Samambaia vs Sobradinho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
3:0
22/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Brasiliense - Round 8

Match Stats

Ball possession
56%44%
Total shots
145
Shots on target
83
Corner kicks
23
Red cards
01
Total shots
145
Shots on target
83
Shots off target
62
Corner kicks
23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Romario ,
  • 45+5', 🟥,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 62', 2 - 0, ,
  • 89', 3 - 0, ,

Chances of winning


Samambaia
38.1%
Draw
31.7%
Sobradinho
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42% 30.4% 27.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5% 29.4% 26.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samambaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Sobradinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samambaia than the current prediction. (+5.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samambaia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sobradinho than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Samambaia - Sobradinho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.39
    (2.18)
    2.88
    (3.01)
    3.02
    (3.32)
    9.7%
    (9.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a game between evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 5).
    • Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.
    • Samambaia will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Samambaia won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).
    • Including home match between the teams, Samambaia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samambaia - Sobradinho were as follows:
    12.02.2025 Samambaia - Sobradinho 1:0
    Latest results of Samambaia
    12.02.2026 ARUC - Samambaia 0:3
    07.02.2026 Samambaia - Brasília 4:1
    31.01.2026 Samambaia - Brasiliense 0:1
    24.01.2026 Real Brasilia - Samambaia 0:1
    21.01.2026 Gama - Samambaia 0:0
    Latest results of Sobradinho
    11.02.2026 Real Brasilia - Sobradinho 0:3
    07.02.2026 Sobradinho - Gama 0:1
    25.01.2026 Sobradinho - ARUC 2:1
    21.01.2026 Brasiliense - Sobradinho 0:0
    Brazilian Campeonato Brasiliense Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gama ✔ 972015:41123
    2Samambaia962121:51620
    3Sobradinho952211:8317
    4Ceilandia951317:12516
    5Capital943219:10915
    6Brasiliense943213:7615
    7Real Brasilia931511:13-210
    8Paranoa92078:24-166
    9Brasilia91084:19-153
    10ARUC91083:20-173

          Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ Brasiliense 2

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Gama is Qualified for Brasiliense (Play Offs Semi~finals)