Result
2:1 OT
21/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liiga - Play Offs - Semi-finals
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.87 | 2.39 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 17 | 18 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 10.53% (2/19) | 3.45% (1/29) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 15 | 12 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 96.55% (28/29) | 89.47% (17/19) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 0% (0/3) | 0% (0/2) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 100% (2/2) | 100% (3/3) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 34 | 23 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 59.65 | 40.35 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (0 - 0)
- 19:50, Niemela M. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 09:08, 1 - 0, Airola S. (G), Klintrup E. (A), Heikkila J. (A2)
- 10:24, Nousiainen K. (2 min),
- 18:15, 1 - 1, Ikonen H. (G), Jandric S. (A), Morand A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (0 - 0)
- 02:15, Almari N. (2 min),
- 14:06, Salminen S. (2 min),
- Overtime (1 - 0)
- 00:59, 2 - 1, Airola S. (G), Petman M. (A), Kivenmaki O. (A2)
Chances of winning
SaiPa
36.9% | Draw
26.2% | Lukko
36.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Lukko has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-2.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lukko than the current prediction. (+2.9%)
SaiPa - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.55 ↓
(2.7) |
3.6 ↓
(3.62) |
2.56 ↑
(2.36) |
6%
(6.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 4.75
What is the prediction for SaiPa - Lukko?
Users Predictions:
2 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 1 - 50%). Lukko will win (votes: 1 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 1 - 50%). Lukko (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- 6th leg. Saipa leads series 3-2.
- Last 5 head-to-head matches SaiPa won 3.
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
- Our prediction for today's SaiPa to win the game is with odds 2.49.
- Last 20 head-to-head matches SaiPa won 7 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 13 matches and goals 37:55 (average 1.9:2.8).
- Including matches at home between the teams SaiPa won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 21:31 (average 1.9:2.8).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Lukko?
SaiPa has won 6 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against SaiPa?
Lukko has won 13 of their last 19 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - Lukko were as follows:
18.04.2025
Lukko
-
SaiPa
3:2
16.04.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
5:2
14.04.2025
Lukko
-
SaiPa
1:2
12.04.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
3:5
11.04.2025
Lukko
-
SaiPa
1:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Assat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 2 | Hameenlinna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 3 | IFK Helsinki | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 4 | Ilves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 5 | JYP | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 6 | KalPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 7 | Lukko | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 9 | SaiPa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 10 | Tappara | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 11 | TPS Turku | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 12 | Karpat | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 13 | KooKoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 14 | Vaasan Sport | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 15 | Jukurit | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
| 16 | Kiekko-Espoo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Liiga (Play Out: )
