Casertana vs Salernitana – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
05/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Serie C - Group C - Round 30
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyNOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Ball possession
47%53%
Total shots
84
Shots on target
42
Corner kicks
36
Yellow cards
23
Total shots
84
Shots on target
42
Shots off target
42
Corner kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 31', Villa L. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Butic K. ,
  • 45+7', Pezzella S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Quirini E. , Gyabuaa M. ,
  • 46', Antonucci M. , Achik I. ,
  • 47', 🟨,
  • 60', Arena M. , Golemic V. ,
  • 66', Villa L. , Molina J. I. ,
  • 73', Matino E. 🟨,
  • 75', Pezzella S. , Saco C. ,
  • 75', Butic K. , Vano M. ,
  • 78', Tascone M. 🟨,
  • 83', Llano Massa M. T. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 85', Lescano F. , Ferrari F. ,
  • 87', Llano Massa M. T. , Proia F. ,
  • 90+5', Casarotto M. , Bentivegna A. ,

Chances of winning


Casertana
28.3%
Draw
30%
Salernitana
41.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.9% 29.1% 38%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4% 28.7% 37.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
  • Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+5.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-4.3%)
  • Casertana - Salernitana Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.26
    (2.8)
    3.07
    (3.16)
    2.21
    (2.42)
    8.6%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Casertana - Salernitana?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Casertana will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Salernitana will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)).
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Salernitana will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:3. (average 1:1).
    • Including home match between the teams, Casertana won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Casertana - Salernitana were as follows:
    26.10.2025 Salernitana - Casertana 2:1
    Latest results of Casertana
    01.03.2026 Siracusa - Casertana 4:0
    21.02.2026 Casertana - Picerno 2:1
    14.02.2026 Casarano - Casertana 3:2
    10.02.2026 Casertana - Crotone 2:2
    07.02.2026 Casertana - Foggia 3:2
    Latest results of Salernitana
    01.03.2026 Salernitana - Catania 0:0
    22.02.2026 Salernitana - Monopoli 0:1
    14.02.2026 Cavese - Salernitana 1:1
    10.02.2026 Salernitana - Casarano 3:0
    Italian Serie C Group C Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Benevento ✔ 35255571:244780
    2Catania351911552:213168
    3Cosenza35189855:361963
    4Casertana35188950:401062
    5Salernitana35179943:39460
    6Crotone351671253:341955
    7Monopoli3514101136:37-152
    8Audace Cerignola3514101146:47-152
    9Casarano351481349:54-550
    10Potenza3511111348:53-544
    11Altamura3511101430:43-1343
    12Atalanta U233510101549:48140
    13Cavese358131433:40-737
    14Sorrento359101638:51-1337
    15Picerno358121539:52-1336
    16Latina358121527:40-1336
    17Giugliano35971932:49-1734
    18Foggia35682126:55-2926
    19Trapani351391344:49-523
    20Siracusa35971944:53-923

          Promotion ~ Serie B
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (Quarter~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/8~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals)
          Serie C ~ Play Out
          Relegation

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Benevento is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Serie B