Result
4:5
15/11/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liiga
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | MTV Katsomo+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.12 | 3.07 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 26 | 28 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Shooting PCT |
|---|
| 15.38% (4/26) | 17.86% (5/28) |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 23 | 22 |
| Saves PCT |
|---|
| 82.14% (23/28) | 84.62% (22/26) |
| Penalties |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| PIM |
|---|
| 10 | 8 |
| Power-play Goals |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shorthanded Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Power-play PCT |
|---|
| 50% (2/4) | 40% (2/5) |
| Pen. Killing PCT |
|---|
| 60% (3/5) | 50% (2/4) |
| Faceoffs Won |
|---|
| 42 | 31 |
| Faceoffs % |
|---|
| 57.53 | 42.47 |
| Empty Net Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 2)
- 01:27, 0 - 1, Gelinas E. (G), Beaucage A. (A), Morand A. (A2)
- 02:07, Viitasalo N. (2 min),
- 03:55, 1 - 1, Fortier M. (G), Naukkarinen J. (A), Kramer B. (A2)
- 06:55, 1 - 2, Stenqvist J. (G), Haapanen T. (A), Ikonen H. (A2)
- 08:04, Westerholm Pa. (2 min),
- 18:28, Beaucage A. (2 min),
- 2nd Period (0 - 3)
- 04:31, Niinisaari S. (2 min),
- 12:23, Svensk V. (2 min),
- 14:52, 1 - 3, Ikonen H. (G), Haapanen T. (A), Intonen A. (A2)
- 16:37, Bau S. (2 min),
- 17:52, 1 - 4, Beaucage A. (G), Gelinas E. (A), Westerholm Pa. (A2)
- 18:27, Salomaki M. (2 min),
- 19:34, 1 - 5, Ruohomaa M. (G), Stenqvist J. (A), Saarela A. (A2)
- 3rd Period (3 - 0)
- 02:06, Salomaki M. (2 min),
- 10:13, Haapanen T. (2 min),
- 11:58, 2 - 5, Naukkarinen J. (G), Fortier M. (A), Kuusla E. (A2)
- 17:42, 3 - 5, Aho K. (G), Trejbal O. (A), Kuusla E. (A2)
- 18:53, 4 - 5, Fortier M. (G), Nikkanen H. (A),
Chances of winning
SaiPa
38.4% | Draw
23.4% | Lukko
38.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
SaiPa - Lukko Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47
(2.47) |
3.99 ↓
(4.34) |
2.44 ↑
(2.36) |
6.6%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 5.75
What is the prediction for SaiPa - Lukko?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 3 - 75%). Lukko will win (votes: 1 - 25%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 3.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Recently, Lukko has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 7 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 38:55. (average 1.9:2.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:27. (average 2:2.7).
How many head-to-head matches has SaiPa won against Lukko?
SaiPa has won 7 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Lukko won against SaiPa?
Lukko has won 14 of their last 21 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - Lukko were as follows:
18.10.2025
Lukko
-
SaiPa
4:2
21.04.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
2:1
18.04.2025
Lukko
-
SaiPa
3:2
16.04.2025
SaiPa
-
Lukko
5:2
14.04.2025
Lukko
-
SaiPa
1:2
Finnish SM-liiga Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Tappara | 29 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 101:68 | 57 |
| 2 | Assat | 29 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 9 | 91:64 | 55 |
| 3 | KooKoo | 28 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 8 | 102:76 | 53 |
| 4 | JYP | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 101:78 | 51 |
| 5 | Lukko | 28 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 81:72 | 49 |
| 6 | SaiPa | 28 | 13 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 93:75 | 47 |
| 7 | Kiekko-Espoo | 30 | 11 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 79:88 | 44 |
| 8 | KalPa | 27 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 11 | 87:88 | 43 |
| 9 | TPS Turku | 30 | 8 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 69:76 | 40 |
| 10 | Jukurit | 30 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 68:82 | 39 |
| 11 | Ilves | 27 | 9 | 4 | 3 | 11 | 76:85 | 38 |
| 12 | IFK Helsinki | 30 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 16 | 61:97 | 36 |
| 13 | Hameenlinna | 28 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 12 | 68:78 | 35 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 27 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 53:67 | 35 |
| 15 | Karpat | 29 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 16 | 89:99 | 32 |
| 16 | Vaasan Sport | 26 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 60:86 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Promotion ~ Liiga (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
