Sivasspor vs Sakaryaspor – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/02/2026 at 05:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Yeni 4 Eylül Stadyumu (Sivas).

1. Lig - Round 27
Referee: Hasova G. (Tur)
Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, Tabii, TRT Spor

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.67	0.85
Ball possession
55%	45%
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
11	4
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
5	3
Passes
85% (387/457)	85% (324/382)
Yellow cards
2	6
Red cards
0	1
Expected goals (xG)
1.67	0.85
xG on target (xGOT)
2.50	0.71
Total shots
18	10
Shots on target
11	4
Shots off target
3	2
Blocked shots
4	4
Shots inside the box
13	4
Shots outside the box
5	6
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Headed goals
0	1
Big chances
2	0
Corner kicks
5	3
Touches in opposition box
27	12
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
4	3
Free kicks
17	13
Passes
85% (387/457)	85% (324/382)
Long passes
63% (37/59)	58% (36/62)
Passes in final third
72% (60/83)	68% (74/109)
Crosses
53% (10/19)	27% (4/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	0.53
Throw ins
17	14
Fouls
13	17
Tackles
85% (17/20)	88% (14/16)
Duels won
47	42
Clearances
16	6
Interceptions
6	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	7
xGOT faced
0.71	2.50
Goals prevented
-0.29	-1.50

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (3 - 1)
6', 1 - 0, Ethemi V. ⚽, Manaj R. (A),
16', 2 - 0, Erdogan O. ⚽,
21', 3 - 0, Ethemi V. ⚽, Charisis C. (A),
26', 3 - 1, Dursun S. ⚽, Erkin C. (A),
35', Bekaroglu B. 🟨,
40', Erkin C. 🟨,
42', Dursun S. 🟨,
43', Appindangoye A. 🟨,
45+1', Erkin C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Dursun S. ↓, Kocaman A. ↑,
46', Soro I. ↓, Terzi E. ↑,
46', Bostan M. ↓, Yildirim P. ↑,
46', Malle A. ↓, Okoronkwo J. ↑,
62', Charisis C. 🟨,
63', Demir M. ↓, Demir E. ↑,
63', Pena S. ↓, Fofana M. ↑,
69', Vukovic J. 🟨,
74', Fidan K. ↓, Celik M. ↑,
82', Terzi E. 🟨,
85', Celik C. ↓, Avramovski D. ↑,
90', Ethemi V. ↓, Kesgin K. ↑,
90', Charisis C. ↓, Gokay E. ↑,
90+2', 4 - 1, Manaj R. ⚽,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Sivasspor
58.2%

Draw
23.6%

Sakaryaspor
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

24.7%

19.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

23.7%

18.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sivasspor has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

Sakaryaspor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sivasspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sakaryaspor than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.64)	3.93 ↑ (3.71)	5.02 ↑ (4.77)	8.6% (9.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

What is the prediction for Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor?

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Sivasspor will win (votes: 9 - 64.3%). Sakaryaspor will win (votes: 1 - 7.1%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 28.6%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sivasspor: 39.2% – 89.4%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Sakaryaspor (2.27) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1 - Sakaryaspor (1.80) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Sakaryaspor (3.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 4 high ROI users predict this event. Sakaryaspor (votes: 3 - 75%). Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.

Preview Facts

A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
Sivasspor has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
Sakaryaspor is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
Sivasspor may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, Sivasspor is seen as the favorite.
In the last 1 head-to-head match, Sivasspor won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

How many head-to-head matches has Sivasspor won against Sakaryaspor?

Sivasspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sakaryaspor won against Sivasspor?

Sakaryaspor has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Sivasspor - Sakaryaspor were as follows:

29.09.2025 Sakaryaspor - Sivasspor 0:0

Latest results of Sivasspor

19.02.2026 Adana Demirspor - Sivasspor 1:1 ✺

14.02.2026 Sivasspor - Vanspor 3:3 ✺

07.02.2026 Sarıyer - Sivasspor 1:0 ✺

01.02.2026 Sivasspor - Pendikspor 0:0 ✺

25.01.2026 Sivasspor - Amed SK 1:1 ✺

Latest results of Sakaryaspor

19.02.2026 Sakaryaspor - Pendikspor 0:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Amed SK - Sakaryaspor 1:1 ✺

09.02.2026 Sakaryaspor - Erzurumspor 0:1 ✺

01.02.2026 Boluspor - Sakaryaspor 2:0 ✺

26.01.2026 Sakaryaspor - Bodrumspor 0:2 ✺

Turkish First League Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Erzurumspor	32	20	9	3	74:23	51	69
2	Amedspor	32	20	7	5	68:32	36	67
3	Erokspor	32	18	9	5	73:30	43	63
4	Corum	32	19	5	8	53:34	19	62
5	Bodrumspor	32	17	6	9	67:35	32	57
6	Pendikspor	32	14	12	6	49:27	22	54
7	Bandirmaspor	32	13	9	10	42:33	9	48
8	Keciorengucu	32	12	11	9	63:40	23	47
9	Sivasspor	32	12	11	9	40:31	9	47
10	Igdir FK	32	12	9	11	40:44	-4	45
11	Vanspor FK	32	11	10	11	42:35	7	43
12	Manisa FK	32	12	7	13	46:52	-6	43
13	Boluspor	32	12	6	14	50:44	6	42
14	Umraniyespor	32	11	6	15	38:41	-3	39
15	Sariyer	32	11	6	15	34:41	-7	39
16	Istanbulspor AS	32	9	12	11	38:48	-10	39
17	Serik Spor	32	10	5	17	38:60	-22	35
18	Sakaryaspor	32	8	8	16	41:56	-15	32
19	Hatayspor	32	0	7	25	22:88	-66	7
20	Adana Demirspor ✔	32	0	3	29	17:141	-124	-57

      Promotion ~ Super Lig
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ 1. Lig (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Relegation

Clinched Spots for Teams

Adana Demirspor is Relegated to