Result
2:3
08/11/2025 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- 1. Lig - Round 13
- Referee: Coskunses R. (Tur)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | TOD |
 Turkey | beIN Connect, Tabii, TRT Spor |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.06 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (287/368) | 73% (227/311) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 2.06 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.57 | 2.04 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 29 | 15 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (287/368) | 73% (227/311) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 32% (16/50) | 35% (18/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (83/118) | 65% (53/81) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 38% (3/8) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.04 | 1.45 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 28 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 53 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 42 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.04 | 1.57 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.96 | -0.43 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 28', 0 - 1, Silva M. ⚽, Amaral J. (A),
- 37', Demir M. 🟨,
- 41', Terzi E. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 2)
- 50', 1 - 1, Erdogan E. ⚽, Ben Yedder W. (A),
- 57', Silva M. 🟨,
- 59', Sadygov I. ↓, Berkovsky I. ↑,
- 59', Terzi E. ↓, Tashkyn S. ↑,
- 65', Erkin C. 🟨,
- 68', Celenk E. 🟨,
- 72', 1 - 2, Amaral J. ⚽,
- 76', 1 - 3, Celenk E. ⚽, Berkovsky I. (A),
- 79', Yavuz S. ↓, Cihan M. ↑,
- 79', Demir M. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
- 79', Amaral J. ↓, Karadeniz G. ↑,
- 80', Erkin C. ↓, Okumus A. ↑,
- 81', Ciftpinar S. ↓, Cakir B. ↑,
- 83', 2 - 3, Demir E. ⚽, Ben Yedder W. (A),
- 83', Martynov A. 🟨,
- 83', Kakuta G. 🟨,
- 89', Ceylan B. 🟨,
- 90', Ersu E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Sakaryaspor
60.4% | Draw
21.7% | Serik Belediyespor
17.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sakaryaspor's performance.Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Serik Belediyespor might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sakaryaspor that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+6.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Serik Belediyespor could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Sakaryaspor - Serik Belediyespor Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.61 ↓
(1.83) |
4.33 ↑
(3.92) |
5.16 ↑
(3.63) |
4.6%
(7.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Sakaryaspor - Serik Belediyespor?
Users Predictions:
Sakaryaspor will win
(12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Sakaryaspor will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 11 and 12).
- Sakaryaspor is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Serik Belediyespor is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Sakaryaspor is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Erkin C.
(Red Card)
Sanli B.
(Inactive)
Turken A.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Karakaya B.
(Inactive)
Kok D.
(Inactive)
Yucedag E.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sakaryaspor: Zwolinski L.
(Injury)
- We predict that Sakaryaspor will win today's game, with odds of 1.67.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Sakaryaspor won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:3. (average 2:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sakaryaspor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Serik Belediyespor?
Sakaryaspor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Serik Belediyespor won against Sakaryaspor?
Serik Belediyespor has won of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Sakaryaspor - Serik Belediyespor were as follows:
Latest results of Sakaryaspor
Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
Turkish First League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Erzurumspor | 28 | 17 | 9 | 2 | 60:19 | 41 | 60 |
| 2 | Erokspor | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 67:22 | 45 | 59 |
| 3 | Amedspor | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | 58:32 | 26 | 55 |
| 4 | Corum | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | 44:31 | 13 | 50 |
| 5 | Bodrumspor | 28 | 14 | 6 | 8 | 58:29 | 29 | 48 |
| 6 | Pendikspor | 28 | 13 | 9 | 6 | 43:22 | 21 | 48 |
| 7 | Igdir FK | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 38:37 | 1 | 44 |
| 8 | Bandirmaspor | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 40:32 | 8 | 42 |
| 9 | Keciorengucu | 28 | 10 | 10 | 8 | 53:36 | 17 | 40 |
| 10 | Manisa FK | 28 | 11 | 7 | 10 | 42:41 | 1 | 40 |
| 11 | Boluspor | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 47:40 | 7 | 38 |
| 12 | Vanspor FK | 28 | 10 | 8 | 10 | 39:32 | 7 | 38 |
| 13 | Sivasspor | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 36:29 | 7 | 38 |
| 14 | Istanbulspor AS | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37:41 | -4 | 38 |
| 15 | Sariyer | 28 | 10 | 5 | 13 | 30:35 | -5 | 35 |
| 16 | Umraniyespor | 28 | 9 | 5 | 14 | 33:38 | -5 | 32 |
| 17 | Serik Spor | 28 | 8 | 5 | 15 | 29:54 | -25 | 29 |
| 18 | Sakaryaspor | 28 | 6 | 7 | 15 | 34:52 | -18 | 25 |
| 19 | Hatayspor | 28 | 0 | 7 | 21 | 20:77 | -57 | 7 |
| 20 | Adana Demirspor ✔ | 28 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 16:125 | -109 | -39 |
Promotion ~ Super Lig
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Adana Demirspor is Relegated to
