Result
1:3
02/08/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 1
- Referee: Hair N. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 2.50 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (176/278) | 58% (152/260) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.79 | 2.50 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.83 | 3.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 22 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 20 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 29 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 63% (176/278) | 58% (152/260) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 33% (25/75) | 30% (21/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 51% (52/102) | 53% (63/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (6/21) | 38% (10/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.19 | 0.71 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 20 | 36 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (15/18) | 86% (12/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 75 | 63 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 3.90 | 1.83 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.90 | 0.83 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 3)
- 5', Woodburn B. (Pen),
- 8', 0 - 1, Harris K. (Own goal),
- 16', 1 - 1, Harris K. ⚽, Cesay K. (A),
- 34', Edwards T. 🟨,
- 38', Connolly J. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 2, Thomas C. ⚽, March J. (A),
- 45+3', Grant J. 🟨,
- 45+4', 1 - 3, Thomas C. ⚽, March J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Stockton C. ↓, Bird J. ↑,
- 58', Edwards T. ↓, Ayina L. ↑,
- 59', Longelo-Mbule R. ↓, N'Mai K. ↑,
- 66', O'Reilly T. 🟨,
- 69', Cesay K. 🟨,
- 70', Woodburn B. ↓, Malcolm K. ↑,
- 80', O'Reilly T. ↓, Tezgel E. ↑,
- 81', Ayina L. 🟨,
- 84', March J. ↓, Moult L. ↑,
- 85', Ayina L. ↓, Butt R. ↑,
Chances of winning
Salford City
46.3% | Draw
26% | Crewe Alexandra
27.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salford City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)Crewe Alexandra has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salford City than the current prediction. (+8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Salford City, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crewe Alexandra than the current prediction. (-4.6%)
Salford City - Crewe Alexandra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.1 ↑
(1.88) |
3.69 ↓
(3.75) |
3.45 ↓
(3.72) |
3.7%
(6.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Salford City - Crewe Alexandra?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Salford will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Salford: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Salford City will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Salford won 2.
- Salford is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Crewe has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Crewe may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Salford could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Crewe: Tracey S.
(Leg Injury)
- There are questionable in Crewe: Thibaut A.
(Injury)
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Salford won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 19:15. (average 2.4:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Salford won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 11:4. (average 2.8:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Salford City won against Crewe Alexandra?
Salford City has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Crewe Alexandra won against Salford City?
Crewe Alexandra has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salford City - Crewe Alexandra were as follows:
08.03.2025
Salford City
-
Crewe Alexandra
1:1
19.10.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Salford City
1:1
27.01.2024
Crewe Alexandra
-
Salford City
2:3
07.10.2023
Salford City
-
Crewe Alexandra
4:2
10.03.2023
Crewe Alexandra
-
Salford City
4:3
Latest results of Salford City
Latest results of Crewe Alexandra
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Grimsby | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Crewe | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 3 |
| 3 | Fleetwood | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Walsall | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Chesterfield | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Cambridge Utd | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 7 | Harrogate | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 8 | Colchester | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Gillingham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Tranmere | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | Accrington | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | Notts Co | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 13 | Newport | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 14 | Oldham | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 15 | MK Dons | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 16 | Shrewsbury | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 17 | Bromley | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 18 | Swindon | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 19 | Bristol Rovers | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 21 | Barrow | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 22 | Salford | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 23 | Barnet | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 24 | Crawley | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
