Result
3:4
07/01/2026 at 11:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.55 | 2.63 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 44 | 35 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 6.82% (3/44) | 11.43% (4/35) |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 31 | 41 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 88.57% (31/35) | 93.18% (41/44) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (1/2) | 0% (0/1) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (1/1) | 50% (1/2) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 37 | 34 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 52.11 | 47.89 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 15:28, 1 - 0, Peters A. (G), Gelinas E. (A), Ruohomaa M. (A2)
- 15:56, Kramer B. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (2 - 1)
- 09:10, 2 - 0, Saarela A. (G), Westerholm Pa. (A),
- 14:36, 2 - 1, Appelgren N. (G), Kramer B. (A), Trejbal O. (A2)
- 17:33, Siikanen P. (2 min),
- 18:25, 3 - 1, Ruohomaa M. (G), Saarela A. (A), Westerholm Po. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 3)
- 00:57, 3 - 2, Kramer B. (G), Kalapudas A. (A),
- 07:40, 3 - 3, Klintrup E. (G), Nikkanen H. (A),
- 08:04, Peters A. (2 min),
- 13:20, 3 - 4, Kivihalme T. (G), Kalapudas A. (A),
Chances of winning
Lukko
50.4% | Draw
22.4% | SaiPa
27.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lukko has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.4%)SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+0.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Lukko - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.86 ↓
(1.93) |
4.12 ↑
(3.89) |
3.46 ↓
(3.53) |
7%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Lukko - SaiPa?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lukko will win (votes: 3 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Lukko (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 3.
- Lukko is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- SaiPa's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- SaiPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Lukko could have a small edge in this match.
- We predict that Lukko will win today's game, with odds of 1.87.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 51:42. (average 2.6:2.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 2.4:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against SaiPa?
Lukko has won 15 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Lukko?
SaiPa has won 8 of their last 23 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - SaiPa were as follows:
19.12.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
5:2
15.11.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
4:5
18.10.2025
Lukko
-
SaiPa
4:2
21.04.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
2:1
18.04.2025
Lukko
-
SaiPa
3:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 51 | 31 | 2 | 3 | 15 | 188:125 | 100 |
| 2 | KooKoo | 50 | 27 | 7 | 1 | 15 | 181:123 | 96 |
| 3 | SaiPa | 51 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 173:139 | 94 |
| 4 | Lukko | 52 | 25 | 7 | 3 | 17 | 160:132 | 92 |
| 5 | KalPa | 51 | 25 | 5 | 5 | 16 | 153:144 | 90 |
| 6 | Ilves | 51 | 24 | 7 | 4 | 16 | 158:129 | 90 |
| 7 | JYP | 49 | 22 | 9 | 4 | 14 | 165:147 | 88 |
| 8 | Assat | 52 | 22 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 145:143 | 82 |
| 9 | Kiekko-Espoo | 51 | 18 | 4 | 9 | 20 | 128:145 | 71 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 51 | 16 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 113:135 | 69 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 52 | 15 | 7 | 8 | 22 | 123:143 | 67 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 50 | 18 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 116:162 | 66 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 52 | 14 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 124:145 | 64 |
| 14 | Karpat | 53 | 15 | 5 | 5 | 28 | 157:172 | 60 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 51 | 15 | 4 | 6 | 26 | 115:140 | 59 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 51 | 9 | 1 | 10 | 31 | 99:174 | 39 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
