Result
3:4
07/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.55 | 2.63 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 44 | 35 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.82% (3/44) | 11.43% (4/35) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 41 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.57% (31/35) | 93.18% (41/44) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 50% (1/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.11 | 47.89 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 15:28, 1 - 0, Peters A. (G), Gelinas E. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
- 15:56, Kramer B. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 09:10, 2 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Westerholm Pa. (A),
- 14:36, 2 - 1, Appelgren N. (G), Kramer B. (A), Trejbal O. (A2)
- 17:33, Siikanen P. (2 min),
- 18:25, 3 - 1, Ruohomaa M. (G), Saarela A. (A), Westerholm Po. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 3)
- 00:57, 3 - 2, Kramer B. (G), Kalapudas A. (A),
- 07:40, 3 - 3, Klintrup E. (G), Nikkanen H. (A),
- 08:04, Peters A. (2 min),
- 13:20, 3 - 4, Kivihalme T. (G), Kalapudas A. (A),
Chances of winning
Lukko
50.4% | Draw
22.4% | SaiPa
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lukko - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.93) |
4.12 ↑
(3.89) |
3.46 ↓
(3.53) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Lukko - SaiPa?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lukko will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.
- Lukko is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- SaiPa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- SaiPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Lukko could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 51:42. (average 2.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 2.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against SaiPa?
Lukko has won 15 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Lukko?
SaiPa has won 8 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - SaiPa were as follows:
19.12.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
5:2
15.11.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
4:5
18.10.2025
Lukko
-
SaiPa
4:2
21.04.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
2:1
18.04.2025
Lukko
-
SaiPa
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 36 | 22 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 128:84 | 72 |
| 2 | Lukko | 36 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 12 | 112:90 | 66 |
| 3 | JYP | 34 | 18 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 128:99 | 66 |
| 4 | SaiPa | 37 | 18 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 125:102 | 65 |
| 5 | KooKoo | 36 | 16 | 7 | 1 | 12 | 125:97 | 63 |
| 6 | Ilves | 36 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 114:98 | 63 |
| 7 | Assat | 36 | 17 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 106:89 | 62 |
| 8 | KalPa | 35 | 16 | 3 | 2 | 14 | 107:114 | 56 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 37 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 16 | 97:111 | 50 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 37 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 15 | 86:102 | 48 |
| 11 | IFK Helsinki | 36 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 83:115 | 47 |
| 12 | Jukurit | 36 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 82:96 | 46 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 35 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 69:88 | 45 |
| 14 | Karpat | 37 | 10 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 115:124 | 42 |
| 15 | Hameenlinna | 38 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 91:113 | 42 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 36 | 8 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 73:119 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
