Samambaia vs Brasília – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
07/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Brasiliense - Round 6

Match Stats

Ball possession
54%46%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
113
Corner kicks
113
Total shots
199
Shots on target
113
Shots off target
86
Corner kicks
113

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 19', 1 - 0, Victor Xavier ,
  • 30', 2 - 0, Victor Xavier ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 60', 3 - 0, Matheus ,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Lima V. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 81', 4 - 1, Victor Xavier (Penalty Awarded),

Chances of winning


Samambaia
74.5%
Draw
19.8%
Brasília
5.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 26.9% 23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

51% 26.2% 22.8%

Samambaia - Brasília Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.23
(1.84)
4.63
(3.4)
16.28
(3.9)
8.9%
(9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Samambaia - Brasília?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 5 and 8).
    • In recent matches, Samambaia has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Brasília is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
    • In this match, Samambaia is the undisputed favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Samambaia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    • Including home match between the teams, Samambaia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samambaia - Brasília were as follows:
    12.02.2023 Samambaia - Brasília 3:0
    Latest results of Samambaia
    31.01.2026 Samambaia - Brasiliense 0:1
    24.01.2026 Real Brasilia - Samambaia 0:1
    21.01.2026 Gama - Samambaia 0:0
    18.01.2026 Samambaia - Ceilândia 2:1
    Latest results of Brasília
    31.01.2026 ARUC - Brasília 0:1
    25.01.2026 Brasília - Ceilândia 1:2
    21.01.2026 Paranoá - Brasília 1:0
    17.01.2026 Brasília - Gama 0:2
    10.01.2026 Brasiliense - Brasília 4:0
    Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
    2026
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama761012:3919
    2Brasiliense74219:2714
    3Sobradinho742110:5514
    4Samambaia63219:5411
    5Capital631213:6710
    6Ceilandia731310:9110
    7Paranoa72057:14-76
    8Real Brasilia71155:12-74
    9ARUC61052:11-93
    10Brasilia61053:13-103

          Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2