Barrow vs Salford City – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two
Football English League Two Barrow - Salford City
Result
1:1
01/04/2025 at 14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 40
  • Referee: Miles J. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.13
Ball Possession
47%53%
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
35
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Passes
69% (245/356)73% (291/396)
Yellow Cards
03
Expected Goals (xG)
1.521.13
xG on target (xGOT)
1.101.14
Total shots
1312
Shots on target
35
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
44
Shots inside the Box
65
Shots outside the Box
66
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
25
Touches in opposition box
2813
Offsides
24
Free Kicks
166
Passes
69% (245/356)73% (291/396)
Long passes
34% (25/74)31% (22/70)
Passes in final third
64% (63/98)59% (91/155)
Crosses
27% (3/11)17% (2/12)
Expected assists (xA)
1.990.40
Fouls
616
Tackles
57% (17/30)73% (19/26)
Duels won
6750
Clearances Total
2418
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
11
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
1.141.10
Goals prevented
1.140.10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 3', Ashley O. 🟨,
  • 37', 1 - 0, Smith T. ⚽, Whitfield B. (A),
  • 37', Tilt C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Ashley O. ↓, Warrington L. ↑,
  • 64', Lund M. ↓, Woodburn B. ↑,
  • 69', 1 - 1, Stanway W. (Own goal),
  • 76', Whitfield B. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
  • 76', Acquah E. ↓, Pressley A. ↑,
  • 76', Smith T. ↓, Fletcher I. ↑,
  • 86', Warrington L. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Barrow
36.5%		Draw
30.1%		Salford City
33.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
43.1% 28.3% 28.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.5% 27.4% 27.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Barrow's form might have worsened.
  • Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Barrow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-5.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Salford City, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Barrow - Salford City Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.56 ↑
    (2.17)    		 3.12 ↓
    (3.3)    		 2.84 ↓
    (3.25)    		 6.3%
    (7.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    •
    What is the prediction for Barrow - Salford City?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Barrow will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Salford will win (votes: 2 - 18.2%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 45.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 16.1% – 74.9%.
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 16 and 10).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Barrow won 0.
    • One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
    • Barrow could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Barrow will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Barrow: Duru L. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Salford: Chesters D. (Knee Injury) Kouassi K. (Injury) McAleny C. (Injury) Watson R. (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Barrow: Barnes S. (Inactive) Spence K. (Injury) Vassell T. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Salford: Berkoe K. (Injury)
    • Last 12 head-to-head matches Barrow won 1 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 11:22 (average 0.9:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Barrow won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 4:7 (average 0.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Barrow - Salford City were as follows:
    26.12.2024 Salford City - Barrow 3:0
    17.02.2024 Salford City - Barrow 5:3
    28.10.2023 Barrow - Salford City 0:0
    28.02.2023 Barrow - Salford City 1:1
    26.12.2022 Salford City - Barrow 1:1
    Latest results of Barrow
    29.03.2025 Barrow - Chesterfield 0:1 ✺
    25.03.2025 Port Vale - Barrow 0:1 ✺
    22.03.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Barrow 2:2 ✺
    15.03.2025 Morecambe - Barrow 2:2 ✺
    08.03.2025 Barrow - Accrington Stanley 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Salford City
    29.03.2025 Bromley - Salford City 2:3 ✺
    15.03.2025 Grimsby Town - Salford City 0:1 ✺
    11.03.2025 Salford City - Chesterfield 0:4 ✺
    08.03.2025 Salford City - Crewe Alexandra 1:1 ✺
    04.03.2025 Swindon Town - Salford City 2:2 ✺
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Colchester00000:000
    2Bristol Rovers00000:000
    3Cheltenham00000:000
    4Crewe00000:000
    5Gillingham00000:000
    6Oldham00000:000
    7Swindon00000:000
    8Tranmere00000:000
    9Walsall00000:000
    10Accrington00000:000
    11Barnet00000:000
    12Chesterfield00000:000
    13Grimsby00000:000
    14MK Dons00000:000
    15Notts Co00000:000
    16Shrewsbury00000:000
    17Cambridge Utd00000:000
    18Crawley00000:000
    19Barrow00000:000
    20Bromley00000:000
    21Newport00000:000
    22Harrogate00000:000
    23Fleetwood00000:000
    24Salford00000:000

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League

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