Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Baseball NPB Orix Buffaloes - Saitama Seibu Lions
Result
5:6
02/10/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanJ sports 3

Match Stats

Hits
59
Errors
11
Home Runs
00
Runs batted in
45
Base on Balls
64
Strikeouts
87
Stolen bases
00
At bat
2934
Batting Average
0.1720.265

Chances of winning


Orix Buffaloes
49.1%
Saitama Seibu Lions
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orix Buffaloes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Saitama Seibu Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orix Buffaloes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saitama Seibu Lions than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Orix Buffaloes - Saitama Seibu Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.96)

    1.88
    (1.87)
    4.6%
    (4.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
  • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
  • What is the prediction for Orix Buffaloes - Saitama Seibu Lions?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Orix (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Users Predictions: Orix Buffaloes will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orix won 4.
    • Orix is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Saitama is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orix won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 73:46. (average 3.7:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orix won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 4.1:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orix Buffaloes - Saitama Seibu Lions were as follows:
    01.10.2025 Orix Buffaloes - Saitama Seibu Lions 10:5
    18.09.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Orix Buffaloes 2:1
    31.08.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Orix Buffaloes 1:4
    30.08.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Orix Buffaloes 1:7
    29.08.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Orix Buffaloes 1:8
    NPB Table
    Main

    Central Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Hanshin Tigers14385454496:3520.612
    2Yokohama BayStars14371666510:4560.518
    3Yomiuri Giants14370469463:4610.504
    4Chunichi Dragons14363278403:4630.447
    5Hiroshima Carp14359579441:4970.428
    6Yakult Swallows14357779443:5640.419


    Pacific Division
    PlWDLPCT
    1Fukuoka S. Hawks14387452551:3890.626
    2Nippon Ham Fighters14383357548:4090.593
    3Orix Buffaloes14374366502:5190.529
    4Rakuten Gold. Eagles14367274446:5260.475
    5Seibu Lions14363377410:4650.450
    6Chiba Lotte Marines14356384441:5530.400

          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)