Orix Buffaloes vs Saitama Seibu Lions – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
5:6
02/10/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • NPB
  • Where to Watch on TV:
japanJapanJ sports 3

Match Stats

Hits
59
Errors
11
Home Runs
00
Runs batted in
45
Base on Balls
64
Strikeouts
87
Stolen bases
00
At bat
2934
Batting Average
0.1720.265

Chances of winning


Orix Buffaloes
49.1%
Saitama Seibu Lions
50.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.8% 51.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.6% 50.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Orix Buffaloes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Saitama Seibu Lions has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Orix Buffaloes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Saitama Seibu Lions than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
  • Orix Buffaloes - Saitama Seibu Lions Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.95
    (1.96)

    1.88
    (1.87)
    4.6%
    (4.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 5.50
    • The most likely Handicap: 2 (-2)
    What is the prediction for Orix Buffaloes - Saitama Seibu Lions?
  • Users Predictions: Orix Buffaloes will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Orix Buffaloes will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:4.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ NPB (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 5)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Orix won 4.
    • Orix is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Saitama is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Recently, the opponents have had a series of home games.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Orix won 12 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 73:46. (average 3.7:2.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Orix won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 37:26. (average 4.1:2.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Orix Buffaloes - Saitama Seibu Lions were as follows:
    01.10.2025 Orix Buffaloes - Saitama Seibu Lions 10:5
    18.09.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Orix Buffaloes 2:1
    31.08.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Orix Buffaloes 1:4
    30.08.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Orix Buffaloes 1:7
    29.08.2025 Saitama Seibu Lions - Orix Buffaloes 1:8
    NPB Table
    Pre-season
    PlWDLPCT
    1Yokohama BayStars742132:260.800
    2Seibu Lions640227:160.667
    3Nippon Ham Fighters640221:200.667
    4Yomiuri Giants640213:150.667
    5Hanshin Tigers631223:100.600
    6Chunichi Dragons841337:210.571
    7Orix Buffaloes420212:40.500
    8Yakult Swallows840419:330.500
    9Fukuoka S. Hawks730417:230.429
    10Rakuten Gold. Eagles923415:260.333
    11Hiroshima Carp820621:290.250
    12Chiba Lotte Marines711515:290.167