Result
3:2
15/01/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Period (1 - 0)
- 07:40, 1 - 0, Mindubayev R. (G), Ryabinin D. (A),
- 2nd Period (1 - 1)
- 07:00, 1 - 1, Bunakov N. (G), Seleznev G. (A),
- 15:34, 2 - 1, Petrushenko D. (G),
- 3rd Period (1 - 1)
- 01:58, 2 - 2, Seleznev G. (G), Bunakov N. (A), Nikiforov V. (A2)
- 14:23, 3 - 2, Krdzhonyan Y. (G),
Chances of winning
Gvardiya Krasnodar
38.9% | Draw
21.8% | Samara
39.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gvardiya Krasnodar has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Samara has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gvardiya Krasnodar than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samara than the current prediction. (+3.2%)
Gvardiya Krasnodar - Samara Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.32 ↓
(2.35) |
4.15 ↑
(4.1) |
2.3 ↑
(2.28) |
10.7%
(10.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 6.25
Preview Facts
- Gvardiya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Samara's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Samara has had a series of home games.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Gvardiya won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 10:6. (average 3.3:2).
- Including home match between the teams, Gvardiya won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Gvardiya Krasnodar won against Samara?
Gvardiya Krasnodar has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Samara won against Gvardiya Krasnodar?
Samara has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gvardiya Krasnodar - Samara were as follows:
14.01.2026
Gvardiya Krasnodar
-
Samara
5:1
25.12.2025
Samara
-
Gvardiya Krasnodar
3:2
24.12.2025
Samara
-
Gvardiya Krasnodar
2:3
Latest results of Gvardiya Krasnodar
NMHL Table
2025/26Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | MHK Ryazan ✔ | 44 | 37 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 169:64 | 84 |
| 2 | Yermak Angarsk ✔ | 44 | 31 | 4 | 2 | 7 | 191:92 | 72 |
| 3 | Dizelist ✔ | 44 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 12 | 152:93 | 64 |
| 4 | Bobrov ✔ | 44 | 26 | 2 | 2 | 14 | 172:106 | 58 |
| 5 | Sokol Novocheboksarsk ✔ | 44 | 16 | 8 | 6 | 14 | 138:114 | 54 |
| 6 | Kristall BDK ✔ | 44 | 17 | 4 | 5 | 18 | 121:121 | 47 |
| 7 | Progress Glazov ✔ | 44 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 20 | 126:148 | 45 |
| 8 | HC Krasnodar | 42 | 17 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 125:138 | 42 |
| 9 | HK Samara | 46 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 24 | 123:144 | 40 |
| 10 | Proton | 44 | 17 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 111:143 | 36 |
| 11 | Tambov | 44 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 25 | 99:139 | 35 |
| 12 | Lipetsk | 44 | 5 | 3 | 8 | 28 | 80:169 | 24 |
| 13 | Belgorod | 44 | 6 | 1 | 6 | 31 | 90:226 | 20 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | WO | LO | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Buran Moscow ✔ | 46 | 39 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 225:78 | 83 |
| 2 | Granit ✔ | 43 | 26 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 150:96 | 67 |
| 3 | Kaluga ✔ | 44 | 26 | 6 | 2 | 10 | 186:94 | 66 |
| 4 | Dinamo 576 ✔ | 44 | 25 | 3 | 5 | 11 | 157:109 | 61 |
| 5 | Metallurg Cherepovets ✔ | 43 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 12 | 151:127 | 57 |
| 6 | Polot ✔ | 44 | 20 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 157:157 | 53 |
| 7 | Fakel ✔ | 44 | 20 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 127:140 | 52 |
| 8 | Voevoda Podolsk ✔ | 45 | 19 | 4 | 5 | 17 | 122:145 | 51 |
| 9 | Bryansk | 43 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 23 | 127:151 | 37 |
| 10 | Arktika | 48 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 27 | 106:164 | 35 |
| 11 | Tayfun | 47 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 31 | 109:177 | 30 |
| 12 | Tverichi | 44 | 3 | 5 | 5 | 31 | 89:178 | 21 |
| 13 | Leningradets | 43 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 31 | 99:189 | 20 |
Promotion ~ NMHL (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Clinched Spots for Teams
MHK Ryazan is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Yermak Angarsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dizelist is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Bobrov is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Sokol Novocheboksarsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kristall BDK is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Progress Glazov is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Buran Moscow is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Granit is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Kaluga is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Dinamo 576 is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Metallurg Cherepovets is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Polot is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Fakel is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
Voevoda Podolsk is Qualified for NMHL (Play Offs 1/8~finals)
