Serik Belediyespor vs Sakaryaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
21/03/2026 at 06:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • 1. Lig - Round 32
  • Referee: Turkmen M. (Tur)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaTOD
turkeyTurkeybeIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii Spor 6, Tabii

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.820.50
Ball possession
53%47%
Total shots
125
Shots on target
51
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
54
Passes
76% (272/357)72% (230/318)
Yellow cards
23
Expected goals (xG)
1.820.50
xG on target (xGOT)
1.720.04
Total shots
125
Shots on target
51
Shots off target
52
Blocked shots
22
Shots inside the box
73
Shots outside the box
52
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
30
Corner kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2211
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
62
Free kicks
1314
Passes
76% (272/357)72% (230/318)
Long passes
54% (42/78)39% (27/70)
Passes in final third
61% (56/92)53% (48/91)
Crosses
25% (5/20)23% (3/13)
Expected assists (xA)
1.200.26
Throw ins
1821
Fouls
1413
Tackles
67% (12/18)78% (7/9)
Duels won
4944
Clearances
1524
Interceptions
1315
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
13
xGOT faced
0.041.72
Goals prevented
0.04-0.28

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 37', Ceylan B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Yavuz S. , Terzi E. ,
  • 46', Sadygov I. , Topalli J. ,
  • 58', Pena S. , Soro I. ,
  • 58', Bostan M. , Owusu ,
  • 59', Owusu 🟨,
  • 70', Ceylan B. , Tashkyn S. ,
  • 78', Soro I. 🟨,
  • 81', Sen K. , Zwolinski L. ,
  • 87', Demir E. , Karatas H. ,
  • 88', 1 - 0, Topalli J. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+2', 🟨,
  • 90+5', Nwachukwu C. , Ozcan S. ,
  • 90+9', 2 - 0, Altiparmak G. , Ozcan S. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Serik Belediyespor
31.3%
Draw
25.7%
Sakaryaspor
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
33.8% 26.5% 39.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.6% 26.7% 39.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Serik Belediyespor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)
  • Sakaryaspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Serik Belediyespor than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.87
    (2.7)
    3.59
    (3.45)
    2.18
    (2.3)
    8.6%
    (9.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
    What is the prediction for Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Serik Belediyespor will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 2 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 40%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 17 in the zone Relegation).
    • Serik Belediyespor is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Sakaryaspor's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Sakaryaspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Serik Belediyespor: Demir I. (Tendon Injury) Guibero R. (Inactive) Okoro J. (Inactive) Spasov G. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Sakaryaspor: Ruan Teixeira (Red Card) Turken A. (Inactive)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Serik Belediyespor won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:10. (average 1.2:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Serik Belediyespor won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Serik Belediyespor - Sakaryaspor were as follows:
    08.11.2025 Sakaryaspor - Serik Belediyespor 2:3
    Latest results of Serik Belediyespor
    Latest results of Sakaryaspor
    15.03.2026 Sakaryaspor - Vanspor 2:1
    01.03.2026 Sakaryaspor - Sarıyer 0:0
    23.02.2026 Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor 4:1
    19.02.2026 Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor 0:2
    Turkish First League Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Erzurumspor382312382:275581
    2Amedspor382111681:423974
    3Erokspor382111681:354674
    4Corum38218963:392471
    5Bodrumspor3818101071:393264
    6Pendikspor381615758:332563
    7Keciorengucu3816121073:433060
    8Bandirmaspor3816121047:341360
    9Manisa FK381671557:56155
    10Sivasspor3814111347:43453
    11Istanbulspor AS3813131257:55252
    12Sariyer381571644:44052
    13Igdir FK3813111452:54-250
    14Vanspor FK3813101552:47549
    15Boluspor381461861:57448
    16Umraniyespor381371847:51-446
    17Serik Spor381162144:75-3139
    18Sakaryaspor388102045:72-2734
    19Hatayspor38282833:102-6914
    20Adana Demirspor38133422:169-147-54

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