Result
2:3 penalties
31/01/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.20 | 2.51 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 32 | 30 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 20 | 11 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.25% (2/32) | 6.67% (2/30) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 30 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 93.33% (28/30) | 93.75% (30/32) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/2) | 0% (0/3) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (3/3) | 100% (2/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 28 | 36 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 43.75 | 56.25 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 1)
- 01:22, 1 - 0, Salomaki M. (G), Kuusla E. (A), Kalapudas A. (A2)
- 02:13, 1 - 1, Puolanne E. (G), Leppanen O. (A), Kulonummi K. (A2)
- 07:21, Leppanen O. (2 min),
- 07:44, (2 min),
- 14:03, Kuusla E. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 02:56, 1 - 2, Stevens J. (G), Komarov L. (A), Leppanen O. (A2)
- 05:45, 2 - 2, Kalapudas A. (G), Kuusla E. (A), Salomaki M. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 01:12, Kramer B. (2 min),
- Overtime (0 - 0)
- Penalties (1 - 2)
- 1, Kalapudas A. (Penalty Shot),
- 1, Hillis C. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Heikkila J. (Penalty Shot),
- 2, Vaisanen J. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Kivenmaki O. (Penalty Shot),
- 3, Stevens J. (Penalty Shot),
Chances of winning
SaiPa 49.2% | Draw 22.7% | Kiekko-Espoo 28.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SaiPa has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)Kiekko-Espoo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kiekko-Espoo than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.89 ↑ (1.87) |
4.04 ↑ (3.93) |
3.33 ↓ (3.57) |
7.6% (6.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- SaiPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, SaiPa is considered a favorite.
- We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.79.
- In the last 10 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 28:29. (average 2.8:2.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:17. (average 3.7:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Kiekko-Espoo?
SaiPa has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Kiekko-Espoo won against SaiPa?
Kiekko-Espoo has won 5 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - Kiekko-Espoo were as follows:
10.01.2026
Kiekko-Espoo
-
SaiPa
3:4
29.11.2025
SaiPa
-
Kiekko-Espoo
4:1
24.09.2025
Kiekko-Espoo
-
SaiPa
4:2
22.08.2025
SaiPa
-
Kiekko-Espoo
2:3
09.08.2025
SaiPa
-
Kiekko-Espoo
5:1
Latest results of Kiekko-Espoo
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)