SaiPa vs Vaasan Sport – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Hockey Finnish SM-liiga SaiPa - Vaasan Sport
Result
5:1
04/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liiga
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.162.36
Shots on Goal
2327
Shots off target
157
Shooting PCT
21.74% (5/23)3.7% (1/27)
Blocked Shots
33
Goalkeeper Saves
2618
Saves PCT
96.3% (26/27)78.26% (18/23)
Penalties
32
PIM
64
Power-play Goals
10
Shorthanded Goals
00
Power-play PCT
50% (1/2)0% (0/3)
Pen. Killing PCT
100% (3/3)50% (1/2)
Faceoffs Won
2427
Faceoffs %
47.0652.94
Empty Net Goals
00

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Period (1 - 0)
  • 07:22, Koivisto M. (2 min),
  • 08:57, 1 - 0, Airola S. (G), Heikkila J. (A), Kivihalme T. (A2)
  • 11:24, Nikkanen H. (2 min),
  • 11:24, Piipponen S. (2 min),
  • 13:43, Nieminen V. (Penalty Shot),
  • 2nd Period (2 - 1)
  • 02:17, 2 - 0, Naukkarinen J. (G), Niinisaari S. (A), Kuusla E. (A2)
  • 04:35, Salomaki M. (2 min),
  • 07:14, Heikkila J. (2 min),
  • 12:23, 3 - 0, Naukkarinen J. (G), Kramer B. (A), Salomaki M. (A2)
  • 15:17, 3 - 1, Granath P. (G), Nieminen V. (A), Claesson L. (A2)
  • 3rd Period (2 - 0)
  • 00:47, 4 - 1, Nikkanen H. (G), Siikanen P. (A),
  • 15:48, 5 - 1, Kivihalme T. (G),

Chances of winning


SaiPa
54%
Draw
22%
Vaasan Sport
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.2% 22.1% 27.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51.4% 21.6% 27.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • SaiPa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)
  • Vaasan Sport has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for SaiPa than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vaasan Sport than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
  • SaiPa - Vaasan Sport Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.74
    (1.85)
    4.25
    (4.2)
    3.89
    (3.35)
    6.7%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    What is the prediction for SaiPa - Vaasan Sport?
  • Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. SaiPa will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). Vaasa will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. SaiPa (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 3:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 5.
    • The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
    • SaiPa may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, SaiPa is a strong favorite.
    • We predict that SaiPa will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, SaiPa won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 55:58. (average 2.8:2.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, SaiPa won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 33:24. (average 3:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between SaiPa - Vaasan Sport were as follows:
    03.10.2025 SaiPa - Vaasan Sport 5:4
    01.08.2025 SaiPa - Vaasan Sport 1:0
    22.01.2025 Vaasan Sport - SaiPa 3:4
    17.01.2025 SaiPa - Vaasan Sport 2:1
    11.10.2024 Vaasan Sport - SaiPa 2:3
    Latest results of SaiPa
    03.10.2025 SaiPa - Vaasan Sport 5:4
    01.10.2025 SaiPa - HPK 3:2
    27.09.2025 Pelicans - SaiPa 2:5
    26.09.2025 SaiPa - Mikkelin Jukurit 1:2
    24.09.2025 Kiekko-Espoo - SaiPa 4:2
    Latest results of Vaasan Sport
    03.10.2025 SaiPa - Vaasan Sport 5:4
    01.10.2025 Vaasan Sport - Ilves 0:2
    27.09.2025 Vaasan Sport - KooKoo 5:1
    19.09.2025 KooKoo - Vaasan Sport 2:6
    Finnish SM-liiga Table
    2025/26
    PlWWOLOLPts
    1Assat11800339:2324
    2JYP12800447:3624
    3SaiPa13621444:3523
    4KooKoo13620546:4122
    5Tappara12700539:2821
    6Kiekko-Espoo13603436:3521
    7Lukko13610635:3420
    8Jukurit13610634:3920
    9KalPa11431333:3419
    10TPS Turku12422429:2818
    11Hameenlinna12422432:3418
    12Karpat13501745:4516
    13Vaasan Sport13402734:4014
    14Pelicans12223523:3413
    15Ilves13311831:4512
    16IFK Helsinki12311725:4112

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