25:41 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
