Ceilândia vs Samambaia – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Ceilândia - Samambaia
Result
1:1
08/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • BRAZIL: Brasiliense - Round 9

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 1)
  • 35', 0 - 1, Lila G. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 72', 1 - 1, ,

Chances of winning


Ceilândia
58%
Draw
23.1%
Samambaia
18.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.4% 22.3% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68% 21.4% 11.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ceilândia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ceilândia's form might have worsened.
  • Samambaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Samambaia's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ceilândia than the current prediction. (+10%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ceilândia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Samambaia than the current prediction. (-7.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Samambaia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ceilândia - Samambaia Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.57
    (1.4)
    3.95
    (4.1)
    4.83
    (7.45)
    9.6%
    (9.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • Preview Facts
    • One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 6).
    • Ceilândia is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Recent matches Samambaia is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Samambaia could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Ceilândia is certain favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Ceilândia to win the game is with odds 1.39.
    • Last 4 head-to-head matches Ceilândia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 16:6 (average 4:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ceilândia won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13:3 (average 6.5:1.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ceilândia - Samambaia were as follows:
    24.02.2024 Samambaia - Ceilândia 0:3
    26.02.2023 Samambaia - Ceilândia 3:0
    Latest results of Ceilândia
    27.02.2025 Ceilândia - Coritiba 3:2
    17.02.2025 Ceilândia - Gama 2:0
    13.02.2025 Legião - Ceilândia 1:2
    08.02.2025 Paranoá - Ceilândia 1:2
    Latest results of Samambaia
    22.02.2025 Samambaia - Ceilandense 0:1
    17.02.2025 Real Brasilia - Samambaia 1:1
    12.02.2025 Samambaia - Sobradinho 1:0
    08.02.2025 Samambaia - Gama 0:1
    02.02.2025 Legião - Samambaia 0:4
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1Brasiliense (1)Gama (4)0 : 0, 0 : 3
    2Capital (2)Ceilandia (3)2 : 1, 1 : 1

    Final
    1Gama (4)Capital (2)2 : 1