Alpendorada vs Salgueiros 08 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
14/12/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Campeonato de Portugal - Group B - Round 12

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
68
Shots on target
36
Corner Kicks
23
Red Cards
02
Total shots
68
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
32
Corner Kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 36', 1 - 0, ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 53', 🟥,
  • 61', 1 - 1, ,
  • 87', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+9', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Alpendorada
39.6%
Draw
32.4%
Salgueiros 08
28%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
45% 31.3% 23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.9% 30.7% 23.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Alpendorada has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Alpendorada's form might have worsened.
  • Salgueiros 08 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Alpendorada than the current prediction. (+6.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Alpendorada, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Salgueiros 08 than the current prediction. (-4.8%)
  • Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08 Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.29
    (2.02)
    2.8
    (2.9)
    3.24
    (3.84)
    10.3%
    (10%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 and 7).
    • Alpendorada is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • In recent matches, Salgueiros has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • Alpendorada will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 1:1.8).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Alpendorada won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08 were as follows:
    23.02.2025 Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada 0:0
    27.10.2024 Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08 0:1
    02.04.2023 Alpendorada - Salgueiros 08 0:1
    11.12.2022 Salgueiros 08 - Alpendorada 5:4
    Latest results of Alpendorada
    07.12.2025 Beira-Mar - Alpendorada 1:1
    29.11.2025 Alpendorada - Anadia 2:1
    22.11.2025 Alpendorada - Casa Pia 0:3
    09.11.2025 Gouveia - Alpendorada 0:3
    02.11.2025 Alpendorada - União Lamas 2:1
    Latest results of Salgueiros 08
    07.12.2025 Salgueiros 08 - Cinfães 0:0
    29.11.2025 Florgrade - Salgueiros 08 1:1
    09.11.2025 Salgueiros 08 - Leça 0:1
    02.11.2025 Vila Real - Salgueiros 08 0:1
    26.10.2025 Salgueiros 08 - Rebordosa 0:1