Result
3:1
17/03/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 38
- Referee: Searle I. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.31 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (200/325) | 61% (205/335) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.98 | 1.31 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.72 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 62% (200/325) | 61% (205/335) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 31% (29/94) | 38% (34/90) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (77/139) | 51% (79/155) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 15% (4/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.54 | 0.51 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 34 | 34 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 46% (6/13) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 54 | 44 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 34 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.72 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.72 | -2.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 20', 1 - 0, Graydon R. ⚽, Awe Z. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 52', Gordon J. 🟨,
- 59', Earing J. ↓, Newby E. ↑,
- 59', Barkhuizen T. ↓, Mahoney C. ↑,
- 60', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, Ehibhatiomhan P. ↑,
- 60', Stockton C. ↓, Udoh D. ↑,
- 60', Austerfield J. ↓, Borini F. ↑,
- 69', 2 - 0, Borini F. ⚽, Graydon R. (A),
- 71', Shipley L. ↓, Rose D. ↑,
- 74', Walker T. ↓, Williams M. ↑,
- 74', MacDonald A. ↓, Foley S. ↑,
- 76', Cooper B. ↓, Oluwo A. ↑,
- 77', 2 - 1, Rose D. ⚽,
- 83', 3 - 1, Borini F. ⚽,
- 86', Butcher M. 🟨,
- 88', Graydon R. ↓, Dorrington A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Salford City
61% | Draw
24% | Barrow
15% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salford City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Salford City's performance.Barrow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barrow might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (-5.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Salford City that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barrow than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barrow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Salford City - Barrow Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.69) |
3.91 ↑
(3.75) |
6.16 ↑
(4.33) |
6.9%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Salford City - Barrow?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Barrow will win (votes: 2 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 20%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 29.6% – 90.4%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Salford (votes: 1 - 50%). Barrow (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 3.
- Salford is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Barrow has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Salford may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- In this match, Salford is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Salford: Bird J.
(Inactive)
Cesay K.
(Inactive)
Edwards T.
(Inactive)
Harris K.
(Inactive)
Mnoga H.
(Yellow Cards)
N'Mai K.
(Injury)
Rose M.
(Leg Injury)
Woodburn B.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Barrow: Anderson F.
(Inactive)
Hemmings K.
(Injury)
Malcolm J.
(Inactive)
Raglan C.
(Inactive)
Whitfield B.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Salford: Ashley O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Barrow: Smith S.
(Inactive)
Williams M.
(Inactive)
- We predict that Salford will win today's game, with odds of 1.53.
- In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Salford won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 25:13. (average 1.8:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:7. (average 2.5:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Barrow?
Salford City has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Barrow won against Salford City?
Barrow has won 0 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Barrow were as follows:
01.01.2026
Barrow
-
Salford City
1:2
01.04.2025
Barrow
-
Salford City
1:1
26.12.2024
Salford City
-
Barrow
3:0
17.02.2024
Salford City
-
Barrow
5:3
28.10.2023
Barrow
-
Salford City
0:0
Latest results of Salford City
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
