Samira De Stefano vs Ariana Geerlings Martinez – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Tennis ITF W35 Tarvisio Women Samira De Stefano - Ariana Geerlings Martinez
Result
2:0
23/06/2025 at 10:40 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITF WOMEN - SINGLES: W35 Tarvisio, clay - 1/16-finals

Match Stats

Last 10 Balls
91

Chances of winning


Samira De Stefano
35.4%
Ariana Geerlings Martinez
64.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
41.5% 58.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3% 60.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Samira De Stefano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Samira De Stefano's form might have worsened.
  • Ariana Geerlings Martinez has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Ariana Geerlings Martinez's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Samira De Stefano than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ariana Geerlings Martinez than the current prediction. (-3.9%)
  • Samira De Stefano - Ariana Geerlings Martinez Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.63
    (2.24)

    1.44
    (1.59)
    7.5%
    (7.5%)
    Preview Facts
    • De Stefano is ranked WTA: 455. Geerlings Martinez is ranked WTA: 338.
    • Both players are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • De Stefano may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Geerlings Martinez could have a small edge in this match.
    • In recent times, the players did not meet on the field.
    Draw
    2025

    1/16-finals
    1Samson L. (1)Ruggeri J.2 : 0
    2Senica A.Pigato L.0 : 2
    3Amariei I. D.Paganetti V.0 : 2
    4Rocchetti S.Laboutkova A.1 : 2
    5Kucmova A. (4)Ormaechea P.2 : 0
    6Udvardy L.Kuczer D.1 : 2
    7Zucchini A.Chiesa D.0 : 2
    8De Stefano S.Geerlings Martinez A. (6)2 : 0
    9Ce G. (8)Meliss V.2 : 0
    10Smejkal L. (RET.)Meri E.1 : 1
    11Spiteri D.Ovcharenko E.1 : 2
    12Vasilyeva A.Ambrosio S. (3)0 : 2
    13Jakupovic D. (5)Novak K.2 : 0
    14Mazzola A.Alvisi E.2 : 0
    15Ricci B.Radisic N.1 : 2
    16Fornasieri C.Urgesi F. (9)1 : 2

    1/8-finals
    1Samson L. (1)Pigato L.1 : 2
    2Paganetti V.Laboutkova A.2 : 0
    3Kucmova A. (4)Kuczer D.2 : 0
    4Chiesa D.De Stefano S.2 : 0
    5Ce G. (8)Meri E.2 : 0
    6Ovcharenko E.Ambrosio S. (3)1 : 2
    7Jakupovic D. (5)Mazzola A. (RET.)1 : 0
    8Radisic N.Urgesi F. (9)2 : 0

    Quarter-finals
    1Pigato L. (RET.)Paganetti V.1 : 1
    2Kucmova A. (4)Chiesa D.1 : 2
    3Ce G. (8)Ambrosio S. (3)0 : 2
    4Jakupovic D. (5)Radisic N.0 : 2

    Semi-finals
    1Paganetti V.Chiesa D.2 : 0
    2Ambrosio S. (3)Radisic N.1 : 2

    Final
    1Paganetti V.Radisic N.2 : 0