Salernitana vs Sampdoria – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

22/06/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Arechi (Salerno).

Serie B - Play Out - Final
Referee: Aureliano G. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Israel	5 STARS Israel
Italy	DAZN Italia
Russia	Telekanal Futbol
Usa	Fox Soccer Plus

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.60	0.81
Ball Possession
66%	34%
Total shots
5	8
Shots on target
2	7
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
2	5
Passes
78% (212/273)	63% (92/146)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.60	0.81
xG on target (xGOT)
0.86	1.28
Total shots
5	8
Shots on target
2	7
Shots off target
2	0
Blocked Shots
1	1
Shots inside the Box
4	4
Shots outside the Box
2	4
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	3
Corner Kicks
2	5
Touches in opposition box
14	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	2
Free Kicks
12	8
Passes
78% (212/273)	63% (92/146)
Long passes
32% (12/37)	22% (11/49)
Passes in final third
63% (52/82)	55% (30/55)
Crosses
26% (5/19)	0% (0/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.55	0.10
Throw-ins
18	11
Fouls
8	12
Tackles
44% (4/9)	85% (11/13)
Duels won
53	37
Clearances
22	21
Interceptions
6	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
5	2
xGOT faced
1.28	0.86
Goals prevented
-0.72	0.86

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Coda M. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Ghiglione P. ↓, Tongya F. ↑,
49', 0 - 2, Sibilli G. ⚽,
64', Raimondo A. ↓, Simy ↑,
64', Soriano R. ↓, Verde D. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Salernitana
43.7%

Draw
28.6%

Sampdoria
27.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30.7%

31.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1%

31.7%

30.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Salernitana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salernitana's performance.

Sampdoria has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sampdoria than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

Salernitana - Sampdoria Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.19 ↓ (2.51)	3.28 ↑ (3.1)	3.39 ↑ (3.03)	5.7% (5.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Salernitana - Sampdoria?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 12 - 70.6%). Sampdoria will win (votes: 3 - 17.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salernitana: 48.9% – 92.3%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Sampdoria (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.25 - Salernitana (1.83) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DC - Sampdoria (1.66) (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Sampdoria (2.35) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. Salernitana (votes: 3 - 37.5%). Sampdoria (votes: 5 - 62.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

1st leg result: 0-2. 2nd leg.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salernitana won 2.
Salernitana has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Sampdoria is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Salernitana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Salernitana won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 13:9. (average 1.4:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Salernitana won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Salernitana won against Sampdoria?

Salernitana has won 3 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Sampdoria won against Salernitana?

Sampdoria has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Salernitana - Sampdoria were as follows:

15.06.2025 Sampdoria - Salernitana 2:0

09.05.2025 Sampdoria - Salernitana 1:0

27.08.2024 Salernitana - Sampdoria 3:2

31.10.2023 Salernitana - Sampdoria 4:0

05.03.2023 Sampdoria - Salernitana 0:0

Latest results of Salernitana

15.06.2025 Salernitana - Frosinone N/A ✺

15.06.2025 Sampdoria - Salernitana 2:0 ✺

26.05.2025 Frosinone - Salernitana Postponed ✺

13.05.2025 Cittadella - Salernitana 0:2 ✺

09.05.2025 Sampdoria - Salernitana 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Sampdoria

15.06.2025 Sampdoria - Salernitana 2:0 ✺

13.05.2025 Juve Stabia - Sampdoria 0:0 ✺

09.05.2025 Sampdoria - Salernitana 1:0 ✺

04.05.2025 Catanzaro - Sampdoria 2:2 ✺

01.05.2025 Sampdoria - Cremonese 0:0 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	33	21	8	4	67:28	39	71
2	Frosinone	34	19	12	3	65:33	32	69
3	Monza	33	19	9	5	51:27	24	66
4	Palermo	34	18	11	5	55:28	27	65
5	Catanzaro	32	14	11	7	50:39	11	53
6	Modena	32	14	8	10	43:28	15	50
7	Juve Stabia	33	10	15	8	39:41	-2	45
8	Cesena	33	12	8	13	42:48	-6	44
9	Carrarese	33	10	12	11	44:43	1	42
10	Sudtirol	33	8	15	10	35:36	-1	39
11	Avellino	33	10	9	14	37:53	-16	39
12	Mantova	33	10	7	16	37:48	-11	37
13	Sampdoria	33	9	10	14	32:43	-11	37
14	Empoli	33	8	12	13	43:48	-5	36
15	Padova	33	8	10	15	32:45	-13	34
16	Entella	33	8	10	15	31:46	-15	34
17	Bari	33	8	10	15	33:51	-18	34
18	Pescara	33	7	11	15	46:59	-13	32
19	Spezia	33	7	9	17	32:49	-17	30
20	Reggiana	33	7	9	17	31:52	-21	30

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