Result
4:2
18/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.94 | 4.59 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 25 | 40 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 16% (4/25) | 5% (2/40) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 8 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 38 | 21 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 95% (38/40) | 87.5% (21/24) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 20% (1/5) | 0% (0/4) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (4/4) | 80% (4/5) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 24 | 32 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 42.86 | 57.14 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (2 - 1)
- 05:40, 0 - 1, Kalapudas A. (G), Kramer B. (A), Salomaki M. (A2)
- 16:26, 1 - 1, Saarela A. (G), Westerholm Pa. (A),
- 18:27, Svensk V. (2 min),
- 19:20, 2 - 1, Tuuva L. (G), Ruohomaa M. (A), Valila A. (A2)
- 19:20, (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 0)
- 04:15, Beaucage A. (2 min),
- 08:07, Stenqvist J. (2 min),
- 08:13, Salomaki M. (2 min),
- 13:14, Krannila J. (2 min),
- 16:22, (2 min),
- 3rd Period (2 - 1)
- 01:39, 2 - 2, Kivenmaki O. (G), Salomaki M. (A), Airola S. (A2)
- 04:40, Hokkanen O. (2 min),
- 04:40, Tuuva L. (2 min),
- 13:36, 3 - 2, Jandric S. (G), Raanta A. (A),
- 19:57, 4 - 2, Haapanen T. (G),
Chances of winning
Lukko
50% | Draw
22.4% | SaiPa
27.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Lukko - SaiPa Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.88 ↑
(1.82) |
4.17 ↓
(4.42) |
3.37 ↓
(3.53) |
6.8%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
What is the prediction for Lukko - SaiPa?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lukko will win (votes: 1 - 25%). SaiPa will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 2.
- At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
- Lukko may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, SaiPa has had a series of home games.
- Lukko will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Lukko won 13 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 54:36. (average 2.7:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Lukko won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 24:16. (average 2.7:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against SaiPa?
Lukko has won 13 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Lukko?
SaiPa has won 7 of their last 20 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lukko - SaiPa were as follows:
21.04.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
2:1
18.04.2025
Lukko
-
SaiPa
3:2
16.04.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
5:2
14.04.2025
Lukko
-
SaiPa
1:2
12.04.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
3:5
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 20 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 65:42 | 41 |
| 2 | Tappara | 20 | 12 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 71:46 | 38 |
| 3 | JYP | 18 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 72:50 | 38 |
| 4 | Jukurit | 22 | 10 | 2 | 1 | 9 | 55:58 | 35 |
| 5 | SaiPa | 21 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 65:57 | 34 |
| 6 | KooKoo | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 68:61 | 33 |
| 7 | Kiekko-Espoo | 21 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 60:61 | 32 |
| 8 | Lukko | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 55:48 | 31 |
| 9 | KalPa | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 56:54 | 31 |
| 10 | TPS Turku | 20 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 47:49 | 31 |
| 11 | Hameenlinna | 21 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 56:60 | 30 |
| 12 | Ilves | 20 | 6 | 2 | 2 | 10 | 56:69 | 24 |
| 13 | Karpat | 21 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 12 | 70:73 | 23 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 19 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 35:54 | 21 |
| 15 | Vaasan Sport | 20 | 5 | 0 | 5 | 10 | 47:65 | 20 |
| 16 | IFK Helsinki | 20 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 13 | 35:66 | 18 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
