Samambaia vs Sobradinho – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:1
15/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Brasiliense - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Match Stats

Ball possession
42%58%
Total shots
44
Shots on target
23
Corner kicks
53
Red cards
01
Total shots
44
Shots on target
23
Shots off target
21
Corner kicks
53

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 64', 0 - 1, ,
  • 90', 🟥,

Chances of winning


Samambaia
44.9%
Draw
30.4%
Sobradinho
24.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
50.7% 27.9% 21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.8% 25.8% 19.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samambaia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samambaia's form might have worsened.
  • Sobradinho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samambaia than the current prediction. (+9.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Samambaia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sobradinho than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
  • Samambaia - Sobradinho Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.03
    (1.81)
    2.99
    (3.28)
    3.69
    (4.28)
    9.9%
    (9.3%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Samambaia - Sobradinho?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • First leg result: 0-0. Second leg.
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasiliense (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Samambaia is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Sobradinho has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Samambaia is considered a favorite.
    • We predict that Samambaia will win today's game, with odds of 1.77.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Samambaia won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Samambaia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:0. (average 2:0).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Samambaia - Sobradinho were as follows:
    08.03.2026 Sobradinho - Samambaia 0:0
    22.02.2026 Samambaia - Sobradinho 3:0
    12.02.2025 Samambaia - Sobradinho 1:0
    Latest results of Samambaia
    08.03.2026 Sobradinho - Samambaia 0:0
    28.02.2026 Paranoá - Samambaia 0:6
    22.02.2026 Samambaia - Sobradinho 3:0
    12.02.2026 ARUC - Samambaia 0:3
    07.02.2026 Samambaia - Brasília 4:1
    Latest results of Sobradinho
    08.03.2026 Sobradinho - Samambaia 0:0
    28.02.2026 Sobradinho - Brasília 1:0
    22.02.2026 Samambaia - Sobradinho 3:0
    11.02.2026 Real Brasilia - Sobradinho 0:3
    07.02.2026 Sobradinho - Gama 0:1
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Semi-finals
    1GamaCeilandia2 : 1, 1 : 1
    2SamambaiaSobradinho0 : 1, 0 : 0

    Final
    1GamaSobradinho1 : 0